Jan Czarnocki: Why AI agents aren't beating human traders any time soon

🎙️NEXTPredict Podcast #2 with Jan Czarnocki, Chief of Staff and General Counsel at Elastics

In this episode of the NextPredict Podcast, Jan Czarnocki — Chief of Staff and General Counsel at Elastics, and one of the first angel investors in the company — shares a ground-level view of what prediction markets actually look like from the inside.

Elastics is building an AI-powered trading terminal for prediction markets, designed to give serious traders one place for research, execution, automation and portfolio management across Polymarket, Kalshi and beyond.

⏰ Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:43 - Who is Jan Czarnocki and what is Elastics?

01:28 - The biggest structural problem

03:37 - Sharps vs. fish: who is actually on prediction markets?

06:12 - The poker boom parallel

08:20 - Losing money on geopolitics markets

10:57 - How Next.io hedged its own conference on a prediction market

12:37 - Prediction markets vs. insurance

15:39 - AI trading assistant for everyone

18:29 - Are AI bots actually profitable on prediction markets?

22:26 - Why Elastics augments sharps instead of replacing them

23:51 - Is the playing field levelling between retail and institutional traders?

26:23 - The vibe coding debate

31:53 - What will be Elastics' killer feature?

34:50 - Prediction market space in 3 years

39:47 - The big vision: one terminal for all serious traders

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CONNECT WITH NEXTPredict ✩ Website: https://nextpredict.io/

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