SI373: Why Trend Thrives When Inflation Returns ft. Yoav Git

SI373: Why Trend Thrives When Inflation Returns ft. Yoav Git

What if markets move not by logic, but by pressure? In this conversation, Alan Dunne and Yoav Git trace the invisible currents behind price formation, namely how a single dollar of inflow can lift valuations fivefold, and why that distortion challenges everything the efficient market promised. From the slow mechanics of supply and demand to the moral hazards of policy and liquidity, the discussion follows money as it reshapes narrative. They revisit research that foresaw inflation’s return, and question why QIS indices so often fade in practice. Beneath it all lies a quiet question: what truly drives the modern market?

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00:23 – Opening and agenda for the discussion

00:01:05 – Math education in the UK and XTX’s push to fund young talent

00:03:39 – Market performance recap for early November

00:04:49 – Reflections on volatility and fixed income trading conditions

00:05:13 – Introduction to the “Inelastic Markets Hypothesis”

00:05:53 – Supply, demand, and elasticity explained in market terms

00:10:30 – Instrumental variables and how economists measure elasticity

00:14:51 – The debate: if markets clear, how can flows move prices?

00:15:44 – Why equities are more inelastic than bonds

00:21:04 – Questioning the 5x effect and how...

Jaksot(901)

SI314: Algo Anxiety... Can AI Resolve This? ft. Mark Rzepczynski

SI314: Algo Anxiety... Can AI Resolve This? ft. Mark Rzepczynski

Together with Mark Rzepczynski we dive deep into the outlook for trend following and discuss what may drive trends in the coming years. We analyze the role that the Fed plays in the rise of carry trad...

21 Syys 20241h 10min

GM70: The State of the Commodity Super Cycle ft. Adam Rozencwajg

GM70: The State of the Commodity Super Cycle ft. Adam Rozencwajg

This week you are in for a real treat, as Adam Rozencwajg rejoins Cem Karsan and me for a deep dive into the latest developments in the Commodity markets. It's been 15 months since Adam last appeared ...

18 Syys 20241h 19min

SI313: The Paradox of High-Volatility Alternatives ft. Alan Dunne

SI313: The Paradox of High-Volatility Alternatives ft. Alan Dunne

In this episode, Alan Dunne and I explore Mario Draghi's latest vision for Europe and discuss an insightful interview with Kenneth Rogoff, titled "We Will See More Spikes in Inflation," which covers k...

14 Syys 20241h 5min

IL30: How To Evaluate True Macro Risk? ft. Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak

IL30: How To Evaluate True Macro Risk? ft. Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak

Our guest on this episode is Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak, the Global Chief Economist at BCG and author of a new book: Shocks, Crises and False Alarms: How to Assess True Macroeconomic Risk. He explains w...

11 Syys 202458min

SI312: Should You Just Buy a CTA Index? ft. Rob Carver

SI312: Should You Just Buy a CTA Index? ft. Rob Carver

Rob Carver is back this week to discuss the importance of being able to detach yourself from the markets and taking “real” breaks from time to time and we also hear from Rob what it is like to let his...

7 Syys 20241h 14min

GM69: The Global Economy from a Liquidity Perspective ft. Michael Howell

GM69: The Global Economy from a Liquidity Perspective ft. Michael Howell

Michael Howell, Managing Director of Crossborder Capital and Author of the Capital Wars Substack, returns in this episode to speak with Alan Dunne about the liquidity cycle’s influence on global marke...

4 Syys 20241h 2min

SI311: BREAKING: New CTA Index being revealed ft. Andrew Beer

SI311: BREAKING: New CTA Index being revealed ft. Andrew Beer

As August comes to an end, we discuss this month of extremes for the trend-following community, marked by significant dispersion in performance and unusual price activity across multiple asset classes...

1 Syys 20241h

GM68: Chief Strategist: “Most Scenerios Point to Recession” ft. Peter Berezin

GM68: Chief Strategist: “Most Scenerios Point to Recession” ft. Peter Berezin

Peter Berezin Chief Strategist and Research Director at BCA Research returns in this episode to discuss with Alan Dunne why he believes the US economy will soon enter recession and the S&P 500 will fa...

28 Elo 20241h 1min

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