It’s Crunch Time For The Fed As Stagflation Looms  – Ep. 162

It’s Crunch Time For The Fed As Stagflation Looms – Ep. 162


* Earlier today the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee, (FOMC) began their 2-day meeting
* It concludes tomorrow and at 2:00 they will announce their decision on interest rates
* Nobody is anxiously awaiting that announcement
* Although there were plenty of fools a few months ago who actually believed the Federal Reserve would be raising interest rates, in fact they thought they were going to raise them in March and then, when they didn't there were a lot of people who still thought they might do it in April
* But some of these fools still believe the Fed is going to hike rates later in the year - maybe June
* Maybe June, September and December
* There are still people, like Goldman Sachs, who are looking for 3 rate hikes this year
* I was on a panel months ago with Jim Rickards, whom I have a lot of respect for, and back then he argued with me, because he believed the Fed would raise rates 2 if not 3 times in 2016
* I said the Fed would not raise rates at all
* Today I posted an interview that he gave on Bloomberg - now Jim Rickards says Janet Yellen has gone super-dove and she is not going to raise rates
* The reason Jim Rickards disagreed with me on the panel a couple of months ago is that, although he agrees with my thoughts on the economy, is that he thought the Fed would not recognize that the economy is very weak, rather that it believes the economy is still recovering
* He thought the Fed would raise rates anyway, which would cause a recession, cause the Fed to abort the increases, go back to zero and to QE4
* I said, I think we are going to skip all the rate hikes and go directly to rate cuts and QE4
* And now I think Jim has joined me in that perspective
* The question is: Will the Federal Reserve actually admit that the economy is that weak, or just not raise rates, which is tantamount to an admission of weakness
* We are going to get the first official look at Q1 GDP on Thursday
* There's a good chance that we will print a negative number
* And even if we don't print a negative number, it will be a single digit number less than 1
* And by the time they revise it the following month to incorporate all the bad news that comes after Thursday, I think they will revise it negative
* Which means we're in a recession
* If Q1 is negative, and I don't believe we will get a bounce-back in Q2
* I think Q1 is the high water mark and it's down hill from here
* I think Q2 will be weaker regardless of how weak Q1 is, because we borrowed growth from Q2 because we had the warmest winter in 120 years
* Companies are now winding down their bloated inventories that they built up the last couple of years
* And because the trade deficits are getting bigger and not smaller
* So we have a lot weighing down GDP in Q2 in an already weak economy
* By the way, the Atlanta Fed revised up their Q1 GDP number from .3 to .4
* Why did they do that? This is the second time the Atlanta Fed has upwardly revised their estimate, despite the fact that the economic data has gotten worse since their last estimate
* If the data gets worse, why would you revise your forecast up?
* To me something's going on, maybe it's the boys at the New York Fed putting pressure on Atlanta to be more optimistic, but we'll see, because we will get the first official numbers on Thursday
* Let me go over some of the economic data that has come out just since my last podcast
* On Friday last week, we got the PMI Flash Index for April - not a Q1 number
* One of the first numbers for Q2 and it ain't pretty - the consensus was for an improvement
* March was 51.4, and 52 was expected - we got 50.8 - much weaker than the Atlanta Fed thought
* New Home Sales missed; they were looking for 522,000, Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Jaksot(1086)

