Pakistan Has a Strategy Problem, Not a Money Problem

Pakistan Has a Strategy Problem, Not a Money Problem

Is India really buying the Russian Su-57 "Felon"? Bilal Khan and Arslan Khan open by unpacking why the India–Russia FGFA program collapsed after nearly two decades, why Moscow's new offer is suddenly so generous, and why the Su-57-vs-Rafale fight is driven by industrial revenue-share politics as much as by capability.

The conversation then widens into the real lesson of the JF-17 — the RD-93 engine, dependence on China, the PLAAF order that never came, the markups that forced Pakistan to build its own munitions, the true cost of CPEC, and why Ukraine is the partnership model Pakistan should have pursued years ago. It closes on the strategic stakes of India's looming nuclear breakout and a look ahead to Woot-Tech's rocket-assisted-takeoff test.

⏱️ Chapters00:00 Is India actually procuring the Su-57?00:30 The FGFA saga: two decades of Russia–India fifth-gen failure17:06 Why Russia needs India now (Ukraine, sanctions, co-production)20:30 Rafale vs Su-57: the IAF vs Indian-industry split23:30 What Pakistan should do: Beijing, Moscow & rare-earth leverage24:30 Russia vs Ukraine, from first principles26:19 The JF-17 / RD-93 engine and Pakistan's Ukraine workaround29:34 China isn't charity: who really profits from the JF-1736:05 The 200-jet PLAAF order that never came42:29 Egregious markups: the Range Extension Kit & MFD shakedowns45:00 NESCOM, the Air Weapons Complex & the Azb/Raad family46:18 CPEC, debt servicing and where Pakistan's money goes53:26 The China that used to help — and why it changed1:01:43 Ayub Khan, the 1960s nuclear fuel cycle & the mindset trap1:09:11 Ukraine's hidden industrial base and Firepoint1:19:49 Prioritising Ukraine without antagonising Russia1:22:14 India's nuclear breakout and global strike1:29:33 Next week: Woot-Tech's RATO test & Pakistan's private rocket sector

📖 Mentioned: Mansoor Ahmed, Pakistan's Pathway to the Bomb.🔗 More analysis at quwa.org

Defence Uncut is the first dedicated English-language Pakistani defence commentary podcast. New episodes weekly.

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Episoder(30)

What Replaces Pakistan's F-16s? J-35, New F-16s, or Something Else?

What Replaces Pakistan's F-16s? J-35, New F-16s, or Something Else?

Pakistan is about to make its biggest fighter decision in a generation — and it starts with the F-16.The Pakistan Air Force's three F-16A/B Block-15 squadrons are scheduled to retire by 2040, a timeli...

9 Jul 1h 14min

Pakistan's F-16 Replacement, the Fatah-5 Mystery (SE2E11)

Pakistan's F-16 Replacement, the Fatah-5 Mystery (SE2E11)

The Pakistan Air Force is entering its biggest procurement cycle since the 2010s, and the question that defines it is what replaces the ageing F-16 fleet in the 2030s. In this episode, Bilal Khan and ...

2 Jul 1h 27min

Pakistan's Drone & Cruise Missile Surge — Copying Ukraine? | Defence Uncut S2E10

Pakistan's Drone & Cruise Missile Surge — Copying Ukraine? | Defence Uncut S2E10

Pakistan has quietly started building the unglamorous parts of modern warfare — the engines, munitions and cheap cruise missiles that win a long fight. In this episode, Bilal Khan and Arslan Khan open...

23 Jun 1h 6min

Pakistan's $10.76B Defence Budget 2026 Decoded: PNS Hangor, Army Aviation & FCAS Collapse

Pakistan's $10.76B Defence Budget 2026 Decoded: PNS Hangor, Army Aviation & FCAS Collapse

Pakistan's defence budget for FY2026-27 has hit a record ~$10.76 billion — a near 18% increase and the largest in real dollar terms (almost 3 trillion rupees). But the headline number hides the real s...

17 Jun 1h 3min

Russia’s Air Defence Deal With the Taliban — and Pakistan’s Policy Failure | Defence Uncut

Russia’s Air Defence Deal With the Taliban — and Pakistan’s Policy Failure | Defence Uncut

Russia has reportedly agreed to supply and help maintain air defence systems for the Afghan Taliban. But as Bilal Khan and Arslan Khan explain, the real danger isn't to Pakistan's fighter jets — it's ...

31 Mai 1h 12min

Will the PAF Buy the Kızılelma? Baykar, Engine Risks, and Pakistan's UCAV Roadmap

Will the PAF Buy the Kızılelma? Baykar, Engine Risks, and Pakistan's UCAV Roadmap

Pakistan Air Force Chief ACM Zaheer Babar Sidhu visited Baykar Technologies in Turkey and was photographed with the Bayraktar Kızılelma — a jet-powered unmanned combat aerial vehicle (UCAV) that could...

25 Mai 1h 34min

Fatah IV Air Burst Test, JF-17 Block 4 & Why PAF Training Matters More Than J-35s | Defence Uncut S2E05

Fatah IV Air Burst Test, JF-17 Block 4 & Why PAF Training Matters More Than J-35s | Defence Uncut S2E05

Pakistan's Army Rocket Force Command tested the Fatah IV ground-launched cruise missile with an air burst warhead and new imaging infrared seeker — the latest step in Pakistan's conventional deterrenc...

18 Mai 1h 23min

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