AI: The macro game changer

AI: The macro game changer

While traditional macroeconomic factors such as labour markets, central bank policy and inflation are all important considerations for 2026, the economy is “going to live or die” by what happens with AI, according to Global Chairman of Research Ajay Rajadhyaksha.​

In the first Barclays Brief episode of 2026, Global Head of the Product Management Group Patrick Coffey welcomes Ajay back to discuss why AI is the dominant force shaping the global economy, and what risks and opportunities investors should watch out for as the story unfolds. ​

Listen in to get the big picture on what’s shaping markets this year.​

Listeners can hear more on this topic:​

  1. Barclays Brief #10 – Seismic Shifts: Agentic AI in Energy
  2. Barclays Brief # 11 – Credit markets: What’s ahead for 2026

Clients can read more on Barclays Live:​

  1. Macro Outlook: No turning back

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. Views expressed are those of the speakers and may not reflect those of the firm. Any forward-looking statements are based on current assumptions and subject to risks and uncertainties.

Important Content Disclosures

Important non-Research Content Disclosures

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Episoder(33)

European rates: Inflation & AI waves collide

European rates: Inflation & AI waves collide

Markets have been anything but calm lately. Inflation shocks, surging energy prices and the AI narrative have collided to deliver one of the most dramatic periods in rates markets in years, forcing in...

24 Mar 11min

A bullish view on US equities

A bullish view on US equities

Markets may look relatively steady compared with past oil shocks, but the real story sits in the undercurrents. Despite only a modest pullback in major indices, the Iran‑linked shock has sparked some ...

17 Mar 12min

Processing uncertainty in real time

Processing uncertainty in real time

Volatility has returned, and markets are recalibrating risk premia as new sources of uncertainty emerge across oil, inflation expectations, private credit and the AI investment cycle.In this episode o...

10 Mar 9min

Weight loss drugs: Scaling up

Weight loss drugs: Scaling up

Weight loss drugs have pushed the obesity therapeutics market to an inflection point, reshaping not only patient behaviour, healthcare spending and investor expectations, but also potentially the glob...

3 Mar 14min

Software: In the AI storm

Software: In the AI storm

Software equities sit in the eye of the AI storm, caught at a decisive inflection point as AI reshapes the sector and investors grapple with one of the sharpest valuation resets in years. ​In Episode ...

24 Feb 11min

European Industrials: Recovery or decline?

European Industrials: Recovery or decline?

European Industrials have underperformed for years, but signs of stabilisation are emerging. In Episode 19 of The Barclays Brief, George Featherstone, European Industrials Research Analyst, joins Patr...

17 Feb 9min

Japan decides, global markets move

Japan decides, global markets move

Japan’s decisive election result is recalibrating market expectations, bringing FX, rates and fiscal policy signals into sharper focus. The LDP’s clear mandate will likely feed through to household de...

10 Feb 11min

Metals & mining: Meltdown or opportunity?

Metals & mining: Meltdown or opportunity?

Sharp swings across precious metals, especially gold, have thrust the sector into the spotlight, sustaining investor interest and stirring fresh debate over whether a new supercycle is emerging. Amos ...

3 Feb 10min

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