Weak Data Belies Fed’s Upbeat Narrative – Ep. 108

Weak Data Belies Fed’s Upbeat Narrative – Ep. 108


* The U.S. stock market finished out this holiday-shortened week on an upnote with the Dow Jones up just over 100 points
* This was the best week the market has had since March
* The dollar was softer on the week; the euro ended solidly above 113
* Gold was under pressure throughout the day but closed only off about $3.00
* Gold stocks earlier this morning were at the lowest I've seen in this cycle but then had a sharp reversal finishing much stronger on the day
* The markets are looking forward to no rate hike in September
* Michigan Consumer Sentiment Numbers may have been the catalyst to turn the market
* They were looking for 91 - slight below last month; instead we got 85.7 - a huge miss
* This is the biggest miss in the history of the index
* The bigger number was the Wholesale Trade Number, which was expected to reflect inventories to rise .3%
* Instead, inventories declined by .1%
* This will notch a little off of Q3 GDP
* More importantly, inventories went down, but sales also declined by .3%
* This means the inventory to sales ratio rose again
* It is not at the highest it has been since the 2008 financial crisis
* This level has only existed twice in the last 15 years and both of those times, the economy was in recession
* Another interesting chart is inventory to sales in the Auto sector
* Auto inventory to sales level has risen to 1.73% - the highest since 2009
* Today's inventory to sales ratio is even higher than the recession of 2001
* This is a sign that the Auto bubble is bursting
* If the Fed were going to raise interest rates in September, wouldn't we already know by now?
* The longer the Fed waits to raise rates, the less likely is is to do it
* If the Fed does rates and then has to go back to zero, it will look like the Fed was wrong about the economy
* It would be better now to keep rates at zero, indicating they understand the weakness in the economy
* The other risk of raising rates, and weakening the economy is that it may become evident that the Fed can never raise rates
* The driving force behind the dollar rally is expectation of normalization of rates
* The Fed has severed the legs of the economy and higher rates will expose this
* The Fed has plenty of excuses not to raise rates, but now that they started zero percent interest rates, they will not be able to stop
* The balance sheet has not shrunk at all
* There is no way out
* How can people think that we can keep interest rates this low for this long and not have problems?
* Artificially low interest rates causes mis-allocation of resources
* Those mistakes are corrected when interest rates go up
* The next economic downturn is going to leave the Fed with no other recourse than QE
* Fiscal stimulus will roll out during the election year to cover the bigger deficits caused by Keynesian stimulus package
* Also the emerging markets are just starting to unload U.S. Treasuries because they no longer need them to keep their currencies from rising
* When they realize that the dollar has peaked and a new bear market has begun, the Fed will have to not only stimulate the economy and monetize the growing deficit, they will also have to monetize the treasuries that are being sold by foreign central banks
* QE4 for will be bigger than QE1, QE2 or QE3
* The question is, when are people going to figure this out?
* When is the dialogue going to turn from when will the Fed raise rates to how big is the next stimulus package be and how soon will it be here?
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Trump Dodged a Bullet, but Economy Won’t Be So Lucky - Ep 969

Trump Dodged a Bullet, but Economy Won’t Be So Lucky - Ep 969

Visit https:/indeed.com/peter to start hiring now.Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comInvest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/investBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

15 Heinä 20241h 7min

Bad News for Biden and the Economy - Ep 968

Bad News for Biden and the Economy - Ep 968

NetSuite is offering a one-of-a-kind flexible financing program. https://netsuite.com/goldSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comInvest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/investBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

8 Heinä 202456min

Biden Bombs Bigly - Ep 967

Biden Bombs Bigly - Ep 967

Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at https://mintmobile.com/gold. $45 upfront payment required.For new customers on the first 3 month plan only. Thanks Constant Contact. Start GROWING your business today with a free trial at https://constantcontact.comSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comInvest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/investBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

29 Kesä 202456min

New Inflationary Government Program Subverts Fed - Ep 966

New Inflationary Government Program Subverts Fed - Ep 966

NetSuite is offering a one-of-a-kind flexible financing program. https://netsuite.com/gold🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com📈 Invest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/invest📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

24 Kesä 202455min

Fed Fakes Inflation Fight as Pretext for Future Cuts - Ep 965

Fed Fakes Inflation Fight as Pretext for Future Cuts - Ep 965

Get an additional 15% off an annual membership at https://masterclass.com/goldVisit https:/indeed.com/peter to start hiring now.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com📈 Invest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/invest📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

15 Kesä 202452min

Did China Just Sucker Investors Out of Their Gold? - Ep 964

Did China Just Sucker Investors Out of Their Gold? - Ep 964

NetSuite is offering a one-of-a-kind flexible financing program. https://netsuite.com/gold🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com📈 Invest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/invest📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

10 Kesä 202456min

Biden Is the Real Felon, Not Trump - Ep 963

Biden Is the Real Felon, Not Trump - Ep 963

Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at https://mintmobile.com/gold. $45 upfront payment required. For new customers on the first 3 month plan only.Thanks Constant Contact. Start GROWING your business today with a free trial at https://constantcontact.com🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com📈 Invest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/invest🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

3 Kesä 20241h

Is the Money in Your Pocket Counterfeit? - Ep 962

Is the Money in Your Pocket Counterfeit? - Ep 962

During an unexpected podcast episode from The Bahamas, Peter Schiff discusses the significant breakout in silver prices, reaching the highest since 2013, and the new record highs in gold. He elaborates on central banks' preference for gold over silver and the retail selling trend, emphasizing an opportunity to buy both metals after a correction. Schiff points out the ineffectiveness of the Fed's statements and actions on the true value of gold and silver, suggesting that prices will rise regardless of rate cuts. He uses historical experiences and the transition from real silver coins to nickel-clad copper as an example of government devaluation of currency. Schiff highlights the potential in buying physical silver, especially 'junk silver', for its barter value and the current low premiums as an investment opportunity. He also touches on the importance of investing in gold and silver mining stocks, recommending professional guidance for navigating the sector.NetSuite is offering a one-of-a-kind flexible financing program. https://netsuite.com/goldGet an additional 15% off an annual membership at https://masterclass.com/gold🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com📈 Invest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/invest🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

23 Touko 202456min

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