All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Bestie intros! (3:05) GOP Primary update: polling, acceptable candidates, tentpole issues (11:56) All-In Summit 2023 recap (24:12) IPOs and M&A heat up: Arm, Instacart, and Klaviyo go public, Cisco acquires Splunk for $28B, but did the "great reopening" fall short? (42:34) Did the Fed break the VC model? How LPs will evaluate fund managers going forward (50:45) Breaking down Instacart and Klaviyo's businesses (1:01:12) Revaluing Airtable and the path forward for ZIRP-era unicorns (1:13:14) Fed pauses rate hikes, but says rates will stay higher for longer, plus: what breaks next in the economy? (1:32:51) Science Corner: new "inverse-vaccine" treatment is a potential game changer for autoimmune diseases Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/new-hampshire https://youtu.be/yjj1QjZlQMM https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-09-21/cisco-to-buy-splunk-for-157-a-share-in-28billion-deal https://twitter.com/pitdesi/status/1704874017357025499 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ARM:NASDAQ?comparison=NASDAQ%3ACART%2CNYSE%3AKVYO&window=5D https://twitter.com/aswathdamodaran/status/1704246090198036914 https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-81823-q2-earnings https://www.lendingtree.com/content/uploads/2023/08/ccs-chart-3-3.jpg https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US https://www.ey.com/en_gl/ipo/trends https://stockanalysis.com/ipos/statistics https://www.google.com/finance/quote/COIN:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/EXPE:NASDAQ https://www.axios.com/2023/09/19/instacarts-ipo-venture-capital https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1579091/000119312523221345/d55348ds1.htm https://influencermarketinghub.com/amazon-ad-revenue https://twitter.com/jasonlk/status/1704212644402540573 https://www.saastr.com/5-interesting-learnings-from-klaviyo-at-650000000-in-arr https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1078755080478715904 https://i.insider.com/4dd4d1cf4bd7c8c90f000000 https://twitter.com/asanwal/status/1703492397739516068 https://www.cnbc.com/2023/09/20/fed-rate-decision-september-2023-.html https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/crude-oil https://kalshi.com/markets/fed/fed-interest-rates#fed-23nov https://www.popularmechanics.com/cars/hybrid-electric/a42558850/tesla-price-cuts-worth-buying https://hellometer.io https://www.nature.com/articles/s41551-023-01086-2

22 Sep 20231h 42min

(0:00) Besties welcome former NJ Governor and Republican Presidential Candidate Chris Christie! (2:14) US debt crisis, cutting entitlements (14:03) Level-setting on foreign policy (25:28) Ukraine / Russia: culpability, where to go from here (36:47) US defense budget, optimizing spend, zero-based budgeting, influence peddling (50:01) Immigration policy, how each party co-opts the issue (1:02:24) Fentanyl crisis in SF, LA, and NYC, incarceration and criminal justice reform, political activism in law enforcement (1:15:57) Why Chris Christie is running for president (1:17:41) Thoughts on prosecuting Trump, January 6th, and more (1:23:16) Chris Christie addresses his past controversies (1:48:34) Post-interview debrief Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow Chris Christie: https://twitter.com/GovChristie Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEBTN https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SMPOPNETMUSA https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/southwest-land-border-encounters https://www.washingtonpost.com/immigration/2023/08/31/border-families-record-crossings-biden

8 Sep 20232h 8min

(0:00) Chamath's big poker trip (4:32) Addressing the "in the arena" comments (7:16) Biden administration targets Elon's businesses (21:58) Tiger Global claims disgruntled ex-employee circulated fake hit piece (27:51) BRICS adds six new members, Sacks breaks down some potential advantages of the new BRICS (40:46) BRICS ultimate goals, India's key position (51:54) How energy independence plays into the future geopolitical order (1:00:22) All-In Summit party talk! Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1693992134796603477 https://twitter.com/tomosman/status/1696929638935634240 https://twitter.com/KanekoaTheGreat/status/1697072553775501661 https://www.newsweek.com/joe-bidens-robert-peters-pseudonym-under-scrutiny-gop-probes-emails-1820709 https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-sues-spacex-discriminating-against-asylees-and-refugees-hiring https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1695073336483832007 https://www.justice.gov/crt/page/file/1579981/download https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/09/tech/elon-musk-biden-foreign-business-relations/index.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/2023/08/26/oliver-anthony-republican-debate-rich-men https://www.thefp.com/p/oliver-anthony-interview-rich-men-north-richmond https://www.foxnews.com/video/6335645970112 https://www.forbes.com/sites/alexkonrad/2023/08/25/tiger-global-blames-disgruntled-formeremployee-for-mystery-memo-sent-to-journalists https://www.reuters.com/world/brics-poised-invite-new-members-join-bloc-sources-2023-08-24 https://www.ft.com/content/4ff06aa6-b1bf-4e08-9b8d-aa42ee240c95 https://www.ft.com/content/669260a5-82a5-4e7a-9bbf-4f41c54a6143 https://www.voanews.com/a/india-remains-steadfast-in-partnership-with-russia/6883794.html https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/india-will-buy-oil-all-sources-who-offer-lowest-possible-prices-oil-minister-2023-08-30 https://www.budd.senate.gov/press-releases/budd-coons-lead-bipartisan-coalition-supporting-nuclear-energy https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1696295679344459807 https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/06/02/united-states-ukraine-trust-developing-nations

