Is the March Rate Hike Really a Lock? – Ep. 338
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast20 Mar 2018

Is the March Rate Hike Really a Lock? – Ep. 338

Tomorrow is the first of the Fed's 2-day Federal Open Market Committee Meeting, and it's going to be the first meeting where there is supposed to be a rate hike and a press conference for the new chairman, Jerome Powell. The markets are pretty much at 100% probability that the Fed is going to raise rates on Wednesday. What the markets are grappling with is whether or not the Fed will raise rates 4 times this year, or only 3.

Now, if they are going to raise them 4 times, it would mean they raised rates once per quarter. So they raise them in March, they raise them in June, they raise them in September and then they raise them again in December. Now, if they only do it 3 times, then, they pick one of these quarters where they don't do it. Most likely, if they only do 3 hikes, the hike they're going to skip is going to be the June hike. And, of course, if they skip the June hike, they're probably not going to hike in September or December, either because the economy will be much weaker by then, the U.S. stock market could be much lower. The fact is, I'm still not 100% sure that the Fed is going to hike on Wednesday.

I would agree that it is more likely than not that the Fed is going to hike, because they've been hiking interest rates all along. The Fed so far has not given any indication that they're not going to hike because they don't want to give up the ghost of this "vibrant recovery", where they need to raise rates because everything is going so well. But that whole narrative, that whole illusion seems to be fading very quickly. As a matter of fact, on Friday the Atlanta Fed's model for Q1 GDP went down another notch! They are now down to 1.8% for Q1 GDP. Now does it sound like the Fed should be rushing to hike rates when GDP growth for Q1 is only going to be 1.8%? Does that sound like an economy that is in danger of overheating? When they were at 5.4% 6 weeks ago or so and now they're down to 1.8% and falling? For all we know, we could end up being below 1%.

Does the Fed really want to add more downward pressure to an accelerating economy by raising interest rates? So far, everybody just assumes that they're going to hike rates. but we'll see. Another factor that may weigh on the Fed's decision is the stock market. We still have tomorrow and Wednesday morning for the stock market to tank. Today, the tanking process already began.

At one point today, the Dow was down almost 500 points. At its low it was down around 490. The NASDAQ, the bigger decliner was down almost 200 points intra day. Now the markets recouped some of those losses, so the NASDAQ only closed down 137 points; that's still a 1.84% drop. It's a big drop, not nearly as big as 200. The Dow was down 335. It's back in the red on the year. The Dow was down about 100 points so far this year. We're only about 800 Dow points above the closing low from March. I think we're more like maybe 1300 Dow points above the intra-day low in the U.S. session. But who knows? the market could tank tomorrow, we'll see, and then, is the Fed going to hike rates with the market tanking? Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Episoder(1085)

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Fed’s Credibility Is Transitory, Not Inflation – Ep 750

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13 Nov 20211h 15min

Consumers on the Hook for Rising Producer Prices – Ep 749

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* Supply shortages exacerbated by consumers reading the inflation writing on the wall. * Gas prices at the pump close to all time record highs in most of the country. * Dollar is being propped up by taper. * The crypto market has flipped the gold market. * Joe Biden looks to replace Jerome Powell with Lael Brainard. * Is Elon Musk sending a message to the government, or is he trying to sneak out of his overpriced Tesla stock? * Government should be financed through consumption, not income. Thanks Raycon!. For a limited time, go to https://buyraycon.com/gold for up to 20% off your entire Raycon order. Free $75 credit to upgrade your post at https://indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through December 31, 2021. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

10 Nov 20211h 7min

Gold’s Surprise Rally Shows Sellers Are Exhausted – Ep 748

Gold’s Surprise Rally Shows Sellers Are Exhausted – Ep 748

* Press knows Biden doesn’t have the aptitude to even answer softball questions. * Record high stock market eyes blue skies ahead. * As Peloton bikes become overpriced clothes racks, Peloton stock becomes dirty laundry. * Gold may end up being the pin that pricks the Bitcoin bubble. * The IRS tricked the middle class. Get your new wireless plan for just $15 a month. https://mintmobile.com/gold Thanks Mack Weldon. For 20% off your first order, visit https://mackweldon.com/gold with promo code GOLD INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

