It’s Crunch Time For The Fed As Stagflation Looms  – Ep. 162

It’s Crunch Time For The Fed As Stagflation Looms – Ep. 162


* Earlier today the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee, (FOMC) began their 2-day meeting
* It concludes tomorrow and at 2:00 they will announce their decision on interest rates
* Nobody is anxiously awaiting that announcement
* Although there were plenty of fools a few months ago who actually believed the Federal Reserve would be raising interest rates, in fact they thought they were going to raise them in March and then, when they didn't there were a lot of people who still thought they might do it in April
* But some of these fools still believe the Fed is going to hike rates later in the year - maybe June
* Maybe June, September and December
* There are still people, like Goldman Sachs, who are looking for 3 rate hikes this year
* I was on a panel months ago with Jim Rickards, whom I have a lot of respect for, and back then he argued with me, because he believed the Fed would raise rates 2 if not 3 times in 2016
* I said the Fed would not raise rates at all
* Today I posted an interview that he gave on Bloomberg - now Jim Rickards says Janet Yellen has gone super-dove and she is not going to raise rates
* The reason Jim Rickards disagreed with me on the panel a couple of months ago is that, although he agrees with my thoughts on the economy, is that he thought the Fed would not recognize that the economy is very weak, rather that it believes the economy is still recovering
* He thought the Fed would raise rates anyway, which would cause a recession, cause the Fed to abort the increases, go back to zero and to QE4
* I said, I think we are going to skip all the rate hikes and go directly to rate cuts and QE4
* And now I think Jim has joined me in that perspective
* The question is: Will the Federal Reserve actually admit that the economy is that weak, or just not raise rates, which is tantamount to an admission of weakness
* We are going to get the first official look at Q1 GDP on Thursday
* There's a good chance that we will print a negative number
* And even if we don't print a negative number, it will be a single digit number less than 1
* And by the time they revise it the following month to incorporate all the bad news that comes after Thursday, I think they will revise it negative
* Which means we're in a recession
* If Q1 is negative, and I don't believe we will get a bounce-back in Q2
* I think Q1 is the high water mark and it's down hill from here
* I think Q2 will be weaker regardless of how weak Q1 is, because we borrowed growth from Q2 because we had the warmest winter in 120 years
* Companies are now winding down their bloated inventories that they built up the last couple of years
* And because the trade deficits are getting bigger and not smaller
* So we have a lot weighing down GDP in Q2 in an already weak economy
* By the way, the Atlanta Fed revised up their Q1 GDP number from .3 to .4
* Why did they do that? This is the second time the Atlanta Fed has upwardly revised their estimate, despite the fact that the economic data has gotten worse since their last estimate
* If the data gets worse, why would you revise your forecast up?
* To me something's going on, maybe it's the boys at the New York Fed putting pressure on Atlanta to be more optimistic, but we'll see, because we will get the first official numbers on Thursday
* Let me go over some of the economic data that has come out just since my last podcast
* On Friday last week, we got the PMI Flash Index for April - not a Q1 number
* One of the first numbers for Q2 and it ain't pretty - the consensus was for an improvement
* March was 51.4, and 52 was expected - we got 50.8 - much weaker than the Atlanta Fed thought
* New Home Sales missed; they were looking for 522,000, Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Jaksot(1086)

