SI377: What's New in SG Indices in 2026? + The Regime-Adaptive Portfolio ft. Alan Dunne

SI377: What's New in SG Indices in 2026? + The Regime-Adaptive Portfolio ft. Alan Dunne

Niels and Alan explore how a fragile macro regime reshapes systematic investing, from a politicised Fed succession to widening cracks in a debt-laden, equity-dependent economy. A shifting bond landscape, rising capital demands from AI and renewed tariff risks challenge the old 60/40 orthodoxy. Listener questions on US policy shocks and the Yen carry trade open a deeper look at when trend helps and when it hurts. The episode culminates in a world exclusive of SocGen's 2026 index changes and the first public reveal of Alan’s new paper: The Regime-Adaptive Portfolio, for genuinely resilient, opportunity-aware global wealth compounding intelligently, prudently over the decade ahead.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

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Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Voiceover and introduction to the Systematic Investor Series

00:23 - Niels and Alan open, what is on their radar this week

01:27 - Fed succession as a political risk factor and betting markets

03:33 - Crypto moves, Vanguard’s platform shift and MicroStrategy index pressure

05:53 - Listener questions: can constant US policy shocks break trend?

06:33 - Trouble for trend or just another regime to endure and adapt to

08:55 - Short-term CTAs, Liberation Day and when speed becomes a handicap

11:11 - How CTAs are positioned for a yen carry unwind and JGB nuances

12:16 - November trend update, five straight positive months and short-term pain

13:35 - World exclusive: new SocGen CTA and...

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GM72: China's Market Rebound: From Chaos to Opportunity ft. Louis-Vincent Gave

GM72: China's Market Rebound: From Chaos to Opportunity ft. Louis-Vincent Gave

Alan Dunne welcomes back Louis-Vincent Gave of Gavekal in this episode to delve into the Chinese economic outlook and discuss the broader macro trends. Louis shares his thoughts on whether the Chinese...

16 Loka 20241h 2min

SI317: From Hurricanes to Hedge Strategies: The Hidden Common Factors ft. Richard Brennan

SI317: From Hurricanes to Hedge Strategies: The Hidden Common Factors ft. Richard Brennan

This episode dives deep into the intricacies of trend following strategies and their connection to complex adaptive systems. Richard Brennan and Niels Kaastrup-Larsen explore how these systems respond...

12 Loka 20241h 8min

IL31: What Your Cashless Future Will Look Like ft. Richard Holden

IL31: What Your Cashless Future Will Look Like ft. Richard Holden

Our guest on this episode is Richard Holden, economics professor at the University of New South Wales Sydney author of a new book: Money in the 21st Century: Cheap, Mobile and Digital. Richard explain...

9 Loka 202458min

SI316: Solving the "How Much" Trend Following Question ft. Nick Baltas

SI316: Solving the "How Much" Trend Following Question ft. Nick Baltas

Today we tackle the most important questions arising from the evolving landscape of systematic investing, focusing on the changing dynamics of asset allocation in the current market environment. Nick ...

5 Loka 20241h 7min

ALO26: Managing a C$600 Billion State Pension Fund ft. Amy Flikerski

ALO26: Managing a C$600 Billion State Pension Fund ft. Amy Flikerski

Amy Flikerski, Head of External Portfolio Management at CPP Investments - the C$600bn Canadian state pension fund - joins Alan Dunne in this episode to discuss allocating capital to emerging and estab...

2 Loka 20241h 3min

SI315: Preparing for a Pivotal Time in Global Markets ft. Cem Karsan

SI315: Preparing for a Pivotal Time in Global Markets ft. Cem Karsan

In this week’s episode, Cem Karsan joins Alan Dunne to discuss the interplay between market flows and global macro developments as we enter a pivotal time of year for markets. They explore the potenti...

28 Syys 20241h 4min

GM71: The Carry Risk Lurking in Your Portfolio ft. Kevin Coldiron

GM71: The Carry Risk Lurking in Your Portfolio ft. Kevin Coldiron

In this episode, I’m joined by Alan Dunne and Kevin Coldiron, a co-author of "The Rise of Carry", for an in-depth discussion on the recent unwinding of the Yen carry trade and a broader exploration of...

25 Syys 20241h 5min

SI314: Algo Anxiety... Can AI Resolve This? ft. Mark Rzepczynski

SI314: Algo Anxiety... Can AI Resolve This? ft. Mark Rzepczynski

Together with Mark Rzepczynski we dive deep into the outlook for trend following and discuss what may drive trends in the coming years. We analyze the role that the Fed plays in the rise of carry trad...

21 Syys 20241h 10min

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