Adam Chernoff's NFL Betting Tips: Bet Smarter This Season!
The Smylie Show4 Sep 2024

Adam Chernoff's NFL Betting Tips: Bet Smarter This Season!

Join Smylie Kaufman on the Smylie Show as he welcomes betting expert Adam Chernoff, transitioning from the golf season into football with exclusive insider knowledge. Adam shares his journey from setting point spreads in the Caribbean to collaborating with professional bettors in the U.S. Discover his valuable insights on betting strategies, picking winning teams, and understanding market movements. From dissecting the math versus subjective approaches to finding hidden gems in prop markets, Adam's expertise is a game-changer for any football bettor. Dive into discussions about NFL coaching dynamics, rookie quarterback potentials, and standout players for the season. As a golf enthusiast, Adam also recaps the weekend in golf and previews the upcoming Presidents Cup at Royal Montreal.

CHAPTERS:

00:00 - Intro

01:40 - Sports Betting Basics

04:42 - Market Changes in Sports Betting

07:01 - Finding Value in Betting

09:34 - Importance of Consistency

11:04 - Identifying Betting Value

20:54 - Preseason Handicapping Strategies

24:08 - Preseason Standout Players

32:54 - NFL Win Totals Analysis

33:50 - Ravens Win Total

34:31 - Eagles Win Total

36:50 - Cowboys Win Total

38:50 - Undervalued NFL Win Totals

39:14 - Carolina Panthers Analysis

42:54 - Seattle Seahawks Insights

44:52 - Minnesota Vikings Overview

48:01 - Buy or Sell Betting Strategy

52:21 - Super Bowl Predictions

54:33 - Closing Thoughts

54:55 - Lowering Your Handicap

1:00:40 - Presidents Cup Team Selection

1:04:09 - Presidents Cup Picks

Episoder(275)

Sepp Straka joins the show after John Deere win + we're Threadin'!

Sepp Straka joins the show after John Deere win + we're Threadin'!

Fresh off his second PGA Tour win at the John Deere Classic, Sepp Straka joins Smylie to break down his electric final round 62, the impact his win has on making the Euro Ryder Cup team, and his phone that can only text message and make calls. Smylie and Charlie discuss the Spring Break Crew at Wimbledon, how they plan to use the newest social media app "Threads," and a string of great golf that has Smylie playing to a +5.2 handicap.

10 Jul 20231h 2min

On the Tee with Rickie Fowler

On the Tee with Rickie Fowler

Smylie is joined by his "cartner," fellow 2016 spring breaker, and good friend Rickie Fowler to recap Rick's first win on PGA Tour since 2019. Rickie explains the origin story behind his bold clothing choices, goes into detail on the swing changes he's made with Butch Harmon, and reveals the nerves he felt before the final round of the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.

6 Jul 202347min

Rickie Wins! Recapping a thrilling finish at the Rocket Mortgage Classic

Rickie Wins! Recapping a thrilling finish at the Rocket Mortgage Classic

After coming close numerous times this season, including at the U.S. Open, Rickie Fowler finally wins his first PGA Tour event since 2019 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic - and Smylie called it the week before! Smylie discusses how happy he is to see a good friend and spring break buddy back in the winners circle, and what implications it could have for his chances of making the Ryder Cup team in the fall.

3 Jul 202339min

On the Tee with Steph Curry

On the Tee with Steph Curry

Smylie is joined by four-time NBA champ and two-time NBA MVP Steph Curry as he prepares to play in the eighth edition of "The Match" in Las Vegas. Steph discusses his recent trip to Cypress Point, whether NIL would have impacted his college decision, the biggest basketball shot of his career, his role as Justin Thomas' shooting coach, and the wild question Jordan Spieth asked President Obama during a round of golf.

29 Jun 202343min

Smylie's "On the Road" Travelers recap + best Member-Guest formats

Smylie's "On the Road" Travelers recap + best Member-Guest formats

After a missed connecting flight on his trip back from the Travelers Championship, Smylie joins Charlie on the drive home to Birmingham to discuss all the action from TPC River Highlands, playing golf in overcorrected glasses, the best formats and traditions for Member-Guest tournaments, and a brief preview of the Rocket Mortgage Classic that quickly turns into an in-depth look at Min Woo Lee's schedule.

26 Jun 20231h 17min

On the Tee with Andrew Whitworth

On the Tee with Andrew Whitworth

Smylie is joined by Super Bowl champ, 4x Pro Bowler, and fellow LSU Tiger Andrew Whitworth. Andrew explains the similarities between run blocking technique and the golf swing, talks about the best rusher he ever faced, and gives a surprising answer as to whether football or golf is more gratifying.

22 Jun 202344min

U.S. Open Daily Journal: Rickie Fowler's week, LACC conditions, and Wyndham Clark's first major win

U.S. Open Daily Journal: Rickie Fowler's week, LACC conditions, and Wyndham Clark's first major win

While on-site at Los Angeles Country Club walking with a new group every day for the 123rd U.S. Open, Smylie Kaufman checks in each night to "journal" his thoughts with Charlie Hulme - culminating with Wyndham Clark's first major victory. On Thursday, Smylie and Charlie discuss the record-setting 62s that both Rickie Fowler and Xander Schauffele shot to open the tournament, and whether that was cause for concern about LACC's suitability as a U.S. Open venue. On Friday, Smylie and Charlie discuss the changed weather conditions that led to less low scoring, and the razor thin difference between birdie and bogey at LACC. On Saturday, Smylie and Charlie discuss a moving day without a lot of movement, and the type of approach that players at the top of the leaderboard need to bring into Sunday if they want to win a major. On Sunday, Smylie and Charlie recap Wyndham Clark's convincing win over a leaderboard full of experience and major winners, and talk about the way Rickie Fowler handled losing with grace and class.

19 Jun 202344min

On the Tee with Mardy Fish

On the Tee with Mardy Fish

Smylie is joined by Mardy Fish, a tennis pro who was ranked as high as seventh in the world playing in the Federer-Nadal-Djokovic-Murray era. Mardy and Smylie discuss the mental health struggles they both faced in their respective sports, Mardy's dominance on the "celebrity golf circuit," and the 123rd U.S. Open being played in Mardy's hometown of Los Angeles.

15 Jun 202350min

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