Powell Admits Fed Has No Plan For Stagflation - Ep 990

Powell Admits Fed Has No Plan For Stagflation - Ep 990

Markets soar on Trump's return, skepticism persists. Budget deficits, trade issues, and economic challenges under scrutiny.For 20% off your Momentous order, head to https://livemomentous.com and use code GOLD.Peter Schiff dissects the economic landscape post Donald Trump's re-election, contrasting the current market euphoria with his skepticism. He discusses the stock market's all-time highs, driven by nominal gains, and expresses doubt about a sustainable 'Trump Boom' given historical failures to address trade and budget deficits. Schiff emphasizes the worsening economic conditions since 2016, highlighting higher interest rates, increased national debt, and a fragile economy. He questions Trump's proposed tax cuts and deregulation policies, arguing they are not a panacea and may exacerbate economic problems. With no clear plan from the Federal Reserve to tackle stagflation, Schiff advises listeners to be wary of the current market optimism and consider investing in foreign stocks and gold.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffTimestamps:00:00 Trump Mania and Market Reactions02:07 Trump's Economic Promises and Failures03:05 Challenges Facing Trump's Second Term04:59 Tax Cuts and Economic Realities09:26 Global Economic Trends and Comparisons21:48 Investment Strategies and Market Predictions30:07 Fed Rate Cut and Economic Implications31:34 Monetary Policy and Debt Levels32:32 Gold Price Movements and Press Conference Insights33:38 Inflation Shock and Central Bank Policies37:06 Fed's Stance on Fiscal Policy and Deficits42:00 Election Results and Economic Perception45:21 Stagflation Concerns and Fed's Response49:40 Investment Strategies and Market Outlook53:46 Conclusion and Call to Action#TrumpEconomics #MarketPredictions #InvestmentStrategyOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

8 Marras 202452min

Trump Won. Now What? - Ep 989

Trump Won. Now What? - Ep 989

Trump wins 2024, repeating 2016 win. Markets react with highs, despite unchanged economy woes. Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldPeter Schiff offers an in-depth analysis of Donald Trump's historic second term win, comparing it to Grover Cleveland's non-consecutive terms. Schiff critiques Trump's economic promises, tax cuts, and deregulation efforts, arguing they complicate existing fiscal problems rather than providing solutions. He highlights the disparity between media portrayal of the economy and the public's experience, emphasizing long-term issues such as the escalating national debt and rising interest rates. Schiff also discusses market reactions, potential impacts on stocks, cryptocurrencies, and commodities like gold. He delves into media bias and corruption, his own legal battles, and concerns for future economic stability under Trump's presidency.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:00 Introduction and Opening Statements01:22 Trump's Historical Win and Economic Analysis06:38 Media Reactions and Public Sentiment11:10 Market Reactions and Financial Implications20:40 Comparing Economic Conditions: 2016 vs. 202425:47 Challenges Ahead for Trump's Second Term32:42 Political Gridlock and Tax Cuts33:45 Impact of Tax Cuts on Tips and Overtime34:45 Consequences of Exempting Social Security from Taxes36:21 Inflation and Economic Concerns38:17 Historical Context: Liz Truss and Tax Cuts39:59 The Bond Market's Role in Economic Stability44:02 Trump's Economic Promises and Realities46:04 Criticism of Trump's Policies50:11 Personal Legal Battle and Government Corruption01:01:41 Conclusion and Call to Action#TrumpWin #EconomicAnalysis #GovernmentCorruptionOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

7 Marras 20241h

Data of the Dead - Ep 988

Data of the Dead - Ep 988

Peter Schiff analyzes recent economic data, jobs report, GDP numbers, inflation concerns, and criticizes government policies. He discusses impacts on markets, gold, and cryptocurrency.Support our sponsors:Get 15% off OneSkin with the code GOLD at https://www.oneskin.coGet $20 credit by being one of the first 500 traders. https://kalshi.com/goldNew song "Jerk" by Laughing Cats: https://open.spotify.com/album/6lCPwgHxmdSoPffsPofkXa🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffTimestamps:01:41 Economic Data Overview02:41 GDP and Consumer Spending Analysis03:55 Inflation and Government Spending06:23 Job Cuts and Personal Income12:28 Manufacturing Sector Insights15:09 October Jobs Report Preview15:23 Sponsor Message: OneSkin17:05 Personal Update and Music Promotion19:56 October Jobs Report Analysis26:24 Market Reactions and Predictions29:46 Sponsor Message: Kalshi34:51 MicroStrategy vs. Newmont Mining: A Market Analysis42:23 Bitcoin and Market Sentiment45:24 The Contrarian Investment Approach46:31 The Importance of a Constitutional Republic47:34 The Trump Economic Miracle: Fact or Fiction?50:49 Voting Strategy for Libertarians56:51 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#gold #mstr #bitcoinOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

