GMS Weekly Podcast | Week 46 Ship Recycling Market Update: Desperate Downers

In this 2025 Week 46 edition of the GMS Weekly Podcast, host Grace and co-host Ryan review global ship recycling markets as 2025 enters its final stretch. Falling steel prices, a firm U.S. Dollar, and limited vessel supply kept sentiment weak across South Asia.

Global Market Overview Market volatility persisted through mid-November. The Baltic Dry Index continued to rise across all sub-sectors, while oil futures slipped to around USD 59.50 per barrel following a Ukrainian drone strike on Russia’s Novorossiysk refinery. The U.S. Dollar strengthened further, reducing recyclers’ purchasing power, while steel-plate prices in key destinations declined. Transactions closed mostly in the low USD 400s per LDT, with smaller or less-preferred units moving in the high USD 300s.

Bangladesh Activity improved slightly as seven vessels totaling about 66,000 LDT reached Chattogram, including a large 21 K LDT bulk carrier. Despite this influx, overall sentiment remains fragile. Political tension ahead of the February 2026 elections, high tariffs near 30 percent, and a weaker Taka (BDT 122.35 per USD) continue to challenge local recyclers. Steel-plate prices dropped another USD 1 per ton, signaling persistent caution in the market.

India The Alang recycling market stayed quiet but stable. India’s strong HKC-compliant yard base provides structure, yet demand remains limited. Smaller dry units are only just touching USD 400 per LDT. The Rupee eased to Rs 88.70 per USD, while steel-plate prices gained about USD 4 per ton, offering a modest boost. Industry participants expect 2026 to mirror 2025’s challenges unless global fundamentals improve.

Pakistan After a brief recovery earlier in the quarter, Gadani activity slowed again. No new vessels arrived, and the country still awaits its first HKC-approved yard. Steel-plate prices fell USD 13 per ton to below USD 600, and the PKR weakened to 282.80 per USD. Ongoing inflation and the inflow of cheaper Iranian steel continue to pressure local recyclers and reduce competitiveness.

Turkey The Aliaga market remained steady with prices in the USD 260 to 280 per LDT range. The Turkish Lira slipped beyond TRY 42.30 per USD, maintaining difficult trading conditions. Despite weak fundamentals, yards are working to sustain operations and meet regional recycling demand.

Market Sentiment Across South Asia, recyclers face a combination of currency weakness, volatile commodity prices, and cautious end-users. As 2025 draws to a close, attention turns to 2026 for potential stabilization and renewed tonnage flow.

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