Are Option Probabilities B.S.?

Are Option Probabilities B.S.?

One of the attractions of trading options is the idea that you can create trades with varying degrees of probabilities of profit. In this episode, I put the option probabilities that the trading platforms give us to the test by doing a 10year backtest. The focus is on comparing both the call and put side to see if over a long term period of time, if the probabilities play out as expected.

As a bonus, listeners can view the studies discussed in this episode over on the community website in the Podcast section.

Here's the direct link:

https://www.stockmarketoptionstrading.net/topics/4369023

Also, for those interested in generating income up to 3 times per week trading SPX 0DTE spreads, check out the SPX Masterclass and Community. Now with a live chat feed to see what trades members are taking in real time.

Here's the link to the Course:

https://www.stockmarketoptionstrading.net/all-courses

Thanks for listening and supporting independent research on this show.

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187: This Week in the S&P500: SPX Levels, FOMC, and NVDA Earnings

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186: This Week in Options Trading - Market at Highs… Now What?

186: This Week in Options Trading - Market at Highs… Now What?

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185: Inside My SPX Strategy with Option Omega

185: Inside My SPX Strategy with Option Omega

Watch the full video version of this episode:https://youtu.be/2RgGjxUe35w?si=m1BU5TwEq973he2kLinks & Discounts:Option Omega → https://optionomega.com (Use code SMOT for a discount)Alpha Crunching → ht...

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184: This Week in the SP500: Market Holding Strong Near Highs

184: This Week in the SP500: Market Holding Strong Near Highs

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183: This Week in Options Trading: Back Above 6900—Now What?

183: This Week in Options Trading: Back Above 6900—Now What?

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182: 3 Reasons the Stock Market May Have Bottomed

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181: This Week In Options Trading: What's Working Right Now

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180: Trading Wide Iron Condors in High Volatility (with Brian Terry)

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