E142 The Truth About Today’s Real Estate Market in Canada

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In episode E140 of the REI Hot Seat, Andrew and Jacob break down the current state of the real estate market, with a particular focus on multifamily assets and broader opportunities in different asset classes.

They begin by reflecting on how interest rate hikes since 2022 have driven pricing downward and created a true buyer’s market. Buyers now have leverage to dictate terms, while sellers face bleak sentiment, often needing to price below recent averages just to attract offers. Inventory has been tight in some regions, but correctly priced assets are still moving.

The key, they emphasize, is structuring deals from the buyer’s perspective—making sure an opportunity makes sense today, not just based on potential future improvements.

The conversation then shifts to how investors should position themselves in this environment. Jacob highlights that while creative financing can still be useful, it is no longer essential to make deals work; instead, buyers should prioritize simplicity, negotiating time to secure CMHC financing rather than paying premiums for complex structures.

Multifamily continues to be popular due to relatively low barriers to entry and financing options, but the market is saturated, while industrial and office assets are declining and may present future opportunities if purchased at the right price.

They also touch on the fading presence of wholesalers in Canada, attributing the decline to steep price corrections—up to 30% off peak in Ontario—that erased the margins wholesalers once enjoyed.

Looking ahead, Andrew predicts continued stagnation in the market until interest rates eventually settle near a neutral level, likely under 2%, with potential cuts driving incremental improvements. On housing, he challenges the narrative of a “crisis,” suggesting that the real issue is declining living standards as more families consolidate housing or delay independent living, rather than an outright shortage of units.

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Disclaimer: This episode, as with every episode of this show, should NOT be considered as advice. Investment advice is NEVER given on this show. Always consult a competent investment advisor before making an investment decision.

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Andrew Hines is a seasoned real estate investor, business-builder, educator, and podcast host, well-recognized for his extensive experience in the field. Andrew graduated with an HBA from the Richard Ivey School of Business in 2008 and spent three years teaching introductory business at Western University as a Lecturer. He has been investing in real estate since 2011 and completing value-add projects since 2015, primarily in the luxury student rental space. Andrew started a project management company for building out new-construction townhomes in 2016 and has since built over 50 residential units throughout Southwestern Ontario. Andrew is an advocate for treating real estate investing like a business and uses his experience in his educational endeavors, coaching numerous investors on strategies to achieve financial independence and scale their portfolios effectively.

His podcast, "The Andrew Hines Real Estate Investing Podcast," serves as a platform for sharing insights, strategies, and success stories, connecting a community of like-minded individuals passionate about real estate investing. With a background that blends practical investing experience and investor-focused work, Andrew has become a pivotal figure in the Canadian real estate investing community.