All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

0:00 Bestie intros 2:07 Twitter subpoenas the besties! 16:03 Markets overview: dead cat bounce or have we hit the bottom? 34:10 De-globalization trends, Pelosi's Taiwan visit  Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1554963395660566533 https://davidsacks.medium.com https://ycharts.com/indicators/us_gas_price https://www.macrotrends.net/1369/crude-oil-price-history-chart https://www.newcomer.co/p/folk-songs-and-stock-charts-coatue https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/1554485039710310401 https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/a/a1/Geographic_Boundaries_of_the_First_and_Second_Island_Chains.png https://www.nytimes.com/2022/08/01/opinion/nancy-pelosi-taiwan-china.html

5 Aug 202250min

0:00 Bestie intros! 2:19 GDP growth is negative for a second consecutive quarter, but is the US actually in a recession? How has the White House controlled the narrative? 22:45 Looking at COVID trends with a post-COVID view: e-commerce, remote work, and how they correlate 36:33 "Inflation Reduction Act", how government subsidies can stifle innovation 59:50 Alzheimer's fraud, Ginkgo acquires Zymergen for $300M 1:17:36 Democrats backing MAGA candidates in primaries vs. more moderate republicans: savvy and cynical or too risky? Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.bea.gov/news/2022/gross-domestic-product-second-quarter-2022-advance-estimate#:~:text=Real%20gross%20domestic%20product%20 https://news.shopify.com/changes-to-shopifys-team https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TDOC:NYSE https://www.wsj.com/articles/whats-in-joe-manchin-and-chuck-schumers-reconciliation-deal-on-climate-health-and-tax-policy-11658973323 https://twitter.com/jamiedupree/status/1552406981637545993 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/24/world/africa/congo-oil-gas-auction.html https://www.science.org/content/article/potential-fabrication-research-images-threatens-key-theory-alzheimers-disease https://www.nature.com/articles/s41380-022-01661-0 https://www.pharmaceutical-technology.com/news/ginkgo-acquire-zymergen/ https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/26/us/politics/democrats-john-gibbs-peter-meijer.html https://twitter.com/ConanOBrien/status/1552358211986006019 https://twitter.com/maga_cy/status/1552360064693915648

29 Juli 20221h 27min

0:00 Bestie intros 1:45 First principle politics, analyzing each party's cynicism 48:07 Chaos in China: bank protests, housing protests, slowing economic and population growth, future outlook 1:09:21 Automation and the impact of the information economy 1:16:31 BlackRock loses $1.7T of investor money during H1 2021, state of private and public markets 1:36:36 Amazon acquires One Medical Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/pelositracker_/status/1549535561718714368 https://www.politico.com/news/2022/07/20/biden-pelosi-trip-taiwan-china-military-00047031 https://www.wsj.com/articles/nancy-pelosis-taiwan-education-china-taipei-military-defense-11658265311 https://www.reuters.com/world/us/china-warns-forceful-measures-if-us-house-speaker-pelosi-visits-taiwan-2022-07-19/ https://www.tesla.com/blog/tesla-repays-department-energy-loan-nine-years-early https://housestockwatcher.com/summary_by_rep/Hon.%20Nancy%20Pelosi https://www.thedailybeast.com/democrats-quietly-try-to-jam-nancy-pelosi-on-stock-trading-ban https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3852 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/19/opinion/democrats-far-right-midterms.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/07/19/trailer-desantis-beats-trump-democrats-bet-maga-more-lessons-latest-fundraising-quarter/ https://www.reuters.com/article/obama-abortion/obama-says-abortion-rights-law-not-a-top-priority-idUKN2946642020090430 https://twitter.com/micsolana/status/1549868945640914951 https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/07/18/spanish-language-media-disinformation/ https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/19/world/asia/china-bank-scandal-protest.html https://twitter.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1549790086656581640   https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/01/17/world/asia/china-population-crisis.html https://www.ft.com/content/91441aca-1665-4660-843f-9cf7222becff https://datacommons.org/place/country/CHN https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-22/china-housing-market-slowdown-drags-economy https://www.wsj.com/articles/chinas-economic-distress-deepens-as-lockdowns-drag-on-11652703162 https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20220531-why-chinas-population-is-shrinking https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/sp.dyn.tfrt.in?locations=cn https://www.wsj.com/articles/xi-jinping-aims-to-rein-in-chinese-capitalism-hew-to-maos-socialist-vision-11632150725 https://www.thinkadvisor.com/2022/07/20/how-blackrock-lost-1-7t-of-clients-money/ https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/21/business/amazon-one-medical-deal.html https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-21/ex-coinbase-manager-arrested-in-us-crypto-insider-trading-case

