Predictive History, Professor Jiang, No Ads9 Apr

Geo-Strategy #7: Who Killed Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi?

In his May 24, 2024 class Jiang Xueqin examines if Iran President Ebrahim Raisi's death was an accident or an assassination: On May 19, Iran President Raisi's helicopter crashed into the mountains, killing all nine on board. Most experts believe it was a weather-related accident. There are skeptics who believed that powerful forces within Iran stood to gain from Raisi's death. Raisi was expected to become the next Iranian supreme leader, and now Mojtaba Khamenei (the current Ayatollah's second son) is the favorite. Under the current Ayatollah, the 250,000-strong Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) have dominated Iran's economy, politics, and foreign policy. Their critics believe they have inflamed tensions in the Middle East, while causing stagnation and corruption at home. If Raisi were to have become Ayatollah, he would have to attempt to curb the power and influence of the IRGC in order to establish his own authority. Because Mojtaba Khamenei would be inexperienced and unpopular, he would have to rely on the support of the IRGC.This would allow the IRGC to pursue its most ambitious foreign policy goals, which would ultimately force a confrontation between the United States and Iran.

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Episoder(149)

Global Meet-Up #4 (Austin, Texas): American Prophecy

On Sunday, August 23rd, Professor Jiang discusses Trump's 3rd Term in Austin, Texas. Thanks to Jintae Cho for organizing the meet-up, and David Rhoads for filming the event.Please follow David's work ...

1 Sep 2h 28min

Global Meet-Up #2 (Los Angeles): The "End of the World" US Tour

On Saturday, August 8, 2026, Professor Jiang spoke at the Kinn (https://thekinn.co/) in Venice, California. Many thanks to Ally Fekaiki for organizing and moderating the event. Because of his generosi...

18 Aug 1h 39min

Global Meet-Up #3 (New York City): The Eschatology of Capitalism

On Saturday, August 15, 2026, Professor Jiang visited New York City to deliver a lecture on why the Iran started, and where it is going. He explains the origins of transnational capitalism, and how se...

16 Aug 2h 35min

Emergency Discussion #2: The Blackmailing of Spain

In this Saturday, August 1 Zoom discussion, we examine and discuss why and how 50,000 migrants flooded the Spanish enclave of Ceuta.

2 Aug 3h 2min

Emergency Discussion #1: Spain Wins World Cup, US Plans Ground Invasion of Iran

In this July 20, 2026 Zoom discussion, Professor Jiang discusses current events, and answers questions from Substack subscribers.

20 Jul 2h 25min

Live with Predictive History #2: US-Iran War, World Cup

A recording from Predictive History's live videohttps://predictivehistory.substack.co...

18 Jul 1h 26min

Global Meet-Up #1 (Tokyo): Japan's Geo-Political Outlook

On Tuesday, July 14, 2026, Professor Jiang visited Tokyo, and discussed Japan's geo-political outlook. What follows are highlights from the 3-hour event. Much appreciation to Keito Ochi for organizing...

17 Jul 41min