Labor Force Participation Rate Plunges to 38-Year Low – Ep. 92

* Happy 4th of July to everyone
* Unfortunately, we have given up our independence to government tyranny
* I will be back on the radio again - I'll be on the Alex Jones Show every first and third Friday of every month when the Non-Farm Payroll numbers come out
* I will be doing tomorrow's show - the second hour of the show
* The Non-Farm Payroll Report came out early this week because of the 4th of July holiday
* The consensus forecast of 230,000 jobs was close to the actual number 223,000
* The unemployment rate of 5.5% last month was expected to come in at 5$% - actually came in at 5.3%, the lowest unemployment rate in 7 years
* Great news, right? Not great news
* The devil is in the details
* The Labor Force Participation Rate - 62.9 last month - plunged down to 62.6%
* This is the lowest rate since 1977
* 432,000 people dropped out of the labor force in June - twice the number of people who got jobs in June
* Once again, these new jobs are low-paying service sector jobs
* During the Obama "recovery" we have lost 1.4 million manufacturing jobs and gained 1.4 million wait staff and bartender jobs
* According to the Household Survey 640,000 Americans left the labor force in June
* Now we have a record 93.6 million Americans no longer in the labor force
* The Household Survey reports 349,000 jobs were lost during the month
* The only net gain - 161,000 part time jobs - represent a net loss
* The Household Survey shows that we lost good jobs
* When asked about the Labor Force Participation Rate number, Secretary of Labor Perez commented, "One month does not a trend make."
* This trend has been going down every month of every year that President Obama has been in office
* Janet Yellen announced that the Fed would not start raising rates without "further improvement in the labor market"
* She specifically cited the Labor Force Participation Rate and proliferation of part-time jobs as troubling trends
* We are now further from that goal
* The demographic leaving the labor force are young people who cannot find jobs
* Average Hourly Earnings, to increase .2, actually came in flat, at zero
* Last month's .3 increase was revised down to .2, failing to beat the estimate
* Weekly Jobless Claims expected to come in at 270,000, actually came in at 281,000 and I think this number is going to go higher
* There have been fewer hires and fewer fires than expected because the estimates were based on the Birth/Death model, that is proving inaccurate
* Factory Orders are down for 9 of the last 10 months - this month we were looking for -.3% and we got -1%
* April was originally reported as -.4 but was revised down to -.7
* Year over year Factory Orders are down 6.3% (adjusted)
* The only time we have seen numbers this weak is during a recession
* The economy is in worse shape now that when QE3 was launched
* Yet the markets did not react to these bad numbers
* They still cling to the narrative that the Fed is going to raise rates because the U.S. economy is in good shape
* Article on Motley Fool refers to me as someone who was "right for the wrong reason"
* The misquoted me on my prediction on (mortgage)interest rates going up
* After I made that statement, interest rates did go up for 2 years - they did not go down until after the bubble burst
* The Fed raised interest rates from 1% to 5-1/2 percent
* This quote was taken out of context - read my 2007 book, "Crash Proof"
* There are dozens of articles about the real estate bubble 2004-2007
* The record shows that I was right for all the right reasons
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