22 Juli 20221h 44min

0:00 Bestie intros! 1:41 Emerging markets, Sri Lanka break down 36:01 9.1% CPI print 48:15 Current market sentiments from retail and institutional investors 1:05:00 NASA's Webb telescope images 1:15:57 Beagle rescue, Biden admin's lack of private sector experience, Russia's new energy play BEAGLE RESCUE INFO: https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/12/us/beagles-virginia-facility-rescue/index.html https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/12/us/envigo-beagles-breeder-adoption.html https://www.humanesociety.org/beaglerescue Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?end=2021&locations=VN-US-CN&start=1984&view=chart https://www.wsj.com/articles/rising-inflation-and-interest-rates-heap-pressure-on-emerging-markets-11655544600 https://www.cnn.com/asia/live-news/sri-lanka-protests-07-13-22-intl/index.html https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/emerging-markets-drive-global-debt-record-303-trillion-iif-2022-02-23/ https://worldpopulationreview.com/countries/countries-by-gdp https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/fertiliser-ban-decimates-sri-lankan-crops-government-popularity-ebbs-2022-03-03 https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/02/what-next-for-sri-lanka/ https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/07/world/asia/sri-lanka-organic-farming-fertilizer.html https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-05/sri-lanka-aims-to-stop-money-printing-as-inflation-nears-60 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/561467714485514240 https://datareportal.com/reports/digital-2022-sri-lanka https://michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/green-dogma-behind-fall-of-sri-lanka https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3134224/why-china-building-gleaming-new-government-facilities-africa https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/2186970/how-presidential-palace-burundi-fits-chinas-plans-africa https://www.forbes.com/sites/rufaskamau/2022/07/11/inflation-protests-span-sri-lanka-albania-argentina-panama-kenya-ghanahow-long-before-they-hit-the-united-states/ https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/inflation-cpi https://www.redfin.com/news/data-center/ https://fredblog.stlouisfed.org/2014/04/the-taylor-rule/ https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10 https://www.nbcnews.com/data-graphics/compare-photos-nasas-james-webb-space-telescope-hubble-space-telescope-rcna37875 https://www.wsj.com/articles/nasa-james-webb-space-telescope-greg-robinson-images-11657137487 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NOTV:NASDAQ https://www.wsj.com/articles/no-business-experience-needed-joe-biden-white-house-officials-committee-to-unleash-prosperity-report-11657661328

14 Juli 20221h 24min

0:00 Bestie open: Sacks' shopping spree 2:15 Macro outlook: jobs, consumer sentiment, housing, inflation, finding a bottom 39:21 Turkish government finds ~694 million mt of rare earth reserves & EU reclassifies nuclear & natural gas as "green" 48:58 Dutch farmers protests: root causes, how to move forward with smarter legislation 1:09:39 Biden's decline, Bezos responds to Biden's tweet on bringing gas prices down Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/06/jolts-job-openings-may-2022-.html https://www.bls.gov/charts/job-openings-and-labor-turnover/hire-seps-rates.htm https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s-job-openings-dip-to-11-3-million-but-labor-market-still-historically-strong-11657122659 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-06/fed-sees-more-restrictive-rates-possible-if-inflation-persists https://www.census.gov/library/stories/2021/12/net-international-migration-at-lowest-levels-in-decades.html https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/cb-consumer-confidence-48 https://finance.yahoo.com/news/consumer-confidence-conference-board-june-2022-143536146.html https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/data/existing-home-sales#chart-existing-home-sales-vs-30yr-rate https://www.marketwatch.com/story/consumer-sentiment-drops-to-record-low-as-inflation-worries-grip-u-s-11656079725 https://www.forbes.com/sites/darreonnadavis/2022/07/05/88-of-americans-say-us-is-on-wrong-track/ https://thehill.com/policy/finance/3525909-56-percent-in-new-poll-believe-us-is-in-recession/ https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1544057786065092609 https://news.metal.com/newscontent/101881567/Turkey-Discovers-694-million-mt-of-Rare-Earth-Element-Reserves-with-Infrastructure-Construction-Starting-This-Year/ https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/eu-parliament-vote-green-gas-nuclear-rules-2022-07-06/ https://twitter.com/GretaThunberg/status/1544380486654590983 https://mobile.twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1544573867804348416 https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/eu-parliament-vote-green-gas-nuclear-rules-2022-07-06/ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-01/jpmorgan-sees-stratospheric-380-oil-on-worst-case-russian-cut https://abcnews.go.com/Business/wireStory/explainer-dutch-farmers-protesting-emissions-85848026 https://www.amazon.com/The-Alchemy-of-Air-Thomas-Hager-audiobook/dp/B0046Y0BP0/ref=sr_1_1 https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_us_070522/ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-22/eurizon-fund-holds-unloved-assets-to-beat-peers-in-esg-market https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/07/07/uk-boris-johnson-resignation/ https://twitter.com/POTUS/status/1543263229006254080 https://twitter.com/JeffBezos/status/1543409762867494912 https://twitter.com/JeffBezos/status/1525309091970699265 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1544370315379109888

