Crocs Stock Crash - Buy When Ugly

Ray Dalio just published an article from his new book about Money, Credit and Debt. The summary is the following: - budged deficits, global debt, corporate debt etc. will lead to currency devaluation as people, companies start to default on it due to the crisis. Governments will bail themselves out by printing, those that can do so due to reserve currency status. - if and when the printing is too high, the trust is lost and the normal ending of a cycle is a return to hard currencies. The video explains also in detail how the whole credit cycle works using current examples. The 6 stages of the credit cycle are: - hard currency - claims on hard currency - increase in debt - FIAT currency - defaults, devaluation - back to hard currency THE MAIN MESSAGE: be prepared for a potential paradigm shift and don't blow up like many bond holders will. The value of money is going down... Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD

2 Marras 202028min

Oil is cyclical. Do you know what the cure for low oil prices is? Well, low oil prices! Exxon has already slashed investments by 30% and many others are following while smaller companies are going bust. If the current demand situation is of a shorter nature, oil prices will return to their long-term equilibrium and even higher. We discuss: - the situation with oil markets and oil prices - the USO OIL ETF - OIL DEMAND AND SUPPLY - short and long term - how to invest in oil - oil stocks and my long-term pick. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD

2 Marras 202019min

This channel has passed 70k subscribers, I thank you for that. I wished to share the fundamentals of this investing channel by sharing my 5 core stock market investing beliefs: - the markets are not efficient - the efficient market hypothesis doesn't really work in the long-term and is something we can take advantage of. - long-term attitude - everybody is so focused on the short term and not on the long-term but the long-term really matters. Of course you can't forecast what will earnings be in 5 years, but you can forecast what will be the competitive advantages, the growth, the fundamentals, the risk etc. A long-term perspective tells you what will likely be the better investment in 5 years, that is all you need. - value or growth? Why not both? Growth is an essential part of value! - Research, research and research - the more stones you turn, the more ideas you can find that the market doesn't even see because it is myopic. - Hyperbolic discounting - everybody wants to double their money in two 3 years - if you want to double your money in ten years, you have an advantage and you will likely double it in 5, buy you must keep targeting doubling it in ten, not five. that is crucial. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD

21 Syys 202018min

What is the best stock market investment strategy to deploy money is the ultimate question to be answered, if you have money of course. Most people think about whether to deploy it all immediately (LUMP SUM INVESTING) or to stage the purchases over a period of time (DOLLAR COST AVERAGING). Vanguard and other research shows that you'll do better with a lump-sum investment in 70% of cases and better with dollar cost averaging in 30% of cases. So, it is up to you what kind of odds do you wish to bet on. However, you know I will not give you just the stock market investing statistics. By discussing the difference between investing and speculating; the difference between lump sum investing where you invest when you have the money and when a financial instrument fits your required return and dollar cost averaging, where you are more concerned about the market as you try to time it we will also touch on what really matters for the long-term. Another point is discussing the importance of buying the bottom in the market - some stocks are up 50% since March 22, but how much does that change their investment quality? You'll be surprised how important it is! The importance of timing the market will also give you the answer when it comes to investing it all in a lump-sum or dollar cost average over time. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD

21 Syys 202016min

Stock Market Crashes and Recessions are the best buying opportunities. When that happens, Warren Buffett says to take out the bucket when raining gold. Seven steps to be a millionaire after recessions and stock market crashes: - be a financial fortress - allows you to invest when others are selling in panic - have a cash cushion - keeps you calm whatever is going on - don't have debt - gives you leverage when things are cheap for smart debt - always look for opportunities and buy when you like an investment - don't bet, invest - the earnings yield is what you are investing it, asset prices up is just a bonus - always keep learning - there are always opportunities somewhere - this too shall pass Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD

21 Syys 202013min

In today's stock market news we discuss why the stock market continues to go up even if the economic news is terrible, with the unemployment rate back to the Great Recession levels and the outlook bleak alongside huge government deficits. We also discuss the long-term economic outlook and situation to conclude on the investing outlook and asset class comparison between bonds and stocks. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD

21 Syys 202015min

I explain why I just bought Facebook stock and at what stock price. FB stock fits my large portfolio from a risk and reward perspective and from an outlook, learning perspective into new technologies and what might the new world look like. Cash flows and growth are the key. Enjoy the discussion where we analyze the key factors to know when it comes to Facebook stock: fundamentals, growth potential, earnings model, risks, rewards and portfolio rationale. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD

21 Syys 202010min

Disney stock analysis for 2020. Disney stock (NYSE: DIS) offers a share in a great business and the recent stock drop might make it a good buying opportunity. If is funny that Warren Buffett did buy Disney in 1966, a 5% stake for $4 million that would be worth today north of $10 billion. However, he sold in 1967 for a 50% profit in just a year. He figured he is paying just for the park while all the other things are for free; the brand, future growth etc. Today, if we analyze what Disney is, each business individually, especially if we compare to Netflix, just Disney+ could cover for the whole market capitalization. Enjoy the discussion with Disney's business overview, fundamental analysis, absolute investment perspective, Disney stock predictions and a relative investment perspective into Disney stock. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD

21 Syys 202012min