Misplaced Outrage: The Truth About Health Insurance Companies - Ep 998

Misplaced Outrage: The Truth About Health Insurance Companies - Ep 998

Gold reaches record highs, silver follows. Market reactions, inflation concerns, Fed's policies, Bitcoin scrutiny, and Trump's political stance.Mint Mobile: Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at mintmobile.com/gold. $45 upfront payment required. For new customers on the first 3 month plan only.Nutrafol: Get $10 off your first month’s subscription + free shipping at https://nutrafol.com when you use promo code GOLDPeter Schiff discusses the significant rise in gold prices, noting that gold is nearing its all-time high in Australian dollars and other currencies while lagging in the U.S. dollar. He explains the underperformance of gold mining stocks and touches on labor costs in Australia. Peter also critiques current market sentiments, especially around Bitcoin, arguing against Michael Saylor's extreme advocacy and highlighting the potential risks of institutional investments in Bitcoin. Schiff then shifts gears to politics, offering a critical analysis of Donald Trump's economic policies, including misleading claims about inflation and tariffs. He also examines Trump's stance on entitlements and his approach to immigration reform. Concluding with poignant contrasts between the Daniel Penny and Luigi Mangione cases, Peter offers a compelling narrative on the current socio-political climate.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:00 Gold's Meteoric Rise and Market Analysis02:51 Gold Mining Stocks and Market Sentiment05:33 Silver's Performance and Investment Advice08:02 Bitcoin's Market Dynamics and Institutional Investments09:43 Bitcoin vs. Gold: A Critical Comparison11:48 Political Influence on Bitcoin and Economic Policies20:40 Trump's Economic Claims and Tariff Policies35:54 Trade Deficits and Misconceptions37:33 Trump's Deportation Stance39:31 Youth Vote and Political Naivety41:18 Trump's Infallibility Complex42:38 Entitlement Reform and Obamacare46:49 Healthcare Industry and Insurance54:22 Contrasting Murders: Luigi and Penny01:02:22 Podcast Wrap-Up and Upcoming Topics#GoldMarket #BitcoinInvesting #USPoliticsOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

11 Joulu 202459min

Bitcoin Tops $100K on Expected Government Bailout - Ep 997

Bitcoin Tops $100K on Expected Government Bailout - Ep 997

Discusses market's record highs, job report boosts, consumer sentiment post-Trump election, Bitcoin surge, and upcoming economic challenges.- Get 15% off OneSkin with the code GOLD at https://oneskin.co- Go to https://legalzoom.com and use promo code SCHIFF to get 10% off.Peter Schiff discusses the new record highs in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, the slight downturn in the Dow, and the significant jump in consumer sentiment post-election. Schiff emphasizes the discrepancy between consumer optimism about Trump's election and his own skepticism. He critiques Jerome Powell's inflation forecast and the reliability of job reports, highlighting an ironic spike and drop in Bitcoin prices. Schiff touches upon job market anomalies, rising consumer credit despite high interest rates, and the potential implications of political changes on the financial market. He concludes with a critical view on the feasibility of the proposed 3-3-3 economic plan and the broader economic implications of Trump’s policies and Bitcoin expectations.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:00 Introduction and Market Update02:45 Consumer Sentiment and Election Impact05:34 Jobs Report Analysis06:12 Bitcoin's Rollercoaster Ride07:25 Economic Data and Government Jobs16:28 Bitcoin and Government Policies31:03 The Impact of Bitcoin on the Economy33:08 Consumer Credit Numbers Analysis36:34 Job Cuts and Unemployment Data37:10 Trade Deficit Insights39:31 Scott Bessent's Economic Plan45:58 Challenges of Reducing Budget Deficits54:48 Oil Production Goals and Economic Realities59:26 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#Bitcoin #Trump #economyOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

6 Joulu 202456min

Powell Knows the Public Can’t Handle the Truth - Ep 996

Powell Knows the Public Can’t Handle the Truth - Ep 996

Discussion on US comments, import/export dynamics, reserve currency, major exports, economic data trends, and constitutional aspects of the exit tax.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldSign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/gold😹 🎶 New music video 'Jerk' by Laughing Cats: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iLpkHV5JvEAPeter Schiff addresses comments from his previous podcast about America's imports and elaborates on the nation's dependency on them. He explains the significant trade deficit and America's reliance on the dollar's reserve currency status, which allows for importing more than exporting. Schiff also provides insights into the economic repercussions of this imbalance, highlighting the country's major exports. The podcast discusses the federal financial burden, economic data releases, and the consequences of high interest rates on national debt. Schiff finishes with commentary on current events, including Biden's pardon of Hunter and Roger Ver's tax evasion case challenging the constitutionality of the exit tax.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Addressing Comments02:10 America's Import and Export Dynamics03:39 Top 10 American Exports17:02 Economic Data and Market Reactions27:08 Interview with Jerome Powell36:14 The Debt Bubble and Interest Rates38:27 Promotions and Announcements42:06 Biden's Pardon of Hunter44:48 Fraud and Legal Battles51:10 Roger Ver and the Exit Tax01:04:14 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#JPowell #Fed #EconomyOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