8 Juli 20221h 23min

0:00 Bestie intros 4:09 Assessing SBF bailing out major crypto players & the state of the market 18:24 Classifying crypto assets, high-yield crypto lending 34:17 Zendesk sells for $10B, accounting for stock-based comp, evergreen standard in tech 1:01:24 Buyout targets, public market "regime change" 1:08:21 Russia/Ukraine impact on markets, could US diplomacy have prevented the war? 1:28:35 Science Corner: Friedberg breaks down the newest breakthrough AlphaFold application Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.wsj.com/articles/crypto-fund-three-arrows-ordered-to-liquidate-by-court-11656506404 https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/22/sam-bankman-fried-rescues-crypto-lenders-blockfi-voyager.html https://www.coindesk.com/business/2022/06/25/morgan-creek-is-trying-to-counter-ftxs-blockfi-bailout-leaked-call-shows/ https://twitter.com/ForbesCrypto/status/1541893168152690690 https://californiahealthline.org/news/article/tech-titans-want-the-richest-californians-to-pay-for-pandemic-preparedness/ https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1540732780501381121 https://www.marketwatch.com/story/gensler-labels-bitcoin-a-commodity-as-crypto-prices-stabilize-11656340239 https://www.coinbase.com/price/bitcoin https://www.coinbase.com/price/ethereum https://www.blockchaincenter.net/en/altcoin-season-index/ https://techcrunch.com/2022/06/24/zendesk-drama-concludes-with-102-billion-private-equity-acquisition https://techcrunch.com/2022/02/11/zendesk-spurns-17b-private-equity-takeover-offer/ https://investor.zendesk.com/ir-home/press-releases/press-releases-details/2022/Zendesk-Announces-Fourth-Quarter-and-Fiscal-Year-2021-Results/default.aspx https://investor.zendesk.com/ir-home/press-releases/press-releases-details/2022/Zendesk-Announces-First-Quarter-2022-Results/default.aspx https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-62422 https://techcrunch.com/2022/02/25/zendesk-terminates-4-1b-surveymonkey-acquisition-after-its-own-investors-reject-deal/ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CRM:NYSE https://www.google.com/finance/quote/WDAY:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NOW:NYSE https://www.issgovernance.com/library/resurgence-of-evergreen-features-in-ipo-equity-plans-restrict-investor-say/ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-25/jana-partners-pulls-zendesk-proxy-fight-after-9-5-billion-deal https://cdn.manscaped.io/assets/investor-relations/manscaped-investor-presentation-slides-2022.pdf https://investor.onepeloton.com/node/9271/html https://investors.buzzfeed.com/node/7426/html https://kalshi.com/events/CPI-22JUN/markets/CPI-22JUN-T0.9 https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/06/17/long-war-ukraine/ https://twitter.com/missy_ryan/status/1537944064703619074 https://www.reuters.com/world/kremlin-says-nato-expansion-ukraine-crosses-red-line-putin-2021-09-27/ https://www.reuters.com/markets/stocks/putin-warns-russia-will-act-if-nato-crosses-its-red-lines-ukraine-2021-11-30/ https://theconversation.com/ukraine-war-follows-decades-of-warnings-that-nato-expansion-into-eastern-europe-could-provoke-russia-177999 https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/16/world/europe/biden-putin-geneva-meeting.html https://abcnews.go.com/amp/US/wireStory/us-officials-land-solomons-discuss-china-pact-concerns-84238211 https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2021/09/01/politics/ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-biden-white-house/index.html https://www.state.gov/u-s-ukraine-charter-on-strategic-partnership/ https://apnews.com/article/moscow-russia-europe-ukraine-belarus-6d9818ff922a2650de107734a7c3faf5 https://news.yahoo.com/blinken-says-no-change-nato-193615967.html https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3182517/does-chinas-demotion-its-deputy-foreign-minister-signal https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abm9326 All-In E79 on RvW leaked draft: https://youtu.be/qH696z3ml1Q

