164: Expectancy vs. Win Rate: What Really Matters

164: Expectancy vs. Win Rate: What Really Matters

In this episode of the Stock Market Options Trading Podcast, Eric dives into the concept of expectancy—a key metric that blends win rate, average win size, and average loss size into one number that helps traders understand whether a strategy has a real edge over the long run.

We break down why a high win rate alone doesn’t guarantee profits (think 98% win rate ads…), and how expectancy provides better context by showing how much you can expect to make or lose per trade on average. Eric also shares updates inside Alpha Crunching: the Trade Ideas tab now includes expectancy alongside win rate, giving subscribers deeper insight when sorting potential setups for the week.

You’ll also hear about future enhancements—like adding average win and loss values—so traders can better gauge risk-reward and decide which setups fit their personal style.

👉 Try Alpha Crunching for yourself and get 50% off your first month here: https://alphacrunching.com

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Jaksot(187)

Stock Market Startup: HedgingLab.com with Simon Lee

Stock Market Startup: HedgingLab.com with Simon Lee

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SPX Trade Idea Ahead of CPI, FOMC, Earnings

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Stock Market Startup: Magic 8 Ball with Bryan Cairns

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In this week's episode, we're back with another edition of Stock Market Startup where I interview founders and developers who creating stock market related applications. In this episode, I got to spea...

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This Intraday Seasonality Pattern Keeps Printing

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3 Awesome Tips For Trading Credit Spreads

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Stock Market Startup: OptionOmega.com

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We're back with another Stock Market Startup episode. This time with Troy, Rusty, and Matt from OptionOmega.com. These guys were on about a year ago in Episode 41 and it was great having them back on ...

14 Maalis 202356min

S&P500 Analysis, Key Levels, What to Look For!

S&P500 Analysis, Key Levels, What to Look For!

Markets dropped hard today after Powell's testimony to the Senate where he stated that inflationary pressures were running higher than expected and that policymakers were open to raising rates higher ...

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How I'm Staying on the Right Side of the Market in 2023!

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In this episode, I explain how I've been staying on the right side of the market so far in 2023 through a combination of determining the range of the market, where we're at in that range, and looking ...

28 Helmi 202316min

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