Kamala surges, Trump at NABJ, recession fears, Middle East escalation, Ackman postpones IPO

Kamala surges, Trump at NABJ, recession fears, Middle East escalation, Ackman postpones IPO

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(0:38) Election update: Dems energize around Kamala, policy questions remain

(19:33) Trump's NABJ interview: smart or risky?

(33:07) Markets expect rate cut in September, but are we already in a recession?

(40:58) AI buildout causing short-term volatility

(45:46) Assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh: are we inching closer to war in the Middle East?

(1:06:17) Bill Ackman withdraws Pershing Square USA IPO

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/harris-boycotts-netanyahu-snubs-israeli-leaders-wartime-address-give-sorority-speech

https://nypost.com/2024/07/24/us-news/media-change-tune-on-calling-kamala-harris-border-czar-despite-giving-her-the-title

https://x.com/jeffstorobinsky/status/1818722254542590012

https://apnews.com/business/inflation-general-news-31d83873be23c658d66526745482d572

https://x.com/grdecter/status/1819362069797654784

https://www.wsj.com/economy/consumers/inflation-interest-rates-wealth-loans-51d4276e

https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/initial-us-employment-reports-overstated-jobs

https://www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/q1-gdp-slows-inflation-dips

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amd-stock-jumps-after-earnings-beat-driven-by-ai-chip-sales-202456320.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/31/nvidia-stock-up-after-microsoft-amd-quell-fears-ai-buildout-too-fast.html

https://www.ft.com/content/bad6ca0b-82fb-4ddb-b6b8-bd09dacd47ae

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/01/world/middleeast/how-hamas-leader-haniyeh-killed-iran-bomb.html

https://archive.nytimes.com/www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/06/01/world/middleeast/how-a-secret-cyberwar-program-worked.html?hp

https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/bill-ackman-pulls-investment-fund-ipo-after-shrinking-its-size-85ba1a17

Jaksot(348)

E59: Twitter's content warning algo, equity audits, politicians trading stocks, Fed's next move, mRNA & more

E59: Twitter's content warning algo, equity audits, politicians trading stocks, Fed's next move, mRNA & more

(0:00) Bestie Intro: Sweater update, NYC stories (8:30) Sacks got flagged on Twitter, theorizing on Twitter's content warning algorithm (14:37) "Racial equity audits" with product-level consequences m...

17 Joulu 20211h 28min

E58: November's CPI, preparing for a downturn, macro outlook, Better.com's botched layoffs & more

E58: November's CPI, preparing for a downturn, macro outlook, Better.com's botched layoffs & more

0:00 Bestie Intro: Chamath's happy hour and sweater feud 7:11 Breaking down the new 6.8% CPI number, reflecting on old inflation takes, jobs report, understanding why CPI is misleading 23:05 How growt...

11 Joulu 20211h 21min

E57: Understanding Omicron, tech stocks plummet, VC's great resignation, Jack Dorsey's departure

E57: Understanding Omicron, tech stocks plummet, VC's great resignation, Jack Dorsey's departure

(0:00) Bestie Intro: Miami talk, gambling stories, Nancy Pelosi's retirement plans (12:30) Understanding the Omicron variant (24:49) Tech stocks plummet: why the selloff? (33:44) Inflation: here to st...

4 Joulu 20211h 18min

E56: Constitution DAO, Rittenhouse trial coverage, private sector efficiency vs the government

E56: Constitution DAO, Rittenhouse trial coverage, private sector efficiency vs the government

0:00 Bestie intro 1:14 Constitution DAO: implications, shortcomings, how to move forward? 29:58 Rittenhouse trial media coverage 50:52 Ken Griffin plays heel (again), private sector efficiency vs. gov...

20 Marras 20211h 15min

E55: Valuing crypto projects, Rivian worth $100B+, inflation: causes and corrections and more

E55: Valuing crypto projects, Rivian worth $100B+, inflation: causes and corrections and more

0:00 Bestie intro and Solana Breakpoint talk 4:43 Covering the censored segment from last week, how to value crypto projects and general investing, what to take away from the podcast 30:45 Rivian's >$...

13 Marras 20211h 32min

E54: Spread trading big tech, capital allocation, Zillow's misfire, Progressives suffer losses

E54: Spread trading big tech, capital allocation, Zillow's misfire, Progressives suffer losses

Show Notes: 0:00 Besties do a Microsoft-themed intro 7:53 Spread trading big tech, amazing power of Google and Microsoft 17:28 Sacks speaks about Bird going public from the NYSE, understanding distrib...

6 Marras 20211h 30min

E53: Wealth tax, dealing with inflation as a capital allocator, big tech earnings, Facebook's rebrand, paternity leave & more

E53: Wealth tax, dealing with inflation as a capital allocator, big tech earnings, Facebook's rebrand, paternity leave & more

0:00 Bestie intro, child update, Joe Lonsdale's take on paternity leave 20:44 Proposed "Wealth Tax" 35:13 Inflation discussion: corporate and government reactions 52:30 Dealing with inflation as a cap...

30 Loka 20211h 19min

E52: Trump's SPAC, peak venture liquidity, tech as an economic ladder, Dems overplaying their hand

E52: Trump's SPAC, peak venture liquidity, tech as an economic ladder, Dems overplaying their hand

Show Notes: 0:00 Bestie weight loss strategies, poker recap 13:19 Trump SPAC, how he can leverage the capital intelligently, building vs. acquiring, and more 33:43 Peak venture returns, tech landscape...

23 Loka 20211h 27min

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