#28: What We Got Right and Wrong in ’23 and Calls for ’24
More or Less22 Des 2023

#28: What We Got Right and Wrong in ’23 and Calls for ’24

The gang does a retro on their 2023 calls…from AI to Vision Pro (we couldn’t come up with a Z)…and makes predictions for tech, media, and capital in 2024.


BOOK RECOMMENDATIONS:
The Creative Act, A Way of Being by Rick Rubin
The Order of Time by Carlo Rovelli
Project Hail Mary by Andy Weir
Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomorrow by Gabrielle Zevin

SHOW NOTES:
00:00 Introduction and Holiday Reflections
03:06 The Adobe-Figma Merger
05:35 The Pro-Capitalism Argument
06:52 Antitrust Laws and Government Intervention
09:03 The Valuation and Future of M&A
16:07 Reviewing VC and IPO Predictions
18:32 The Future of Remote Work
30:00 Twitter and the Rise of Threads
40:20 Appreciating Instagram and the Future of Social
41:19 The Slow Future of Threads
42:33 Compliments and Bromance
43:14 Predictions for Audio and Video Experiences
43:39 The Return of Path
44:17 Apple Vision Pro and the Future of MR
46:24 Spatial Video and Memories
47:10 Losing Memory and Talking to Ourselves
48:43 AI Layoffs and Clip Art Music
50:48 Taylor Swift and Creator AI
52:22 More Crypto Predictions
57:12 TikTok's Fate and the Chaotic Presidential Election
59:39 Pickleball Rollups and Crypto Launches
01:01:26 Expecting the Unexpected in 2024
01:08:23 Book Recommendations
01:10:29 Closing Remarks and Farewell

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Episoder(172)

Agentic Commerce Hits a Wall: Hilton, Amazon and the Bot Blocking Fight

Agentic Commerce Hits a Wall: Hilton, Amazon and the Bot Blocking Fight

Meta and Microsoft, two of Anthropic's biggest enterprise customers, have roughly halved their Claude usage, and both are running their own models instead. Dave's diagnosis is the one nobody else is m...

9 Okt 53min

Meta Muse vs Instinct vs OpenAI Dots: Do AI Agents Have Any Moat?

Meta Muse vs Instinct vs OpenAI Dots: Do AI Agents Have Any Moat?

Anthropic's S-1 leaked and the numbers are not what the narrative promised: revenue flatlining as token prices drop, and SaaS investors posting memes welcoming Anthropic to the no-growth table. Jess s...

2 Okt 57min

Claude Is Doing Science, a16z Is Starting a University & the AI Bubble Keeps Growing and Still Be a Terrible Business; We'd Rather Send Our Kids to the Military Than to a16z's School

Claude Is Doing Science, a16z Is Starting a University & the AI Bubble Keeps Growing and Still Be a Terrible Business; We'd Rather Send Our Kids to the Military Than to a16z's School

Andreessen Horowitz puts $35 million into a new school and the pod nearly falls apart over it. Sam says he'd rather send his kids to the military, Jess is all for fixing higher ed but not with two ven...

25 Sep 58min

Anthropic Wants to Slow AI Down & Instinct Wants a $10B Valuation. Is It Because They're Losing? Is Dario Amodei Actually Right?

Anthropic Wants to Slow AI Down & Instinct Wants a $10B Valuation. Is It Because They're Losing? Is Dario Amodei Actually Right?

Finally, a full house week where Sam is back from New York and the squad is back for a full dive into this week’s AI drama. Anthropic's Dario wrote a long essay calling for the AI race to slow down, w...

18 Sep 56min

iPhone Duo, Meta Muse & Why AI Finally Scared Dave Morin

iPhone Duo, Meta Muse & Why AI Finally Scared Dave Morin

Dave Morin goes hands-on with Apple's iPhone Duo, the crew tests Meta's new Muse agent and asks whether it can hold up once Google ships its own, and Dave explains why OpenAI's Astra is the first AI m...

11 Sep 51min

AI Agents Are Going Rogue. Should We Be Worried?

AI Agents Are Going Rogue. Should We Be Worried?

Sam has entered what Jessica calls the “recursive Sam loop,” producing children’s media in his own voice, letting agents deploy their own apps, and having bots track his health. But things take a turn...

4 Sep 55min

Meta’s $17B Reckoning & Why Parents Can’t Compete With Big Tech's Algorithm

Meta’s $17B Reckoning & Why Parents Can’t Compete With Big Tech's Algorithm

Sam is recording poolside, Jess is embracing her agentic era, and somehow that’s the least chaotic part of this week’s episode. The squad digs into Meta’s $17 billion settlement over child safety and ...

28 Aug 54min

Stripe Buys OpenRouter, OpenAI vs. Anthropic & the AI Backlash

Stripe Buys OpenRouter, OpenAI vs. Anthropic & the AI Backlash

Stripe buys OpenRouter for billions, which naturally raises the question: did Stripe just buy critical AI infrastructure, or a very expensive router with great distribution? The original squad is back...

21 Aug 56min

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