5 Joulu 20241h 2min

Bye-Bye, What Americans Buy - Ep 995

Bye-Bye, What Americans Buy - Ep 995

Peter Schiff discusses Black Friday's origin, American consumerism, the nation's heavy reliance on imports, and Trump's economic policies.This episode is sponsored by:OneSkin: Get 15% off OneSkin with the code GOLD at https://oneskin.coLucy: Go to https://lucy.co/gold and use promo code GOLD to get 20% off your first orderPeter Schiff discusses the concept of Black Friday and its origins, contrasting it with current perceptions of economic strength. He delves into the United States' heavy reliance on imported goods, listing numerous products and categories predominantly produced abroad. Schiff criticizes American consumer habits, particularly the reliance on debt for holiday spending, and challenges the notion of economic strength based on consumption rather than production. He critiques Donald Trump's trade policies, immigration stance, and economic strategies, arguing that America's perceived strength is a myth dependent on unsustainable consumption and foreign production. Schiff also touches on the impracticality of Trump's proposals for cutting government spending and tariffs, emphasizing the need for long-term investments and sacrifices to rebuild America's productive capacity.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks01:45 The History and Significance of Black Friday05:03 Economic Misconceptions and Consumer Behavior08:57 The Reality of American Consumption11:01 Trump's Views on the Dollar and BRICS17:49 The Consequences of Losing Foreign Goods30:57 America's Dependence on Imported Goods31:19 The Coffee and Seafood Shock33:09 Produce and Other Imports33:59 The Illusion of a Strong Economy36:42 The Reality of American Imports38:30 Trump's Economic Promises and Reality39:14 The Challenge of Reindustrializing America43:36 Immigration and Labor Policies49:23 Tariffs and Government Spending51:59 The Future of the American Economy01:01:10 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#AmericanEconomy #BlackFridayHistory #EconomicPolicyOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

2 Joulu 202457min

Tariffs: Not the Turkey We Want This Thanksgiving - Ep 994

Tariffs: Not the Turkey We Want This Thanksgiving - Ep 994

Peter Schiff discusses Thanksgiving's capitalist roots, the Pilgrims' failed socialism, tariffs' economic impact, and recent market trends.Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at http://mintmobile.com/gold.Visit http://indeed.com/peter to start hiring now.Peter Schiff's Thanksgiving special podcast from St. Barths offers a compelling narrative on the history and lessons of Thanksgiving, celebrating capitalism over socialism. Drawing parallels between the early Pilgrims' failed communal experiment and Karl Marx's theories, Schiff emphasizes the pivotal role of individual incentives and free markets. He transitions into discussing current economic data, trade deficits, and the impact of tariffs under the Trump administration, debunking common economic misconceptions. Schiff argues that tariffs harm the US economy more than they benefit it and critiques government monetary policies, predicting economic challenges ahead. He concludes with reflections on the resilience of human nature and the enduring principles of capitalism.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:00 Introduction02:24 Thanksgiving and Capitalism05:14 The Pilgrims' Experiment with Socialism09:28 The Shift to Capitalism and Its Success12:22 Modern Implications of Pilgrims' Lessons18:38 Gold Market and Global Economy26:19 Impact of Tariffs on the Dollar30:16 Final Thoughts Before Break32:11 Debunking Tariffs and the Strong Dollar Myth33:49 The Impact of Tariffs on Trade Deficit36:38 Manufacturing Sector and Economic Weakness40:48 Tariffs and Inflation: A Misunderstood Relationship44:17 Global Trade and Comparative Advantage49:37 Economic Data and Market Reactions57:35 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#capitalism #Tariffs #ThanksgivingOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

