Global Data Watch Weekender: The more things change…

Global Data Watch Weekender: The more things change…

Resilience in consumer spending has been an important foundation for growth in 2025. Absent a pickup in hiring, this cannot be sustained. Is the stage set for a change? Are last year’s US policies a last-year story? Are this year’s latest US policy announcements meaningful? Is the Fed in serious jeopardy? Can you believe we’re only two weeks into the new year?

Speakers:

Bruce Kasman

Joseph Lupton

This podcast was recorded on 16 January 2026.

This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2026 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party.

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Jaksot(100)

Global Data Pod Weekender: Shifting sands

Global Data Pod Weekender: Shifting sands

Growth resilience through 2Q, hints of a deal to get oil flowing through the Strait, and signs of firming labor markets raise the question of shifting growth risks to the upside for 2H26. A reassessme...

12 Kesä 43min

Global Data Pod Weekender: Let me hear your cycle talk

Global Data Pod Weekender: Let me hear your cycle talk

Despite the purchasing power squeeze from the Middle East conflict, the resilient cycle has dominated the macro landscape. Business spending on capex and hiring looks be broadening out, supporting our...

5 Kesä 34min

Global Data Pod Weekender: I’m okay, you’re okay

Global Data Pod Weekender: I’m okay, you’re okay

The global expansion is showing resilience to the energy shock as the pre-war cyclical lift we have anticipated is absorbing the loss of purchasing power. As we enter week 14 of the Strait remaining c...

29 Touko 39min

Global Data Pod: Inflation monitor: Energy boosts headline, while core pressures build

Global Data Pod: Inflation monitor: Energy boosts headline, while core pressures build

Nora Szentivanyi is joined by Raphael Brun-Aguerre and Michael Hanson to discuss takeaways from the latest CPI reports and signals for the path ahead. Surging energy prices pushed global headline infl...

28 Touko 30min

Global Data Pod Weekender: Wobble, wobble

Global Data Pod Weekender: Wobble, wobble

After the data in recent weeks underscoring the cyclical uplift in the global economy since the start of the year, this week’s DM flash PMIs and China data remind us that the Iran-related headwind is ...

23 Touko 44min

Global Data Pod Weekender: Le coût de la vie

Global Data Pod Weekender: Le coût de la vie

Inflation is playing a dual role at present. First, as a driver of spending that is boosting the cost of living via higher energy prices. Second, as a reflection of the momentum in the underlying cycl...

14 Touko 37min

Global Data Pod: The Changing Chessboard of the South Caucasus

Global Data Pod: The Changing Chessboard of the South Caucasus

In this episode, we unpack how the war in the Middle East has been shaping the economic outlook for Azerbaijan, and why — perhaps surprisingly — it has generated some positive spillovers for Armenia t...

13 Touko 27min

Global Data Pod Weekender: Save poor Bob if you please

Global Data Pod Weekender: Save poor Bob if you please

The global economy is approaching a crossroad as the Strait of Hormuz remains closed and the threat of reaching operational stress levels is now only a month away. The baseline and adverse scenarios a...

30 Huhti 43min

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