#110 - Summer Pause and Rebound

#110 - Summer Pause and Rebound

As we forecast in June, the US stock market to enter a period of weakness with stock prices declining during the summer after the major indices had a solid rally in the first half of 2024. The reasons for summer weakness vary from one year to the next, but the consistent pattern is unmistakable. This summer, the rationale given why investors were reducing stock allocations included disappointment the Feds have not lowered interest rates, concerns about the wars in Israel and Ukraine, stocks were overpriced to their earnings, and weak housing market. In this Update we review reports released by the Federal Reserve Banks on businesses leader sentiment and their forecasts for the next six months. More importantly, read about our views of the stock market rebound and if it will continue to the end of the year.

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Jaksot(167)

#118 - Trump 2.0 What Can We Expect

#118 - Trump 2.0 What Can We Expect

Looking back at Trump's first term offers insights into potential market impacts of his second. In 2016, markets rallied after his election, while 2024 has seen sustained growth and investor confidenc...

13 Marras 202415min

#117 - Labor Costs Continue to Rise as Inflation Slows

#117 - Labor Costs Continue to Rise as Inflation Slows

I don't know about you, but it seems costs for everything is getting crazy. My wife went to the grocery store and items that were $9 last week are $14 this week. You can't tell me grocery store or s...

6 Marras 202417min

#116 - Consumer Spending Building Momentum

#116 - Consumer Spending Building Momentum

September retail sales increased 0.4% from August and the third consecutive month over month (MoM) it has increased. The 0.4% is substantially higher than August's 0.1% monthly increase. Even though...

23 Loka 202419min

#115 - Client and Friend Events

#115 - Client and Friend Events

Prior to the outbreak of the coronavirus in 2020, we used to host multiple client and friend dinner events each year. Read in this issue about our dinner event this past September 27 with long time c...

16 Loka 20249min

#114 - More Jobs Less Supplies

#114 - More Jobs Less Supplies

Today we have received a trove of economic reports that indicate that companies are still hiring and growing while it appears the economy is in a mild slow down cycle. This seems contradictory and be...

1 Loka 202424min

#113 - Is Housing Reaching a Bottom?

#113 - Is Housing Reaching a Bottom?

The very low volume of existing home sales reported last week by the National Association of Realtors (NAR) would indicate the continued impact of current decades high mortgage interest rates. The NA...

25 Syys 202415min

#112 - Small Business Owners Still See Headwinds

#112 - Small Business Owners Still See Headwinds

The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) released its Small Business Optimism US Index today indicating it has decreased to 91.2 in August. This breaks the improving trend since droppin...

11 Syys 202417min

#111 - Summer Stock Market Selloff Continues

#111 - Summer Stock Market Selloff Continues

After a long Labor Day weekend, investors started the first trading day of September by selling. The reason floated out by the main media for the selloff is investors skittish about the S&P Global US...

4 Syys 202415min

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