Chuck Todd: We Are Watching Trump's Undoing in Real Time

🎙️NEXTPredict Podcast #4 with Chuck Todd on the 2026 Midterms, Prediction Market Blind Spots & the Future of Political Forecasting

Chuck Todd spent three decades at NBC News as political director and moderator of Meet the Press. He now runs The Chuck ToddCast independently. He is also the official ambassador for NEXTPredict New York, taking place October 22-23.

In this episode, Pierre sits down with Chuck to do something very few people are qualified to do: speak to both the political reality and the prediction market picture at the same time and point out exactly where the two come apart.

⏰ Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:39 - Welcoming Chuck Todd

01:51 - Are we really living in unprecedented times?

06:03 - What actually unites American politics

11:46 - The midterms: pattern repeating or something different?

13:25 - "Blue wave or blue tsunami?"

15:48 - The agricultural tariff story nobody is covering

17:42 - The Trump voter tunes in much later

19:00 - Texas: the race that could reshape American politics

24:21 - The youth turnout problem

29:05 - Trump making it about himself — mistake or only play left?

31:30 - The Iran war: fractures inside the Republican coalition

34:24 - Unpopular wars as political undoing

36:38 - The Pete Hagseth impeachment vote

38:34 - The Democratic Party: no leader, no alignment

39:45 - Michigan as the decider

44:04 - The rise of the democratic socialist movement

45:05 - The K-shaped economy

47:46 - Will the midterms happen on time?

49:40 - The real risk is not the election. It's the certification.

51:12 - Leaving NBC: the pressure from corporate boardrooms was real

56:07 - What Chuck wants to learn at NEXTPredict NYC

NYC Summit - NEXTPredict October 22 - 23, 2026 at Convene 30 Hudson Yards.

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