Why There is No Off-Ramp for Trump’s Gulf War
Oil Ground Up19 Maalis

Why There is No Off-Ramp for Trump’s Gulf War

Matt Reed, Vice President at Foreign Reports, joins the Oil Ground Up Podcast to analyze the unprecedented and total closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a crisis that has now entered its third week with no clear off-ramp in sight. The conversation explores how a prolonged blockage represents more than a recessionary risk, threatening a "global depressionary event" that could fundamentally break energy markets and trigger double-digit contractions in regional economies. Reed breaks down the strategic impasse, noting that while the Trump administration seeks to degrade Iranian military capacity, Tehran is focused on regime survival by raising the global cost of intervention. The episode details a significant escalation in violence, highlighting recent Iranian strikes that targeted critical refineries in Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, as well as the destruction of Qatari LNG facilities. A major point of concern is the vulnerability of the East-West pipeline at Yanbu, demonstrating that even infrastructure designed to bypass the Strait is now within the reach of Iranian drones and missiles. The speakers address the "mystifying" price disconnect between Brent paper markets and the extreme physical scarcity reflected in $170 cash prices for Dubai crude and $200 jet fuel in Asia. In a surprising turn, the discussion touches on potential White House desperation, including rumors of seizing Iranian territory or offering sanctions relief to restore global supply. Finally, Reed concludes that the Strait remains a "shooting gallery" where commercial ships are ineligible for insurance, creating a crisis of lost time that could take years to repair.

Tämä jakso on lisätty Podme-palveluun avoimen RSS-syötteen kautta eikä se ole Podmen omaa tuotantoa. Siksi jakso saattaa sisältää mainontaa.

Jaksot(63)

Bob McNally on Hormuz, Oil Prices, and the End of Energy Security Assumptions

Bob McNally on Hormuz, Oil Prices, and the End of Energy Security Assumptions

Rory Johnston welcomes legendary energy analyst Bob McNally to Oil Ground Up for a sweeping conversation on the Strait of Hormuz crisis, global oil supply disruptions, and the fragile state of today’s...

29 Touko 1h 4min

How Iran Weaponized the World’s Most Important Oil Chokepoint

How Iran Weaponized the World’s Most Important Oil Chokepoint

Edward Fishman joins Rory for a sweeping conversation on the evolution of modern economic warfare, the origins of U.S. sanctions strategy against Iran, and how today’s Strait of Hormuz crisis is resha...

22 Touko 1h 7min

Energy Stocks Are Still Cheap? Eric Nuttall Explains the Opportunity

Energy Stocks Are Still Cheap? Eric Nuttall Explains the Opportunity

Eric Nuttall joins the Oil Ground Up podcast to discuss what he believes is the largest energy supply shock in modern history following the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz. He explains why m...

7 Touko 1h 1min

Tracking Tankers Through Chaos: Shadow Fleets, Blockades, and the New Oil War

Tracking Tankers Through Chaos: Shadow Fleets, Blockades, and the New Oil War

Maritime intelligence expert Michelle Bockmann joins the Oil Ground Up podcast to unpack the unprecedented disruption in global oil flows following the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz. She e...

29 Huhti 54min

Amena Bakr on the Market Blindness to the 13 Million Barrel Shock

Amena Bakr on the Market Blindness to the 13 Million Barrel Shock

Amena Bakr, the Head of Middle East Research at Kpler, joins Rory to provide an inside look at the functional closure of the Strait of Hormuz, where daily traffic has collapsed from 170 vessels to jus...

24 Huhti 1h 5min

Paper vs Physical: Inside Oil’s $30 Backwardation Shock with Veteran Trader Adi Imsirovic

Paper vs Physical: Inside Oil’s $30 Backwardation Shock with Veteran Trader Adi Imsirovic

Adi Imsirovic, a veteran oil trader and former academic, returns to the podcast to break down the mechanics of the Brent market at a moment of historic disruption. With more than 13 million barrels pe...

17 Huhti 46min

Record Backwardation: Understanding the Economic Return of USO in the Midst of a Global Supply Loss

Record Backwardation: Understanding the Economic Return of USO in the Midst of a Global Supply Loss

John Love, the CEO of USCF Investments, joins the podcast to celebrate the 20th anniversary of the United States Oil Fund (USO), which was the third commodity ETF ever launched. He explains that unlik...

9 Huhti 56min

Brutal Barrel Math: The Destruction of 10+ Million Barrels a Day Demand

Brutal Barrel Math: The Destruction of 10+ Million Barrels a Day Demand

Karim Fawaz joins the Oil Ground Up podcast to analyze the relentless four-week closure of the Strait of Hormuz and its impact on global energy balances. The conversation explores why futures markets ...

2 Huhti 58min

Suosittua kategoriassa Liike-elämä ja talous

sijotuskasti
rss-rahapodi
mimmit-sijoittaa
psykopodiaa-podcast
rss-oivalluksia-rahasta-elamasta
leadcast
asuntoasiaa-paivakirjat
rss-set-for-life-sijoita-ja-vaurastu
rss-ainin-sekatoimisto
rss-viisas-raha-podi
ostan-asuntoja-podcast
oppimisen-psykologia
hyva-paha-johtaminen
vapauta-supervoimasi-podcast
rss-rahamania
rss-pariisilaiset
rss-kaupan-tila
rss-kohti-unelmia
rss-startup-ministerio
rss-bisneksen-pehmea-puoli