ALO17: Inflation, Volatility, and AI: Ruffer's Bold Market Insights ft. Matt Smith

ALO17: Inflation, Volatility, and AI: Ruffer's Bold Market Insights ft. Matt Smith

Today we are joined by Matt Smith, Investment Director at Ruffer for a fascinating discussion on global markets, asset allocation and how history can guide us in the current global macro landscape. Matt explains why Ruffer is defensively positioned at the moment, why he is sceptical of the AI rally in stocks in recent months and where is he sees opportunity in markets at the moment. We discuss the secular outlook for inflation and why Matt believes we sill see greater volatility and a trend higher in inflation over time and what that means for asset allocation. We also delve into the parallels between the current investing and global macro environment versus the past particularly the period between 1940 and 1970 and hear about some of the key books that have influenced Matt as an investor.

-----

50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

-----


Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Alan on Twitter.

Follow Matt on LinkedIn.

Episode TimeStamps:

02:54 - Introduction to Matt Smith

07:51 - The resilience of the economy

11:50 - Matt's portfolio construction process

16:23 - Skepticism about the goldilocks

21:57 - The outlook for inflation

30:56 - The risk and fear of structural inflation

40:27 - What we can learn from history

46:19 - The process of finding insights from history

51:09 - Matt's perspective on financial repression

54:57 - Advice for other investors

Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

----

PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

Privacy Policy

Disclaimer

Denne episoden er hentet fra en åpen RSS-feed og er ikke publisert av Podme. Den kan derfor inneholde annonser.

Episoder(929)

TTU152: Where is the Open? ft. Toby Crabel

TTU152: Where is the Open? ft. Toby Crabel

Markets are not stable systems. They evolve, adapt, and quietly erode the edges traders rely on. In this episode, Toby Crabel reflects on decades of experience navigating that reality, from the early ...

15 Apr 1h 5min

SI395: Finding Alpha in the Strait of Chaos ft. Andrew Beer

SI395: Finding Alpha in the Strait of Chaos ft. Andrew Beer

Markets are currently being shaped by geopolitical uncertainty, rapid technological change, and shifting investor behavior. In this episode, Andrew and Niels explore how these forces are influencing t...

11 Apr 1h 16min

OI21: The Hidden Edge in Markets No One Is Trading ft. Tom Babbedge

OI21: The Hidden Edge in Markets No One Is Trading ft. Tom Babbedge

What if the real edge in markets is not in adding more assets, but in choosing fundamentally different ones? In this episode, Moritz Siebert speaks with Tom Babbedge about why alternative commodity ma...

8 Apr 47min

SI394: The Quarter That Tested Every Trend Follower ft. Katy Kaminski & Harry Moore

SI394: The Quarter That Tested Every Trend Follower ft. Katy Kaminski & Harry Moore

Markets rarely offer clarity when it matters most. In this episode, together with Katy Kaminski and Harry Moore, we reflect on a first quarter defined by sharp reversals, energy shocks, and rising dis...

4 Apr 1h 13min

GM98: Powerlessness Is Rising and Nobody Is Ready ft. Peter Atwater

GM98: Powerlessness Is Rising and Nobody Is Ready ft. Peter Atwater

What happens when confidence fades and power becomes concentrated in fewer hands? Together with Peter Atwater we explore a world dividing along lines of control and vulnerability. From geopolitical co...

1 Apr 1h 13min

SI393: The Illusion of Control in Modern Markets ft. Yoav Git

SI393: The Illusion of Control in Modern Markets ft. Yoav Git

Markets often appear logical in hindsight, yet behave unpredictably in real time. In this episode, Niels and Yoav explore how recent events, from geopolitical shocks to shifting narratives, reveal the...

28 Mar 1h 5min

IL47: The AI Revolution That Will Redefine What It Means to Be Human ft. Craig Mundie

IL47: The AI Revolution That Will Redefine What It Means to Be Human ft. Craig Mundie

In today’s episode we talk to Craig Mundie, formerly the Chief Technical Officer at Microsoft and a leading advocate for responsible development of artificial intelligence. He joins Kevin Coldiron to ...

25 Mar 1h

SI392: The Hidden Cracks in Systematic Strategies No One Talks About ft. Nick Baltas

SI392: The Hidden Cracks in Systematic Strategies No One Talks About ft. Nick Baltas

Markets have shifted quickly in 2026, forcing systematic investors to reassess what is signal and what is noise. In this episode, Niels and Nick explore recent drawdowns, volatility in commodities, an...

21 Mar 1h 4min

Populært innen Business og økonomi

stopp-verden
dine-penger-pengeradet
lydartikler-fra-aftenposten
e24-podden
rss-borsmorgen-okonominyhetene
rss-penger-polser-og-politikk
rss-pa-konto
rss-skravla-gar
pengepodden-2
finansredaksjonen
utbytte
livet-pa-veien-med-jan-erik-larssen
stormkast-med-valebrokk-stordalen
morgenkaffen-med-finansavisen
tid-er-penger-en-podcast-med-peter-warren
pengesnakk
rss-sunn-okonomi
lederpodden
okonomiamatorene
rss-markedspuls-2