#7 - Julia Galef on making humanity more rational, what EA does wrong, and why Twitter isn’t all bad

#7 - Julia Galef on making humanity more rational, what EA does wrong, and why Twitter isn’t all bad

The scientific revolution in the 16th century was one of the biggest societal shifts in human history, driven by the discovery of new and better methods of figuring out who was right and who was wrong.

Julia Galef - a well-known writer and researcher focused on improving human judgment, especially about high stakes questions - believes that if we could again develop new techniques to predict the future, resolve disagreements and make sound decisions together, it could dramatically improve the world across the board. We brought her in to talk about her ideas.

This interview complements a new detailed review of whether and how to follow Julia’s career path. Apply for personalised coaching, see what questions are asked when, and read extra resources to learn more.

Julia has been host of the Rationally Speaking podcast since 2010, co-founder of the Center for Applied Rationality in 2012, and is currently working for the Open Philanthropy Project on an investigation of expert disagreements.

In our conversation we ended up speaking about a wide range of topics, including:

* Her research on how people can have productive intellectual disagreements.
* Why she once planned to become an urban designer.
* Why she doubts people are more rational than 200 years ago.
* What makes her a fan of Twitter (while I think it’s dystopian).
* Whether people should write more books.
* Whether it’s a good idea to run a podcast, and how she grew her audience.
* Why saying you don’t believe X often won’t convince people you don’t.
* Why she started a PhD in economics but then stopped.
* Whether she would recommend an unconventional career like her own.
* Whether the incentives in the intelligence community actually support sound thinking.
* Whether big institutions will actually pick up new tools for improving decision-making if they are developed.
* How to start out pursuing a career in which you enhance human judgement and foresight.

Get free, one-on-one career advice to help you improve judgement and decision-making

We’ve helped dozens of people compare between their options, get introductions, and jobs important for the the long-run future. **If you want to work on any of the problems discussed in this episode, find out if our coaching can help you:**

APPLY FOR COACHING

Overview of the conversation

**1m30s** So what projects are you working on at the moment?
**3m50s** How are you working on the problem of expert disagreement?
**6m0s** Is this the same method as the double crux process that was developed at the Center for Applied Rationality?
**10m** Why did the Open Philanthropy Project decide this was a very valuable project to fund?
**13m** Is the double crux process actually that effective?
**14m50s** Is Facebook dangerous?
**17m** What makes for a good life? Can you be mistaken about having a good life?
**19m** Should more people write books?
Read more...

Jaksot(321)

#205 – Sébastien Moro on the most insane things fish can do

#205 – Sébastien Moro on the most insane things fish can do

"You have a tank split in two parts: if the fish gets in the compartment with a red circle, it will receive food, and food will be delivered in the other tank as well. If the fish takes the blue trian...

23 Loka 20243h 11min

#204 – Nate Silver on making sense of SBF, and his biggest critiques of effective altruism

#204 – Nate Silver on making sense of SBF, and his biggest critiques of effective altruism

Rob Wiblin speaks with FiveThirtyEight election forecaster and author Nate Silver about his new book: On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything.Links to learn more, highlights, video, and full transc...

16 Loka 20241h 57min

#203 – Peter Godfrey-Smith on interfering with wild nature, accepting death, and the origin of complex civilisation

#203 – Peter Godfrey-Smith on interfering with wild nature, accepting death, and the origin of complex civilisation

"In the human case, it would be mistaken to give a kind of hour-by-hour accounting. You know, 'I had +4 level of experience for this hour, then I had -2 for the next hour, and then I had -1' — and you...

3 Loka 20241h 25min

Luisa and Keiran on free will, and the consequences of never feeling enduring guilt or shame

Luisa and Keiran on free will, and the consequences of never feeling enduring guilt or shame

In this episode from our second show, 80k After Hours, Luisa Rodriguez and Keiran Harris chat about the consequences of letting go of enduring guilt, shame, anger, and pride.Links to learn more, highl...

27 Syys 20241h 36min

#202 – Venki Ramakrishnan on the cutting edge of anti-ageing science

#202 – Venki Ramakrishnan on the cutting edge of anti-ageing science

"For every far-out idea that turns out to be true, there were probably hundreds that were simply crackpot ideas. In general, [science] advances building on the knowledge we have, and seeing what the n...

19 Syys 20242h 20min

#201 – Ken Goldberg on why your robot butler isn’t here yet

#201 – Ken Goldberg on why your robot butler isn’t here yet

"Perception is quite difficult with cameras: even if you have a stereo camera, you still can’t really build a map of where everything is in space. It’s just very difficult. And I know that sounds surp...

13 Syys 20242h 1min

#200 – Ezra Karger on what superforecasters and experts think about existential risks

#200 – Ezra Karger on what superforecasters and experts think about existential risks

"It’s very hard to find examples where people say, 'I’m starting from this point. I’m starting from this belief.' So we wanted to make that very legible to people. We wanted to say, 'Experts think thi...

4 Syys 20242h 49min

#199 – Nathan Calvin on California’s AI bill SB 1047 and its potential to shape US AI policy

#199 – Nathan Calvin on California’s AI bill SB 1047 and its potential to shape US AI policy

"I do think that there is a really significant sentiment among parts of the opposition that it’s not really just that this bill itself is that bad or extreme — when you really drill into it, it feels ...

29 Elo 20241h 12min

Suosittua kategoriassa Koulutus

rss-murhan-anatomia
psykopodiaa-podcast
voi-hyvin-meditaatiot-2
rss-narsisti
rss-liian-kuuma-peruna
rss-vapaudu-voimaasi
rss-hereilla
dear-ladies
rss-uskonto-on-tylsaa
rss-valo-minussa-2
ihminen-tavattavissa-tommy-hellsten-instituutti
leveli
rss-luonnollinen-synnytys-podcast
rss-tietoinen-yhteys-podcast-2
adhd-podi
aloita-meditaatio
kesken
psykologia
rss-duodecim-lehti
esa-saarinen-filosofia-ja-systeemiajattelu