27 Marras 202455min

Data Revisions Confirming What Voters Already Knew - Ep 993

Data Revisions Confirming What Voters Already Knew - Ep 993

Go to https://Lucy.co/GOLD and use promo code gold get 20 percent off your first order. Go to https://LegalZoom.com and use promo code SCHIFF to get 10% off. LegalZoom is not a law firm and does not provide legal advice, except where authorized through its subsidiary law firm LZ Legal Services, LLC.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ne__pTRAenc&t=42s🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

24 Marras 202453min

Bitcoin: The Biggest Bubble of Them All - Ep 992

Bitcoin: The Biggest Bubble of Them All - Ep 992

Bitcoin hits new highs; MicroStrategy's risky Bitcoin investments; Trump's impact; misallocation in crypto; China's strategic investments; UK labor rights.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldGet $10 off your first month’s subscription + free shipping at https://nutrafol.com when you use promo code GOLDPeter Schiff critiques the hype surrounding Bitcoin and MicroStrategy's investment strategies, attributing Bitcoin's recent gains to speculative fervor tied to political promises by figures like Donald Trump and Robert Kennedy Jr. He argues that such speculative bubbles harm the economy by misallocating resources. Schiff contrasts these developments with China's strategic investments in infrastructure, which bolster their economic position. He also discusses the implications of labor laws in the UK and their potential to backfire by increasing automation and outsourcing. Schiff concludes by emphasizing the ongoing devaluation of the dollar and the risks posed by continued abandonment of the gold standard.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks01:38 Bitcoin's Record Highs and Market Dynamics02:37 Trump's Influence on Bitcoin09:16 MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Strategy17:45 Commercial Break19:03 Bitcoin Bubble and Market Criticism23:40 Gold Standard and Economic Perspectives25:49 Bitcoin vs. Gold Debate31:22 Commercial Break31:46 Holiday Season and Hair Health32:00 Nutrafol: The Ultimate Hair Growth Solution33:27 The Cost of Healthy Eating37:39 Impact of Immigration Policies43:29 UK's Labor Bill of Rights57:33 Conclusion and Upcoming Events#Bitcoin #MicroStrategy #goldOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

20 Marras 202455min

The Road to Inflation Is Paved With Debt - Ep 991

The Road to Inflation Is Paved With Debt - Ep 991

Analyzing bond yields, Fed policies, national debt impacts, and contrasting Bitcoin's speculative rise against gold's decline post-Trump win.📣 Sign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/gold📣 ExpressVPN: Get an extra 3 months free. https://expressvpn.com/goldIn this episode, Peter Schiff explores the current market trends led by the bond market and their broader impacts. He discusses the recent high yields on U.S. Treasuries, Fed rate cuts, and inflation adjustments. Schiff critiques the enormous rise in national debt under both Trump and Biden administrations and cautions against further deficit spending. He delves into the implications of rising interest rates on the housing market, the dollar's strength, and gold prices. Schiff also comments on the speculative nature of Bitcoin, and the potential consequences of the U.S. government's proposed involvement in Bitcoin transactions. He shares his skepticism about the Department of Government Efficiency and the unrealistic expectations for spending cuts. Peter Schiff emphasizes the importance of sound economic policies and the dangers of continued fiscal irresponsibility.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:00 Introduction: The Trump Trade and Bond Market Dynamics02:13 Impact of Fed Rate Cuts on Treasury Yields03:34 National Debt and Presidential Records07:08 Bitcoin vs. Gold: Market Reactions07:44 Senator Loomis' Bitcoin Proposal10:57 Sarcastic Social Security Plan with Bitcoin17:19 Debunking the Strong Economy Narrative19:22 Rising Interest Rates and Inflation Concerns26:24 Department of Government Efficiency: A Joke?30:39 Challenges in Cutting Government Programs31:03 Reagan's Failed Attempts and Trump's Prospects32:13 The Reality of Government Job Cuts33:48 Trump's Spending Promises vs. Reality36:50 Bitcoin and the Financial Bubble44:51 The Constitutional Debate on Money Printing50:35 The Federal Reserve's Role and Independence53:00 Conclusion and Future Outlook#FederalReserve #TrumpTrade #BitcoinPriceOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

16 Marras 202452min

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