Decoding the bond sell-off

Decoding the bond sell-off

Global bond yields have been rising sharply, with long-term yields breaking higher across multiple markets - pushing US 30‑year yields above 5%.​

The sell-off was initially triggered by energy-linked inflation resulting from the Iran war, but increasingly reflects a broader, cross‑market re-pricing, with fiscal pressures, shifting rate expectations and signs of bear‑flattening emerging in key markets.​

In this episode of the Barclays Brief, Lucile Flight, Managing Director in Rates Trading, joins Patrick Coffey to examine what’s driving the move in different regions – from political uncertainty shaping UK gilts to changing views on neutral rates in the US and a dialled-back ECB response in Europe. ​

They discuss what could bring yields down again and where investors are seeing the most compelling opportunities across global rates.​

Listeners can hear more on this topic:​​​


Clients can read more on Barclays Live:​​


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Jaksot(33)

European rates: Inflation & AI waves collide

European rates: Inflation & AI waves collide

Markets have been anything but calm lately. Inflation shocks, surging energy prices and the AI narrative have collided to deliver one of the most dramatic periods in rates markets in years, forcing in...

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A bullish view on US equities

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Markets may look relatively steady compared with past oil shocks, but the real story sits in the undercurrents. Despite only a modest pullback in major indices, the Iran‑linked shock has sparked some ...

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Processing uncertainty in real time

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Volatility has returned, and markets are recalibrating risk premia as new sources of uncertainty emerge across oil, inflation expectations, private credit and the AI investment cycle.In this episode o...

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Weight loss drugs: Scaling up

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Weight loss drugs have pushed the obesity therapeutics market to an inflection point, reshaping not only patient behaviour, healthcare spending and investor expectations, but also potentially the glob...

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Software: In the AI storm

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Software equities sit in the eye of the AI storm, caught at a decisive inflection point as AI reshapes the sector and investors grapple with one of the sharpest valuation resets in years. ​In Episode ...

24 Helmi 11min

European Industrials: Recovery or decline?

European Industrials: Recovery or decline?

European Industrials have underperformed for years, but signs of stabilisation are emerging. In Episode 19 of The Barclays Brief, George Featherstone, European Industrials Research Analyst, joins Patr...

17 Helmi 9min

Japan decides, global markets move

Japan decides, global markets move

Japan’s decisive election result is recalibrating market expectations, bringing FX, rates and fiscal policy signals into sharper focus. The LDP’s clear mandate will likely feed through to household de...

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Metals & mining: Meltdown or opportunity?

Metals & mining: Meltdown or opportunity?

Sharp swings across precious metals, especially gold, have thrust the sector into the spotlight, sustaining investor interest and stirring fresh debate over whether a new supercycle is emerging. Amos ...

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