1 Sep 20231h 6min

(0:00) Bestie intros: Friedberg's interview with NASA Astronaut Woody Hoburg, live from the ISS! (2:58) All-In Tequila update (10:04) Nvidia smashes earnings, GPU market outlook (37:39) Arm files for IPO: positive sign or plank walk? Plus: State of the IPO market (49:51) Sacks on current investable metrics right now in VC (55:33) GOP Debate breakdown: Vivek's statement, DeSantis's strategy, Haley & Christie solidify positions (1:39:46) Vivek's comments on the Climate Agenda (1:47:07) Prigozhin crash   Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/friedberg/status/1694506279954526487 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1693441068036169785 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1693524941721731189 https://www.wine.com/product/21-seeds-tequila-trio/633617 https://www.villadeste.com https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-announces-financial-results-for-second-quarter-fiscal-2024 https://companiesmarketcap.com https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1694457666289225776 https://electrek.co/2023/06/21/tesla-dojo-supercomputer-is-finally-coming-next-month https://prospect.org/features/great-telecom-implosion https://www.statista.com/chart/6780/only-5-countries-have-a-bigger-gdp-than-california https://twitter.com/OpenAI/status/1694062483462594959 https://openai.com/blog/gpt-3-5-turbo-fine-tuning-and-api-updates https://twitter.com/nathanbenaich/status/1694073194351648932 https://commoncrawl.org/about/team https://adsense.googleblog.com/2005/10/spotlight-on-weblogs-inc.html https://twitter.com/twistartups/status/1694399138194952363 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1973239/000119312523216983/d393891df1.htm https://www.theverge.com/2023/7/13/23793969/adobe-figma-merger-acquisition-uk-cma-regulator-investigation https://venturebeat.com/games/microsoft-signs-15-year-cloud-streaming-deal-with-ubisoft-in-latest-bid-to-win-activision-blizzard-approval https://www.stonealgo.com https://youtu.be/f51Yd9h9ZXo https://www.natesilver.net/p/ramaswamy-and-the-physics-of-multi https://www.cnn.com/2023/08/04/politics/cnn-poll-ukraine/index.html https://www.mediaite.com/politics/whopping-ninety-six-percent-oppose-supporting-ukraine-against-russia-in-turning-points-action-straw-poll

25 Aug 20231h 52min

(0:00) Sacks' big night (2:56) Sacks on spirits (14:27) "Rich Men North of Richmond" goes viral and debuts at #1 on Apple Music, upward mobility issues in America, solutions (53:01) Michael Burry's bet against the market: overblown? (58:33) Real estate capital crunch (1:12:26) Trump's newest indictment (1:23:31) What Adyen's big drop means for Stripe's valuation Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://youtu.be/sqSA-SY5Hro https://www.azlyrics.com/lyrics/oliveranthony/richmennorthofrichmond.html https://ricochet.com/942803/qotd-solzhenitsyn-on-the-liars https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2021/10/25/updated-u-s-household-incomes-a-50-year-perspective https://www.cnn.com/2023/08/15/investing/michael-burry-stock-market-crash/index.html https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1649339/000090514823000689/xslForm13F_X02/informationtable.xml https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US https://www.wsj.com/articles/wall-street-is-ready-to-scoop-up-commercial-real-estateon-the-cheap-6edac64f https://twitter.com/rothcre/status/1691910066952351963 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1691789175786246246 https://d3i6fh83elv35t.cloudfront.net/static/2023/08/CRIMINAL-INDICTMENT-Trump-Fulton-County-GA.pdf https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/what-the-heck-happened-in-coffee-county-georgia https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ADYEY:OTCMKTS

