Robin Hanson: The man who wants to run governments on prediction markets

🎙️NEXTPredict Podcast #1 with Robin Hanson, Assoc. Professor, Economics at George Mason UniversityRobin Hanson has been arguing we should "bet on what's true" since the late 1980s — decades before Kalshi and Polymarket turned prediction markets into a billion-dollar industry. A physicist-turned-economist who helped invent the market-making math running under today's biggest betting platforms, Hanson joins the show to explain why prediction markets are having their moment now, what's next for the space, and why he thinks the real prize isn't sports betting. It's "decision markets" that could change how governments, companies, and the Fed make decisions?⏰ Timestamps:00:00 - Intro: who is Robin Hanson01:40 - What is a prediction market?04:06 - Why now: the regulatory shift behind the boom06:32 - Decision markets: paying for better information13:50 - Governments, the Fed, and antitrust by market17:40 - Diverse perspectives and trader bias21:50 - Insider trading and the "Rounders" problem26:54 - Gambling addiction and who should regulate prediction markets30:54 - Wisdom of crowds vs. first principles: the Nokia/iPhone test34:55 - Futarchy: replacing shareholder votes with markets35:43 - Where is this space heading in three years?38:35 - Final thoughts: keeping companies honest40:11 - Sign-off🔔 SUBSCRIBE TO THE PODCASTYoutube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLFqA5f5TsdM0&si=nrKerx5GXu4mDYI4Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast...CONNECT WITH NEXTPredict✩ Website: https://nextpredict.io/

Tämä jakso on lisätty Podme-palveluun avoimen RSS-syötteen kautta eikä se ole Podmen omaa tuotantoa. Siksi jakso saattaa sisältää mainontaa.

Jaksot(478)

Nadiya Attard & Martin Martirosyan: Live Casino's Next Chapter

🎙️ NEXT.io Podcast #267 with Martin Martirosyan, CEO of Imagine Live Group & Nadiya Attard, Chief Commercial OfficerImagine Live has grown from 7 tables in 2022 to over 150 today — with studios in Ar...

1 Heinä 56min

Way Yuhl: Iran, Russia & China.

🎙️ NEXT.io Podcast #266 with Way Yuhl, Entrepreneur, Investor and Geopolitical AnalystAre we really living in unprecedented times or have we just forgotten our history?In this episode, Pierre sits do...

26 Kesä 1h 21min

Todd Haushalter: Lawsuits, Deepfakes & the New Blackjack. The Unfiltered Truth.

🎙️ NEXT.io Podcast #265 with Todd Haushalter, Chief Product Officer at Evolution.Todd Haushalter, Chief Product Officer at Evolution, sits down for an unfiltered conversation covering everything the ...

15 Kesä 1h 49min

The Man Who Predicted Prediction Markets 8 Years Ago | Alex Kane, Sporttrade

🎙️ NEXT.io Podcast #265 with Alexander Kane, CEO and Founder of SporttradeIn 2017 - a full year before the US Supreme Court even legalized sports betting - Alex Kane was already building something no...

4 Kesä 1h 5min

Kevin Mullally: The UAE opportunity

🎙️ NEXT.io Podcast #263 with Kevin Mullally, CEO, International Association of Gaming Regulators (IAGR)In this episode, Pierre sits down with Kevin to break down the current state of the UAE's iGamin...

23 Huhti 57min

Savvas Fellas: How MrQ confronts UK’s new 40% tax regime

🎙️ NEXT.io Podcast #262 with Savvas Fellas CEO and Founder of MrQ. UK Tax Shock, Black Market Risk & The Future of OperatorsIn this episode of the NEXT.io Podcast, Savvas Fellas, CEO of MrQ, breaks d...

26 Maalis 55min

Jesse Learmonth: The state of iGaming startups in 2026

🎙️ NEXT.io Podcast #261 with Jesse Learmonth from The Betting Startups.In this episode of the NEXT.io Podcast, Jesse Learmonth joins us to discuss the current state of the iGaming startup ecosystem, ...

19 Maalis 57min