30 Juni 20221h 35min

0:00 Besties discuss the one-month hiatus 7:03 Markets update: Fed decisions, goals, macro factors, root causes 32:19 Earnings estimate skepticism, labor force, job openings 47:17 How startups should think about the next 18-36 months 56:20 Crypto collapse, next shoe(s) to drop 1:08:41 Russia/Ukraine endgame, escalation, scrutinizing US alliances, sanctions failing 1:33:12 Will 2024 be Biden vs. Trump? Could it be DeSantis vs. Newsom? Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.DJI:INDEXDJX https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/10/consumer-price-index-may-2022.html https://www.longtermtrends.net/home-price-median-annual-income-ratio https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/09/tc-energy-terminates-keystone-xl-pipeline-project.html https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/us-talks-with-allies-russian-oil-price-cap-says-yellen-2022-06-20/ https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=RUB&to=USD&view=1Y https://www.wsj.com/articles/inflation-bls-price-checkers-who-determine-cpi-11652132333 https://www.chicagofed.org/research/dual-mandate/dual-mandate https://data.oecd.org/leadind/consumer-confidence-index-cci.htm https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/top_stories/right_direction_wrong_track_jun20 https://thehill.com/policy/finance/3525909-56-percent-in-new-poll-believe-us-is-in-recession/ https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/reducing-inflation-come-great-cost-stagflation-ray-dalio https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/job-offers https://www.socialcapital.com/ideas/2021-annual-letter https://techcrunch.com/2022/05/10/tiger-global-hit-by-17b-hedge-fund-losses-has-nearly-depleted-its-latest-vc-fund https://www.coinbase.com/price/bitcoin https://www.coinbase.com/price/ethereum https://www.coindesk.com/business/2022/06/17/three-arrows-capitalconfirms-heavy-losses-from-lunas-collapse-exploring-potential-options-report https://www.ft.com/content/19c27ae1-ae72-4668-b3a9-162adc27dffc https://decrypt.co/103489/solend-whale-108m-loan-nearly-crashed-solana https://www.justice.gov/usao-sdny/pr/former-employee-nft-marketplace-charged-first-ever-digital-asset-insider-trading-scheme https://www.ft.com/content/4e211784-83eb-49a2-ba39-8976345a88d5 https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/06/10/ukraine-ammunition-donbas-russia/ https://www.americanpurpose.com/blog/fukuyama/why-ukraine-will-win/ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-02/london-listed-russian-stocks-erase-570-billion-in-two-weeks https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-20/ruble-soars-to-seven-year-high-in-challenge-to-bank-of-russia https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/23/russias-ruble-is-at-strongest-level-in-7-years-despite-sanctions.html https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-push-for-exceptions-in-europes-sanctions-on-russian-oil-gains-traction-11655913796 https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/correction-germany-nuclear-shutdown-story-82051054 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-23/catl-unveils-ev-battery-with-one-charge-range-of-1-000-kms https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2022/06/why-ron-desantis-can-beat-trump-in-2024.html

24 Juni 20221h 41min

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Jason intros today's episode 2:31 Palmer Luckey on Anduril, national defense & the current thing 25:24 Bestie Q&A with Palmer 53:13 Jason gives closing thoughts Follow Palmer: https://twitter.com/PalmerLuckey Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Links referenced in the show: https://www.thedailybeast.com/palmer-luckey-the-facebook-near-billionaire-secretly-funding-trumps-meme-machine

23 Juni 20221h 1min