Markets turn Trump, Long rates spike, Election home stretch, Influencer mania, Saving Starbucks

Markets turn Trump, Long rates spike, Election home stretch, Influencer mania, Saving Starbucks

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(3:49) Announcement: Besties are hosting The All-In Holiday Spectacular in San Francisco on December 7th! Get tickets: https://allin.com/events

(9:08) Macro and markets: making sense of unique asset diversions

(27:23) Gen Z's economic cultural movements

(38:28) Reallocating assets for a new period of constraints

(53:52) Election update: Data leans Trump as we enter the home stretch

(1:19:01) Is Starbucks fixable? Or has it hit market saturation?

Get tickets to The All-In Holiday Spectacular:

https://allin.com/events

Follow the besties:

https://x.com/chamath

https://x.com/Jason

https://x.com/DavidSacks

https://x.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://x.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://x.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://allin.com/events

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GCW00:COMEX

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BTC-USD

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/22/tudor-jones-is-long-gold-and-bitcoin-as-hedge-fund-titan-believes-all-roads-lead-to-inflation.html

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stanley-druckenmiller-says-hes-shorting-u-s-bonds-and-staying-out-of-china-1fcf751e

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/10/cpi-inflation-september-2024.html

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/A091RC1Q027SBEA

https://news.bloomberglaw.com/daily-tax-report-international/uk-budget-fears-push-owners-to-close-firms-to-avoid-tax-hikes

https://www.banque-france.fr/en/statistics/compagnies/business-failures-france-2024-09

https://www.reuters.com/markets/brazil-inflation-expectations-above-target-says-cenbank-director-picchetti-2024-10-23

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/14/more-than-half-of-gen-z-want-to-be-influencers-but-its-constant.html

https://pro.morningconsult.com/analyst-reports/influencer-marketing-trends-report

https://www.longtermtrends.net/market-cap-to-gdp-the-buffett-indicator

https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/ruminating-on-asset-allocation

https://www.macrotrends.net/2577/sp-500-pe-ratio-price-to-earnings-chart

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/opinion/election-polls-results-trump-harris.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/24/polymarket-trump-french-election-bet.html

https://x.com/scubaryan_/status/1848072120699625968

https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/23/politics/video/border-wall-kamala-harris-cnn-town-hall-digvid

https://x.com/justintrudeau/status/1849467713711710699

https://x.com/scubaryan_/status/1848072120699625968

https://awfulannouncing.com/barstool/dave-portnoy-turned-down-kamala-harris-interview.html

https://investor.starbucks.com/news/financial-releases/news-details/2024/Starbucks-Reports-Preliminary-Q4-and-Full-Fiscal-Year-2024-Results/default.aspx

Jaksot(350)

E120: Banking crisis and the great VC reset

E120: Banking crisis and the great VC reset

(0:00) Bestie intro! (1:35) Recapping the events of the past week (5:39) Understanding the banking crisis (32:55) Solving the global debt problem, righting the ship (54:20) VC market update: Founders ...

17 Maalis 20231h 30min

E119: Silicon Valley Bank implodes: startup extinction event, contagion risk, culpability, and more

E119: Silicon Valley Bank implodes: startup extinction event, contagion risk, culpability, and more

(0:00) Bestie intro! (1:57) Overview of the SVB collapse and bank run (17:53) Who or what is to blame? Debating venture debt (37:11) Contagion risk, second- and third-order effects, government backsto...

11 Maalis 20231h 29min

E118: AI FOMO frenzy, macro update, Fox vs Dominion, US vs China & more with Brad Gerstner

E118: AI FOMO frenzy, macro update, Fox vs Dominion, US vs China & more with Brad Gerstner

(0:00) Bestie intros! (6:47) The VC FOMO frenzy in AI (25:22) Current LP mindset, VCs leaving boards, startup cram downs and mark downs (37:23) Macro update: inflation not done, weaker earnings, inter...

3 Maalis 20231h 56min

E117: Did Stripe miss its window? Plus: VC market update, AI comes for SaaS, Trump's savvy move

E117: Did Stripe miss its window? Plus: VC market update, AI comes for SaaS, Trump's savvy move

(0:00) Bestie intro: Jason's Japan trip! (1:04) Stripe's precarious situation: Did it miss its window? Breaking down its $4B tax bill, slowing growth curve, enterprise vs SMB customers, scalability is...

24 Helmi 20231h 31min

E116: Toxic out-of-control trains, regulators, and AI

E116: Toxic out-of-control trains, regulators, and AI

(0:00) Bestie intros, poker recap, charity shoutouts! (8:34) Toxic Ohio train derailment (25:30) Lina Khan's flawed strategy and rough past few weeks as FTC Chair; rewriting Section 230 (57:27) AI cha...

17 Helmi 20231h 31min

E115: The AI Search Wars: Google vs. Microsoft, Nordstream report, State of the Union

E115: The AI Search Wars: Google vs. Microsoft, Nordstream report, State of the Union

0:00 Bestie intro! 1:49 Report about US involvement in the destruction of Nordstream pipelines, breaking away from the military-industrial complex 28:26 Bestie refresh! 33:13 The AI Search Wars: Micro...

11 Helmi 20231h 49min

E114: Markets update: whipsaw macro picture, big tech, startup mass extinction event, VC reckoning

E114: Markets update: whipsaw macro picture, big tech, startup mass extinction event, VC reckoning

(0:00) Bestie intro! (1:15) Macro picture update: 0.25% raise, jobs rip up, wage growth continues to slow (17:52) Interest rates impact on mega-cap company creation (33:58) Mass extinction event comin...

4 Helmi 20231h 12min

E113: DOJ tries to break up Google, vaccine questions, Ukraine escalation & more

E113: DOJ tries to break up Google, vaccine questions, Ukraine escalation & more

(0:00) David Sacks does bestie intros! (2:49) DOJ sues Google over ads business (23:09) EU probes Microsoft over Slack complaint based on "bundling" Teams (40:27) Pfizer CEO grilled at Davos, studies ...

27 Tammi 20231h 38min

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