SI156: The Case for Buying at All-Time Highs ft. Moritz Seibert

Moritz Seibert joins us today to discuss the benefits of ‘system diversification’, the case for buying at all-time highs, how classical Trend Following is performing this year, the optimal amount of sample size for an effective backtest, the best ways to monitor risk levels, some tips for starting a new Trend Following business, some recommended backtesting software for retail traders, and how to navigate around your broker’s negative interest rates.

-----

50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

In this episode, we discuss:

• Why diversifying among systems can be beneficial
• Why buying at all-time highs can be difficult, but very profitable
• Classical Trend Following's recent performance versus newer methods
• Some good measures for monitoring risk
• Some tips for starting a new business based around Trend Following investing
• Suitable backtesting software for retail investors
• How to approach negative interest rates with your broker

-----

Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Moritz on Twitter.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:05 - A big thank you to our listeners who gave us a 5-star review on iTunes & Apple Podcasts

03:21 - Macro recap from Niels

05:38 - Weekly review of returns

18:36 - What Moritz looks for when analysing his backtests

26:42 - Q1 & Q2: Derek: What are the most important risk metrics you monitor? If you had to start your Trend Following business from scratch, what would you do differently and what would you keep the same?

41:32 - Q3; Joe: Should I prioritise stocks that are working their way out of a correction over stocks making new all time highs?

45:16 - Q4; James: Can you recommend a software with backtesting capabilities, suitable for retail investors?

47:10 - Q5; Sebastien: How do you deal with negative interest rates from your broker?

51:14 - Q6; Mikhail: Is it worth varying the lengths of time being backtested rather than just, for example, backtesting data over the last 50 years?

57:39 - Thoughts on Germany’s upcoming election and its possible effects on the markets

01:02:08 - Benchmark performance update

Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

----

PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

Privacy Policy

Disclaimer