Putin Won Big. Germany’s Center Lost. Ukraine Will Feel Both.
I examine two election results that could sharpen the strategic pressure on Ukraine: AfD’s 38.3% result in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, where Friedrich Merz’s CDU fell below the 5% parliamentary thr...
21 Sep 20min
The Ingenious Way Ukraine Caught Russia Completely Off Guard
I examine Operation Vivaldi, the Ukrainian 3rd Army Corps campaign north of Liman, where the corps says it retook 40 square kilometers in its second phase and liberated Shandrohovo, Derilov, and Droby...
21 Sep 16min
Relentless Pressure on Russia
I examine Ukraine’s reported long-range strikes on Ufa in Bashkortostan, roughly 1,600 kilometers from the Ukrainian border, and why the Rosneft refining cluster matters. With combined crude-processin...
21 Sep 17min
Putin Just Started Seizing What He Needs to Keep the War Going
I examine the economic stresses surrounding Russia’s September 2026 Duma election and what Putin may do after securing the mandate he seeks. Reports this week pointed to fuel queues, the release of ga...
20 Sep 14min
Putin’s Election Ends With a Retreat He Can’t Admit
I examine Ukraine’s reported Operation Vivaldi, including claims by the Third Army Corps that Shandrohovo and Derilov were liberated and Drobyshev is under Ukrainian control. Ukrainian and Russian mil...
20 Sep 19min
PUTIN EMBARRASSED BY HUGE UKRAINIAN STRIKE ON ELECTION DAY
I examine the reported large-scale Ukrainian strike on Moscow and the gap between the scale of the attack and Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin’s claim that more than 1,600 UAVs were repelled. Monitoring s...
20 Sep 17min
Republicans Were Already Nervous—Now It’s Getting Worse
I examine why Republicans could face severe pressure heading into the November 3, 2026 midterms while holding the White House and both chambers of Congress. The numbers voters see every day are stark:...
19 Sep 15min
Russia’s War on Europe Won’t Be an Invasion—It’ll Look Like THIS
In this briefing, I examine why suspected drone activity near Luxembourg Airport, reports of drones targeting British military sites, and new resilience messaging in Switzerland and the UK matter beyo...
19 Sep 22min