18 Aug 20231h 30min

(0:00) Bestie intros: Friedberg's bad haircut (1:17) Welcome BG^2! Biography recommendations and film talk (22:27) VC market update: State of Series A's (33:43) Dry powder misconceptions, marking incentives (48:57) IPO window starting to open, IPO down rounds, incentives to go public (1:03:17) Cyclical venture cycles, managing distributions, benchmarking VC performance vs public market (1:22:26) Tragic Maui wildfires, extreme temperatures (1:26:11) Macro picture: inflation cools, deflation risk? Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg https://twitter.com/altcap https://twitter.com/bgurley Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://youtu.be/xmYekD6-PZ8 https://www.amazon.com/Setting-Table-Transforming-Hospitality-Business/dp/0060742755 https://www.amazon.com/Steve-Jobs-Walter-Isaacson/dp/147770146X https://www.amazon.com/Elon-Musk-Spanish-Walter-Isaacson/dp/B0CBTHK86N https://www.amazon.com/Good-Great-Some-Companies-Others/dp/0066620996 https://www.amazon.com/Man-Arena-Selected-Writings-Roosevelt/dp/0765306700 https://www.amazon.com/Shoe-Dog-Memoir-Creator-Nike/dp/1501135910 https://www.amazon.com/Alexander-Hamilton-Ron-Chernow/dp/1594200092 https://www.amazon.com/Something-Autobiography-Vintage-Akira-Kurosawa/dp/B0C3D5NDJX https://www.amazon.com/Born-Standing-Up-Comics-Martin/dp/B017QUU3EO https://www.amazon.com/Writing-Memoir-Craft-Stephen-King/dp/1439193630 https://www.amazon.com/Autobiography-Malcolm-told-Alex-Haley/dp/0345379756 https://www.linkedin.com/posts/peterjameswalker_cartadata-seriesa-valuations-activity-7092542118803488768-vOcY https://www.theinformation.com/articles/venture-firms-still-writing-small-checks-despite-271-billion-in-dry-powder https://twitter.com/bgurley/status/1688605654188224512 https://finance.yahoo.com/chart/SN https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CAVA:NYSE https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SRFM https://twitter.com/altcap/status/1686086247029055489 https://www.wsj.com/articles/university-endowments-mint-billions-in-golden-era-of-venture-capital-11632907802 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hhy7JUinlu0 https://twitter.com/gokulr/status/1680006171149869056 https://www.statista.com/statistics/277501/venture-capital-amount-invested-in-the-united-states-since-1995 https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2023-08-10/disinflation-wave-the-bloomberg-open-americas-edition https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/09/business/china-economy-inflation.html https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1689010884062904320

11 Aug 20231h 36min

(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:53) LK-99 breakdown (24:39) Funding landscape for breakthrough science, sclerotic establishments, boomer incumbents (46:04) Fitch downgrades US debt rating (1:09:12) Trump's newest indictment Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/2307/2307.12008.pdf https://arxiv.org/pdf/2307.12037.pdf https://manifold.markets/QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre?r=RWxpZXplcll1ZGtvd3NreQ https://twitter.com/667keos/status/1686490898480173056 https://twitter.com/iris_IGB/status/1685731177523449856 https://twitter.com/VCBrags/status/1684591950387716097 https://stanforddaily.com/2023/07/19/stanford-president-resigns-over-manipulated-research-will-retract-at-least-3-papers https://www.socialcapital.com/ideas/2021-annual-letter https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30418-9/fulltext https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-24/sam-altman-valley-vcs-bet-48-million-on-blood-testing-startup https://www.fitchratings.com/research/sovereigns/fitch-downgrades-united-states-long-term-ratings-to-aa-from-aaa-outlook-stable-01-08-2023 https://www.npr.org/2023/08/02/1178215888/fitch-downgrade-credit-rating-deficits-debt-economy https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1686906272937869312 https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy1670 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2023/07/22/gop-social-security-trump-rivals-cuts https://www.commondreams.org/news/republicans-cut-social-security https://sgp.fas.org/crs/misc/RS22331.pdf https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL https://apnews.com/trump-election-2020-indictment https://apnews.com/article/trump-indicted-jan-6-investigation-special-counsel-debb59bb7a4d9f93f7e2dace01feccdc https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/national https://www.reuters.com/world/us/new-defendant-added-trump-classified-documents-case-court-papers-2023-07-27 https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/03/briefing/trump-indictment.html https://twitter.com/mtracey/status/1686843918317486081

4 Aug 20231h 29min

(0:00) All-In in Italy!: Recapping Chamath's wedding (11:55) Discourse around obesity and weight loss in the US (21:56) Are there too many VCs? (38:18) Actors/Writers unions vs. Corporate Hollywood, endgame for the modern Hollywood machine (54:07) Equity participations vs. unions, ownership upside vs. downside protections (1:05:04) Potential impact of room-temp superconductors   Special thanks to our Italian audio/video team!: https://twitter.com/domdalmatico https://www.mattiacaruso.com   Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg   Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast   Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg   Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect   Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1684176015948488704 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sPelOnd7Sik https://www.vice.com/en/article/4a3az9/venture-capital-vcs-existential-too-many https://twitter.com/jason/status/1681985828820766720 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1679765658517610496 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1679935918164135936 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2307.12008.pdf

27 Juli 20231h 17min