1 Marras 202453min

U.S. Consumers More Reliant Than Ever on Foreign Producers - Ep 987

U.S. Consumers More Reliant Than Ever on Foreign Producers - Ep 987

Kamala Harris' election odds, Trump's market impact, economic data, job reports, consumer confidence, and record-high gold.Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at https://mintmobile.com/gold. $45 upfront payment required. For new customers on the first 3 month plan only.Market Predictions, Election Insights, and Economic Realities Peter Schiff addresses the economic landscape, election dynamics, and market predictions. He critiques Kamala Harris's low betting odds, Trump's rise in the polls, and the weak job market, emphasizing that the economic data contradicts the portrayal of a strong economy by the media. Peter discusses the trade deficit, consumer confidence, and the implications of the Biden administration's policies. He also explores the effects of potential tariffs, tax cuts, and deficits on inflation and suggests that investor behavior towards gold mining stocks and Bitcoin signals broader economic trends. Peter expresses dissatisfaction with the Puerto Rican government's actions regarding his bank and hints at future revelations. This episode provides a detailed analysis of the interplay between politics and economics and serves as a call to think critically about the upcoming election and its impact on the economy.Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffTimesstamps:01:03 Introduction and Market Update01:42 Gold and Silver Price Surge04:45 Impact of Fed Rate Cuts07:24 Economic Indicators and Job Market Analysis08:35 Inflation and Bond Market Dynamics10:39 Gold Market Trends and Predictions26:47 Trump's Influence on Markets33:16 Understanding Direct and Indirect Taxes33:53 Trump's Tariffs and the BRICS Summit34:39 Impact of Tariffs on the Dollar36:44 Global Shift Away from the Dollar43:30 Paul Tudor Jones on Inflation and Debt48:57 The Looming Debt Crisis57:48 Conclusion and Final ThoughtsOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

30 Loka 202453min

Dismantling the Dollar Brick by Brick - Ep 986

Dismantling the Dollar Brick by Brick - Ep 986

Gold Market Insights, Dollar Debate, and Trump's Tax ProposalsGet $10 off your first month’s subscription + free shipping at https://nutrafol.com when you use promo code GOLDRegister for the New Orleans Investment Conference: https://neworleansconference.com/schiff/Peter Schiff brings an in-depth analysis of recent market volatility, focusing on the enduring yet controversial performance of gold amidst economic uncertainty. He dissects Newmont Mining's significant stock drop despite strong earnings, critiques market reactions, and evaluates potential highs for gold stocks. Schiff scrutinizes Trump's tax proposals, illustrating their impracticality due to extensive government spending and misconceptions about tariffs. He offers perspectives on the US dollar's potential crash following a period of rally, emphasizing the global shift towards gold for stable international trade. Schiff also debates the benefits of a gold standard, insights into rising treasury yields, labor costs, and currency fluctuations. Additional topics include critiques of government policies such as the FTC's 'click-to-cancel' rule, and a call to prioritize free market principles for economic health.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks01:35 Upcoming New Orleans Investment Conference04:03 Gold and Silver Market Analysis06:11 Newmont Mining Earnings Report13:56 Investment Opportunities in Gold Stocks20:28 US Treasury Yields and Janet Yellen's Remarks26:04 Trump's Tax Proposals and Historical Context29:04 The Evolution of Payroll Taxes29:47 Trump's Misunderstanding of Tariffs31:24 MicroStrategy and Bitcoin33:38 Debating the Future of the Dollar40:02 The BRIC Summit and Dollar Alternatives45:56 Government Meddling in Subscriptions52:00 Labor Market Regulations in the UK56:49 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#GoldMarket #USeconomy #FederalReserveOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

