SI377: What's New in SG Indices in 2026? + The Regime-Adaptive Portfolio ft. Alan Dunne

SI377: What's New in SG Indices in 2026? + The Regime-Adaptive Portfolio ft. Alan Dunne

Niels and Alan explore how a fragile macro regime reshapes systematic investing, from a politicised Fed succession to widening cracks in a debt-laden, equity-dependent economy. A shifting bond landscape, rising capital demands from AI and renewed tariff risks challenge the old 60/40 orthodoxy. Listener questions on US policy shocks and the Yen carry trade open a deeper look at when trend helps and when it hurts. The episode culminates in a world exclusive of SocGen's 2026 index changes and the first public reveal of Alan’s new paper: The Regime-Adaptive Portfolio, for genuinely resilient, opportunity-aware global wealth compounding intelligently, prudently over the decade ahead.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Voiceover and introduction to the Systematic Investor Series

00:23 - Niels and Alan open, what is on their radar this week

01:27 - Fed succession as a political risk factor and betting markets

03:33 - Crypto moves, Vanguard’s platform shift and MicroStrategy index pressure

05:53 - Listener questions: can constant US policy shocks break trend?

06:33 - Trouble for trend or just another regime to endure and adapt to

08:55 - Short-term CTAs, Liberation Day and when speed becomes a handicap

11:11 - How CTAs are positioned for a yen carry unwind and JGB nuances

12:16 - November trend update, five straight positive months and short-term pain

13:35 - World exclusive: new SocGen CTA and...

Jaksot(900)

GM70: The State of the Commodity Super Cycle ft. Adam Rozencwajg

GM70: The State of the Commodity Super Cycle ft. Adam Rozencwajg

This week you are in for a real treat, as Adam Rozencwajg rejoins Cem Karsan and me for a deep dive into the latest developments in the Commodity markets. It's been 15 months since Adam last appeared ...

18 Syys 20241h 19min

SI313: The Paradox of High-Volatility Alternatives ft. Alan Dunne

SI313: The Paradox of High-Volatility Alternatives ft. Alan Dunne

In this episode, Alan Dunne and I explore Mario Draghi's latest vision for Europe and discuss an insightful interview with Kenneth Rogoff, titled "We Will See More Spikes in Inflation," which covers k...

14 Syys 20241h 5min

IL30: How To Evaluate True Macro Risk? ft. Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak

IL30: How To Evaluate True Macro Risk? ft. Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak

Our guest on this episode is Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak, the Global Chief Economist at BCG and author of a new book: Shocks, Crises and False Alarms: How to Assess True Macroeconomic Risk. He explains w...

11 Syys 202458min

SI312: Should You Just Buy a CTA Index? ft. Rob Carver

SI312: Should You Just Buy a CTA Index? ft. Rob Carver

Rob Carver is back this week to discuss the importance of being able to detach yourself from the markets and taking “real” breaks from time to time and we also hear from Rob what it is like to let his...

7 Syys 20241h 14min

GM69: The Global Economy from a Liquidity Perspective ft. Michael Howell

GM69: The Global Economy from a Liquidity Perspective ft. Michael Howell

Michael Howell, Managing Director of Crossborder Capital and Author of the Capital Wars Substack, returns in this episode to speak with Alan Dunne about the liquidity cycle’s influence on global marke...

4 Syys 20241h 2min

SI311: BREAKING: New CTA Index being revealed ft. Andrew Beer

SI311: BREAKING: New CTA Index being revealed ft. Andrew Beer

As August comes to an end, we discuss this month of extremes for the trend-following community, marked by significant dispersion in performance and unusual price activity across multiple asset classes...

1 Syys 20241h

GM68: Chief Strategist: “Most Scenerios Point to Recession” ft. Peter Berezin

GM68: Chief Strategist: “Most Scenerios Point to Recession” ft. Peter Berezin

Peter Berezin Chief Strategist and Research Director at BCA Research returns in this episode to discuss with Alan Dunne why he believes the US economy will soon enter recession and the S&P 500 will fa...

28 Elo 20241h 1min

SI310: The Illusion of Backtests and True Drivers of Price ft. Richard Brennan

SI310: The Illusion of Backtests and True Drivers of Price ft. Richard Brennan

Together with Richard Brennan we address the high level of volatility we have experienced this month and what airplane turbulence can teach us about periods of volatility. We also discuss why backtest...

24 Elo 20241h 3min

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