Investment Ideas for a Hard Winter in the Real Economy (w/ Ed Harrison and Gary Shilling)

Investment Ideas for a Hard Winter in the Real Economy (w/ Ed Harrison and Gary Shilling)

The Interview: Recorded on Dec 4 , 2020: With cases spiking and economic data surrounding the recovery slowing or outright rolling over in many cases, it appears as though a hard winter is in store for the global economy. Gary Shilling, president of A. Gary Shilling & Co., is well known for having forecasted these types of downturns in the past and, along with Real Vision's Ed Harrison, discusses why he thinks we are in store for another economic downturn this winter. Shilling highlights real economic data like slowing job gains, increased COVID-19 deaths, and the potential for renewed economic shutdowns, but he cautions that the strange correlation, where bad news equals more stimulus and thus is bullish for equities, can draw out irrationality longer than investors might expect — even if stimulus fails to fully replace economic losses in the long-term. Shilling and Harrison also discuss his investment ideas that arise from this forecast: cautiously short equities, short dollar, and long treasuries. Key Learnings: The real economy and market are once again moving in the opposite direction. Shilling argues that this disconnect will close and that the long bond may be the best way to play to it. He also sees the stimulus feedback loop as putting more downward pressure on the dollar. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Jaksot(2070)

Bitcoin Gets Rekt in an Epic Selloff | REKT Vision ft. Mando & punk9059 aka Stats

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This week on REKT Vision, Mando, Rekt co-founder and author of the Mando Minutes newsletter, is joined by Stats, also known as Punk9059, to discuss the biggest narratives and themes driving cryptocurr...

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This was one of the most violent crypto flushes in years. Bitcoin plunged to $60,000, a 17% intraday collapse that ranks among the 10 worst drops in BTC history. More than $2.4 billion in leveraged...

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Crypto Winter Deepens: BTC Hits $69K, Tech Crashes, Silver Melts Down

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Markets are deep in risk-off mode as crypto winter tightens its grip. The ECB and Bank of England both held rates, with the BoE signaling it may be nearing the end of its easing cycle. UK political...

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Software Selloff, Gold at $5K, and Crypto Slips Again — Palvatar’s Market Recap

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Software stocks get slammed, gold keeps climbing, and Bitcoin loses key support again. Palvatar covers today’s key macro and market headlines — from Claude’s AI plugin rattling software firms to AMD’s...

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Markets Surge, SpaceX Buys xAI, and Gold Pops 5% — Palvatar’s Big News Recap

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Markets are ripping back after a wave of fear. Palvatar breaks down the massive upside surprise in U.S. manufacturing, Musk’s record-breaking $1.25T xAI merger with SpaceX, and wild moves in gold, sil...

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Markets Crash: Gold’s Worst Day Since 1983, BTC Dives, Fed Jitters Hit Equities

Markets Crash: Gold’s Worst Day Since 1983, BTC Dives, Fed Jitters Hit Equities

Welcome back to the markets after a brutal weekend. Gold just had its worst day since 1983, crashing 9%, while silver fell a staggering 27%—the largest drop ever recorded. Add to that steep decline...

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Oil, Metals, and More Geopolitical Risk | Macro Mondays: Feb. 2, 2026

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Andreas Steno and Mikkel Rosenvold of Steno Research break down the mounting U.S.–Iran tensions, the implications for oil, the U.S.–China decoupling, strategic mineral stockpiles, and supply-chain wea...

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Markets Rattle as Warsh Named Fed Chair & BTC Hits $81K

Markets Rattle as Warsh Named Fed Chair & BTC Hits $81K

Markets were hit with a surge of volatility after President Trump confirmed Kevin Warsh as his nominee for Fed Chair, raising fresh uncertainty around U.S. monetary policy. The VIX jumped as much as 1...

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