25 Loka 202455min

Gold and Silver Are Poised to Melt Up - Ep 985

Gold and Silver Are Poised to Melt Up - Ep 985

Gold rises, Fed policies, inflation, QE, Trump, Bitcoin, BRICS, debt.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldSign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/goldPeter Schiff delves into recent economic developments and market trends, returning from the Orlando Money Show to share his insights. He discusses the significant rise in gold and silver prices, the unexpected increase in long-term bond yields following the Fed's rate cuts, and critiques of mainstream media narratives about the economy's strength. Schiff argues that underlying economic conditions are weaker than reported, leading to higher inflation and growing budget deficits. He touches on the sell-off in U.S. treasury bonds, the BRICS Summit's implications for the dollar, and the illusion of wealth created by inflation. Schiff analyzes Donald Trump's economic policies, including the potential for a 'Trump dump' on Bitcoin and the harms of new tax schemes and tariffs. He concludes by advocating for an honest default on debt to avoid hyperinflation, highlighting the need for realistic economic solutions to manage the impending crisis effectively.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff01:03 Introduction and Market Update01:42 Gold and Silver Price Surge04:45 Impact of Fed Rate Cuts07:24 Economic Indicators and Job Market Analysis08:35 Inflation and Bond Market Dynamics10:39 Gold Market Trends and Predictions26:47 Trump's Influence on Markets33:16 Understanding Direct and Indirect Taxes33:53 Trump's Tariffs and the BRICS Summit34:39 Impact of Tariffs on the Dollar36:44 Global Shift Away from the Dollar43:30 Paul Tudor Jones on Inflation and Debt48:57 The Looming Debt Crisis57:48 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#GoldMarket #Inflation #EconomyPredictionOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

23 Loka 202456min

Investors and Gamblers Are Betting on Trump - Ep 984

Investors and Gamblers Are Betting on Trump - Ep 984

Stock and Bitcoin trends, Fed's influence on metal prices, policy impacts on economy, and tariff effects on manufacturing.For 20% off your Momentous order, head to https://livemomentous.com and use code GOLD.Get $20 credit by being one of the first 500 traders. https://kalshi.com/goldPeter provides a comprehensive analysis of the current economic and political landscape. Beginning with the record highs in the Dow Jones and the booming interest in Bitcoin, Peter attributes market optimism to Donald Trump's rising poll numbers and potential tax cuts. He critiques the Federal Reserve's rate cuts and their long-term implications on interest rates and the U.S. dollar. Peter dives into the disconnect between rising long-term interest rates and stable gold prices, and highlights the growing interest in Bitcoin among traders.He also scrutinizes Kamala Harris's faltering poll numbers and her economic proposals, arguing against government intervention in business funding and advocating for free-market solutions. Delving deeper, Peter discusses the negative impact of tariffs and the decline of American manufacturing, urging for deregulation and tax cuts. Concluding with a discussion on the hidden costs of tariffs, taxes, and government spending.Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffTimestamps:00:00 Introduction and Orlando Money Show Announcement01:51 Market Trends and New Highs02:42 The Trump Trade and Bitcoin09:38 Gold and Silver Market Analysis17:48 Oil Prices and Political Influence20:46 African American Vote and Political Strategies33:31 The Flawed Business Model33:52 Unconstitutional Programs and Racial Criteria36:34 The Problem with Government Funding38:44 Occupational Licensing Laws42:34 Tariffs and Economic Misconceptions45:58 The Decline of American Manufacturing51:12 The Real Impact of Tariffs53:58 The History and Consequences of Taxation57:32 Conclusion and Final ThoughtsOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

15 Loka 202454min

You Can’t Depend on Politically Crafted Government Data - Ep 983

You Can’t Depend on Politically Crafted Government Data - Ep 983

Critiquing job reports. Questioning the Fed. Scrutinizing data. Inflation methods. Political motives. State preparedness.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldLaughing Cats - GYB OFFICIAL MUSIC VIDEO: https://youtu.be/dSdTZ3judPs?feature=sharedSchiff critically examines the recent jobs report, labeling it as misleading and detailing the implications of government employment statistics. He questions the significance of the Federal Reserve's decisions on interest cuts, given what he considers unreliable government data. Schiff delves into the complexities of inflation reports, expressing skepticism on the methodologies for calculating inflation and unemployment. He also addresses the political motivations behind such statistics. Emphasizing Milton Friedman’s perspective, Schiff highlights government spending as the true measure of taxation and inflation. Additionally, he critiques the inefficiencies of FEMA and advocates for state-level emergency preparedness. Schiff touches on his wife's new music project and encourages support for her band, 'Laughing Cats.' The episode wraps up with Schiff’s comments on upcoming content and a holiday observance note.Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

11 Loka 202457min

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