6 Nov 20211h 3min

Fed Finally Launches the Taper, Now What? – Ep 747

Fed Finally Launches the Taper, Now What? – Ep 747

* Markets blessed Fed’s decision to begin tapering. * Jerome Powell says economy is healthy, but requires monetary policy of an economy in crisis. * Full employment is subjective and rarely achieved. * Powellnomics: It’s inappropriate to have interest rates above 0% in an economy that’s not at 100% employment. * Fed knows the economy is hanging by a threads, and that thread is 0% interest rates. * It doesn’t matter who the President of the United States is. What matters is who runs the Federal Reserve. * Dollar falling may be investors buying the rumor and selling the news. * No bad news in sight for gold, and no good news in sight for the dollar. * Don’t pick up pennies in front of steam rollers. * Zillow’s moronic house flipping business model caves. * Don’t confuse brains for a bull market or a bubble. * Taper is fully priced into gold and silver market. * Don’t jump onto a moving train; get on it before it leaves the station. Go to https://bambee.com/gold to schedule your FREE HR audit. Get an extra 3 months. https://expressvpn.com/gold INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

4 Nov 202155min

Shiba Inu Highlights Bitcoin’s Lack of Scarcity – Ep 746

Shiba Inu Highlights Bitcoin’s Lack of Scarcity – Ep 746

* Nasdaq and S&P finish the week strong. * Robinhood closes the week near its all time low. * Newmont leads gold mining stocks lower. * Gold mines don’t lose missed earnings, they postpone them. * Crypto ships will rise and sink on the same tide of fear and greed. * Inflation is driving up labor costs. * Hypocrisy is the one thing all politicians have in common. Thanks https://avast.com! Thanks https://truebill.com/gold. It could save you hundreds a year. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

30 Okt 202156min

Markets Can’t Ignore Exploding Trade Deficits Forever – Ep 745

Markets Can’t Ignore Exploding Trade Deficits Forever – Ep 745

* US dollar would tank if traders understood implications of economic data. * Trade deficit continues to break records month after month. * Strong economies have trade surpluses; we have a bubble economy. * We’re only consuming and importing because we’re printing a currency the world still values. * Massive trade deficits aren’t a problem until they’re a crisis. * Government pretends rights are privileges so it can tax them. * Moral hazard and rampant fraud will ramp up childcare costs under new Biden plan. One-of-a-kind financing program at https://netsuite.com/gold INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

29 Okt 202144min

Irrational Exuberance on Steroids – Ep 744

Irrational Exuberance on Steroids – Ep 744

* Elon Musk needs a rocket ship to find Tesla’s PE. * Bakkt Holdings rises on crypto partnership with MasterCard. * Jack Dorsey warns of imminent hyperinflation. * Stanley Druckenmiller doesn’t realize the Fed is the problem. * When politicians aim their weapons at the billionaires, they always hit the middle class the hardest. Free $75 credit to upgrade your post at https://indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through December 31, 2021. Go to https://bambee.com/gold to schedule your FREE HR audit. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

27 Okt 202159min

Written off for Dead, Gold Comes Back to Life – Ep 743

Written off for Dead, Gold Comes Back to Life – Ep 743

* Netflix and Tesla stocks make all time highs. * Trump SPAC makes a splash. * Investors buying WeWork SPAC are putting lipstick on a pig. * Gold price gains on inflation news, which means bigger gains may be around the corner. * Oil price increases while oil production decreases. * Inflation in 2022 will eclipse inflation in 2021. * Weak economic indicators signal the opposite of a booming economy. * Inflation is the government’s silent partner. * America’s increased spending and reduced production will be paid for with inflation. * Bitcoin ETF flops. * Logan Paul and Peter Schiff is the collab we didn’t know we needed. Go to https://shopify.com/gold for a FREE fourteen-day trial and get full access to Shopify’s entire suite of features. Thanks Tru Niagen. Save 10% on your first purchase at https://truniagen.com/peter with code PETER INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

23 Okt 20211h 1min

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