SI156: The Case for Buying at All-Time Highs ft. Moritz Seibert

SI156: The Case for Buying at All-Time Highs ft. Moritz Seibert

Moritz Seibert joins us today to discuss the benefits of ‘system diversification’, the case for buying at all-time highs, how classical Trend Following is performing this year, the optimal amount of sample size for an effective backtest, the best ways to monitor risk levels, some tips for starting a new Trend Following business, some recommended backtesting software for retail traders, and how to navigate around your broker’s negative interest rates.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

In this episode, we discuss:

  • Why diversifying among systems can be beneficial
  • Why buying at all-time highs can be difficult, but very profitable
  • Classical Trend Following's recent performance versus newer methods
  • Some good measures for monitoring risk
  • Some tips for starting a new business based around Trend Following investing
  • Suitable backtesting software for retail investors
  • How to approach negative interest rates with your broker

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Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Moritz on Twitter.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:05 - A big thank you to our listeners who gave us a 5-star review on iTunes & Apple Podcasts

03:21 - Macro recap from Niels

05:38 - Weekly review of returns

18:36 - What Moritz looks for when analysing his backtests

26:42 - Q1 & Q2: Derek: What are the most important risk metrics you monitor? If you had to start your Trend Following business from scratch, what would you do differently and what would you keep the same?

41:32 - Q3;

Jaksot(904)

SI387: The Cost-Benefit of Being Trendy ft. Andrew Beer & Tom Wrobel

SI387: The Cost-Benefit of Being Trendy ft. Andrew Beer & Tom Wrobel

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GM96: The End of the Hedge: When Bonds Stop Protecting Portfolios

GM96: The End of the Hedge: When Bonds Stop Protecting Portfolios

A familiar portfolio map is being redrawn. Ian Harnett traces the regime shift from disinflation and reliable bond hedges to a world where inflation pressures linger, supply chains shorten, and capita...

11 Helmi 1h 1min

SI386: When Position Sizing Saves You ft. Rob Carver

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Today, we are joined by Rob Carver to unpack one of the most volatile weeks seen in commodity markets in years. The conversation centers on silver’s sharp rise and sudden collapse, using it as a case ...

7 Helmi 1h 8min

UGO09: Playing the Players in a Narrative Market ft. Ben Hunt

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Cem Karsan sits down with Ben Hunt, founder of Epsilon Theory, to explore how narratives shape markets, politics, and decision making itself. Drawing on decades of experience across academia, hedge fu...

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SI385: When Volatility Becomes the Signal ft. Katy Kaminski

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Katy Kaminski joins us to assess the early signals shaping markets in 2026. The conversation explores the resurgence of commodity trends, the role of volatility estimation, and why diversification acr...

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In this episode, Alan Dunne is joined by Dario Perkins to examine why the global macro consensus may be fundamentally misreading the current cycle. The conversation moves from US fiscal stimulus and F...

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SI384: Building an Inflation-Proof Portfolio ft. Yoav Git

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In this episode, Niels hosts Yoav Git to explore inflation risk, bond fragility, and the changing role of trend following in a world defined by supply shocks and declining trust. Drawing on recent res...

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IL45: Where Markets Reveal Human Error ft. Alex Imas

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Today we discuss one of the most popular and influential economic books of the last few decades - The Winner’s Curse. Originally published in 1994, a new version has just been released and we are join...

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