Markets turn Trump, Long rates spike, Election home stretch, Influencer mania, Saving Starbucks

Markets turn Trump, Long rates spike, Election home stretch, Influencer mania, Saving Starbucks

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(3:49) Announcement: Besties are hosting The All-In Holiday Spectacular in San Francisco on December 7th! Get tickets: https://allin.com/events

(9:08) Macro and markets: making sense of unique asset diversions

(27:23) Gen Z's economic cultural movements

(38:28) Reallocating assets for a new period of constraints

(53:52) Election update: Data leans Trump as we enter the home stretch

(1:19:01) Is Starbucks fixable? Or has it hit market saturation?

Get tickets to The All-In Holiday Spectacular:

https://allin.com/events

Follow the besties:

https://x.com/chamath

https://x.com/Jason

https://x.com/DavidSacks

https://x.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://x.com/theallinpod

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Follow on LinkedIn:

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://allin.com/events

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GCW00:COMEX

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BTC-USD

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/22/tudor-jones-is-long-gold-and-bitcoin-as-hedge-fund-titan-believes-all-roads-lead-to-inflation.html

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stanley-druckenmiller-says-hes-shorting-u-s-bonds-and-staying-out-of-china-1fcf751e

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/10/cpi-inflation-september-2024.html

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/A091RC1Q027SBEA

https://news.bloomberglaw.com/daily-tax-report-international/uk-budget-fears-push-owners-to-close-firms-to-avoid-tax-hikes

https://www.banque-france.fr/en/statistics/compagnies/business-failures-france-2024-09

https://www.reuters.com/markets/brazil-inflation-expectations-above-target-says-cenbank-director-picchetti-2024-10-23

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/14/more-than-half-of-gen-z-want-to-be-influencers-but-its-constant.html

https://pro.morningconsult.com/analyst-reports/influencer-marketing-trends-report

https://www.longtermtrends.net/market-cap-to-gdp-the-buffett-indicator

https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/ruminating-on-asset-allocation

https://www.macrotrends.net/2577/sp-500-pe-ratio-price-to-earnings-chart

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/opinion/election-polls-results-trump-harris.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/24/polymarket-trump-french-election-bet.html

https://x.com/scubaryan_/status/1848072120699625968

https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/23/politics/video/border-wall-kamala-harris-cnn-town-hall-digvid

https://x.com/justintrudeau/status/1849467713711710699

https://x.com/scubaryan_/status/1848072120699625968

https://awfulannouncing.com/barstool/dave-portnoy-turned-down-kamala-harris-interview.html

https://investor.starbucks.com/news/financial-releases/news-details/2024/Starbucks-Reports-Preliminary-Q4-and-Full-Fiscal-Year-2024-Results/default.aspx

Jaksot(350)

E128: Google enters AI wars, Druck's warning, Trump crushes CNN & more

E128: Google enters AI wars, Druck's warning, Trump crushes CNN & more

(0:00) All-In Summit 2023 announcement! (3:10) Google IO releases, updated Bard demo, fighting the innovator's dilemma (18:33) AI regulation updates (23:41) Druckenmiller's warning, macro overview (40...

12 Touko 20231h 19min

E127: Presidential Candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in conversation with the Besties

E127: Presidential Candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in conversation with the Besties

(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:49) Jason and Sacks intro Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (3:46) Foreign policy: Ukraine / Russia (17:17) Foreign policy: Taiwan / China (18:57) Government spending: Fiscal responsibili...

5 Touko 20232h 1min

E126: Big Tech blow-out, Powell's recession warning, lab-grown meat, RFK Jr shakes up race & more

E126: Big Tech blow-out, Powell's recession warning, lab-grown meat, RFK Jr shakes up race & more

(0:00) Bestie intro! (1:10) Google's mixed bag, Big tech leaves the growth phase, macro picture (24:21) AI update: new projects, global enablement, early adoption (37:38) SF CRE continues to collapse,...

28 Huhti 20231h 16min

E125: SpaceX launch, Fox News settlement, "Zombie-corn" exodus to AI, late-stage implosion

E125: SpaceX launch, Fox News settlement, "Zombie-corn" exodus to AI, late-stage implosion

(0:00) Antonio Gracias and Gavin Baker join to discuss SpaceX's Starship launch (28:58) Fox News settles with Dominion Voting Systems, will pay $787M (40:38) AI update: Reddit to start charging for tr...

21 Huhti 20231h 39min

E124: AutoGPT's massive potential and risk, AI regulation, Bob Lee/SF update

E124: AutoGPT's massive potential and risk, AI regulation, Bob Lee/SF update

(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:49) Understanding AutoGPTs (23:57) Generative AI's rapid impact on art, images, video, and eventually Hollywood (37:38) How to regulate AI? (1:12:35) Bob Lee update, recent SF...

14 Huhti 20231h 33min

E123: Trump indictment, de-dollarization, should VCs back Chinese AI? RIP Bob Lee

E123: Trump indictment, de-dollarization, should VCs back Chinese AI? RIP Bob Lee

(0:00) Bestie intros! (4:12) Trump indictment (16:52) De-dollarization: What's real and what's overblown? (39:35) Debt ceiling vote predictions (56:36) US investors indirectly backing Chinese AI start...

7 Huhti 20231h 27min

E122: Is AI the next great computing platform? ChatGPT vs. Google, containing AGI & RESTRICT Act

E122: Is AI the next great computing platform? ChatGPT vs. Google, containing AGI & RESTRICT Act

(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:31) Joe Manchin calls out Biden on IRA flip-flop (7:40) Sacks writes GPT-4-powered blog post, OpenAI launches ChatGPT plugins (26:31) Will generative AI be more important than...

31 Maalis 20231h 24min

E121: Macro update, Fed hike, CRE debt bubble, Balaji's Bitcoin bet, TikTok's endgame & more

E121: Macro update, Fed hike, CRE debt bubble, Balaji's Bitcoin bet, TikTok's endgame & more

(0:00) Bestie intro! (2:58) Fed hikes 25 bps (32:35) Balaji bets on Bitcoin $1M, predictions for hyperinflation, crypto crackdown in the US (54:27) Should the commercial real estate sector receive a s...

24 Maalis 20231h 34min

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