Ecological Inference and Simpson's Paradox

Ecological Inference and Simpson's Paradox

Simpson's paradox is the data science equivalent of looking through one eye and seeing a very clear trend, and then looking through the other eye and seeing the very clear opposite trend. In one case, you see a trend one way in a group, but then breaking the group into subgroups gives the exact opposite trend. Confused? Scratching your head? Welcome to the tricky world of ecological inference. Relevant links: https://gking.harvard.edu/files/gking/files/part1.pdf http://blog.revolutionanalytics.com/2013/07/a-great-example-of-simpsons-paradox.html

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Episoder(328)

Back in Two Weeks

Back in Two Weeks

Back in Two Weeks by Katie Malone

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Mechanistic Interpretability: How Researchers Try To See Inside Models

Mechanistic Interpretability: How Researchers Try To See Inside Models

As AI systems grow more powerful, they grow harder to understand — and that tradeoff has never mattered more. Most interpretability tricks give us approximations from the outside, but mechanistic inte...

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LLM As A Judge

LLM As A Judge

Labeled data is expensive, slow, and painfully hard to come by — and when you're trying to evaluate whether an AI workflow is actually doing what you want, the problem gets even messier. How do you ju...

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The Impact of AI on Podcasting (Harvard Data Science Review Cross-Post)

The Impact of AI on Podcasting (Harvard Data Science Review Cross-Post)

Originally aired on the Harvard Data Science Review podcast. What can podcasting teach us about AI — and what can AI teach us about the future of podcasting? Katie Malone (that's our host) joins Jon ...

21 Sep 29min

Better Know A Benchmark: ExploitGym

Better Know A Benchmark: ExploitGym

When OpenAI's frontier models were caught hacking Hugging Face's servers, most people assumed they were hunting for answer keys. The real story is stranger and more unsettling. Katie and Phoebe unpack...

14 Sep 32min

Constitutional AI

Constitutional AI

How do you teach a model the difference between helpful and harmful when it has no inherent sense of either? This episode dives into Constitutional AI, Anthropic's framework for training AI systems to...

7 Sep 31min

A Data-Driven Reality Check on AI in Business (Interview with Tom Davenport, Babson College)

A Data-Driven Reality Check on AI in Business (Interview with Tom Davenport, Babson College)

Tom Davenport — the man who called data science "the sexiest job of the 21st century" — is back with a reality check on AI. As one of the most seasoned observers of how businesses actually adopt trans...

31 Aug 40min

Understanding AI Text Watermarking

Understanding AI Text Watermarking

Anthropic just announced they're baking invisible watermarks directly into Claude's generated text — and while everyone else was busy having opinions about it, we were busy asking the more interesting...

24 Aug 29min

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