What Replaces Pakistan's F-16s? J-35, New F-16s, or Something Else?

What Replaces Pakistan's F-16s? J-35, New F-16s, or Something Else?

Pakistan is about to make its biggest fighter decision in a generation — and it starts with the F-16.

The Pakistan Air Force's three F-16A/B Block-15 squadrons are scheduled to retire by 2040, a timeline all but confirmed by the $686 million U.S. support and upgrade deal signed in December 2025. That leaves one question hanging over the PAF's entire next procurement cycle: what actually replaces the F-16?

Everyone points to the Shenyang J-35 stealth fighter. But as Bilal Khan and Arslan Khan explain, the J-35 stepping into that role is far from a given. The F-16 isn't just another jet in the fleet — it's the PAF's reliable, high-availability, NATO-interoperable workhorse, and whatever succeeds it has to fill a very specific "size of shoes." That keeps options on the table most people dismiss too quickly: new-build F-16 Block 72s, and even the Eurofighter Typhoon.

Before that, the show opens on the news that kicked off the week — Azerbaijan showing off its newly inducted JF-17 Block III fleet: what the airframes reveal, the twin-seat JF-17B question, Turkish weapons integration, and what Baku's big-ticket contract is really paying for.

Then it's into listener questions: the Typhoon vs J-35 vs F-16 debate in full, cost-per-flight-hour realities, the JH-7B and "Sea Sultan bomber" ideas, and a wide-ranging discussion on Pakistan's command structure, disaggregation, and the role of the new Chief of Defence Forces.

Chapters
00:00 — Welcome & this week's topics
00:37 — Azerbaijan unveils its JF-17 Block III
05:10 — The twin-seat JF-17B explained
10:13 — What Azerbaijan's big contract is really paying for
13:58 — Listener Q&A: does the Typhoon actually replace the F-16?
26:14 — Typhoon vs J-35 vs new F-16: the full breakdown
51:47 — Cost-per-flight-hour realities & the PAF's budget
55:00 — Listener Q&A: command structure & disaggregation

Go deeper on Quwa
Why the PAF's next procurement cycle starts in 2030: https://quwa.org/pakistan/market-intelligence/the-pakistan-air-forces-next-procurement-cycle-starts-in-2030-why-vendors-need-to-prepare/
Inside the $686M F-16 upgrade deal: https://quwa.org/pakistan-air-force-news/why-the-u-s-just-approved-a-686m-f-16-upgrade-for-pakistan-12-11-2025/
What the reports say about Pakistan's J-35 deal: https://quwa.org/pakistan/air-force/combat-aircraft/what-the-reports-say-about-pakistans-j-35-stealth-fighter-deal/

About Defence Uncut
Defence Uncut is the first dedicated English-language Pakistani defence news and commentary podcast, hosted by Bilal Khan and Arslan Khan. Each week we unpack Pakistani military procurements, events, and the broader strategic picture in focused detail — so you can build a clearer, more accurate understanding of South Asian air power.

Follow the show so you never miss an episode, and if you're enjoying it, a rating or review genuinely helps others find us.
Questions or topic ideas? Email us at contact@quwa.org
Read our analysis: https://quwa.org

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Episoder(30)

Pakistan's F-16 Replacement, the Fatah-5 Mystery (SE2E11)

Pakistan's F-16 Replacement, the Fatah-5 Mystery (SE2E11)

The Pakistan Air Force is entering its biggest procurement cycle since the 2010s, and the question that defines it is what replaces the ageing F-16 fleet in the 2030s. In this episode, Bilal Khan and ...

2 Jul 1h 27min

Pakistan's Drone & Cruise Missile Surge — Copying Ukraine? | Defence Uncut S2E10

Pakistan's Drone & Cruise Missile Surge — Copying Ukraine? | Defence Uncut S2E10

Pakistan has quietly started building the unglamorous parts of modern warfare — the engines, munitions and cheap cruise missiles that win a long fight. In this episode, Bilal Khan and Arslan Khan open...

23 Jun 1h 6min

Pakistan's $10.76B Defence Budget 2026 Decoded: PNS Hangor, Army Aviation & FCAS Collapse

Pakistan's $10.76B Defence Budget 2026 Decoded: PNS Hangor, Army Aviation & FCAS Collapse

Pakistan's defence budget for FY2026-27 has hit a record ~$10.76 billion — a near 18% increase and the largest in real dollar terms (almost 3 trillion rupees). But the headline number hides the real s...

17 Jun 1h 3min

Pakistan Has a Strategy Problem, Not a Money Problem

Pakistan Has a Strategy Problem, Not a Money Problem

Is India really buying the Russian Su-57 "Felon"? Bilal Khan and Arslan Khan open by unpacking why the India–Russia FGFA program collapsed after nearly two decades, why Moscow's new offer is suddenly ...

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Russia’s Air Defence Deal With the Taliban — and Pakistan’s Policy Failure | Defence Uncut

Russia’s Air Defence Deal With the Taliban — and Pakistan’s Policy Failure | Defence Uncut

Russia has reportedly agreed to supply and help maintain air defence systems for the Afghan Taliban. But as Bilal Khan and Arslan Khan explain, the real danger isn't to Pakistan's fighter jets — it's ...

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Will the PAF Buy the Kızılelma? Baykar, Engine Risks, and Pakistan's UCAV Roadmap

Will the PAF Buy the Kızılelma? Baykar, Engine Risks, and Pakistan's UCAV Roadmap

Pakistan Air Force Chief ACM Zaheer Babar Sidhu visited Baykar Technologies in Turkey and was photographed with the Bayraktar Kızılelma — a jet-powered unmanned combat aerial vehicle (UCAV) that could...

25 Mai 1h 34min

Fatah IV Air Burst Test, JF-17 Block 4 & Why PAF Training Matters More Than J-35s | Defence Uncut S2E05

Fatah IV Air Burst Test, JF-17 Block 4 & Why PAF Training Matters More Than J-35s | Defence Uncut S2E05

Pakistan's Army Rocket Force Command tested the Fatah IV ground-launched cruise missile with an air burst warhead and new imaging infrared seeker — the latest step in Pakistan's conventional deterrenc...

18 Mai 1h 23min

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