Understanding Covid-19 transmission: what the data suggests about how the disease spreads

Understanding Covid-19 transmission: what the data suggests about how the disease spreads

Covid-19 is turning the world upside down right now. One thing that’s extremely important to understand, in order to fight it as effectively as possible, is how the virus spreads and especially how much of the spread of the disease comes from carriers who are experiencing no or mild symptoms but are contagious anyway. This episode digs into the epidemiological model that was published in Science this week—this model finds that the data suggests that the majority of carriers of the coronavirus, 80-90%, do not have a detected disease. This has big implications for the importance of social distancing of a way to get the pandemic under control and explains why a more comprehensive testing program is critical for the United States. Also, in lighter news, Katie (a native of Dayton, Ohio) lays a data-driven claim for just declaring the University of Dayton flyers to be the 2020 NCAA College Basketball champions. Relevant links: https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/03/13/science.abb3221

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Episoder(323)

Constitutional AI

Constitutional AI

How do you teach a model the difference between helpful and harmful when it has no inherent sense of either? This episode dives into Constitutional AI, Anthropic's framework for training AI systems to...

7 Sep 31min

A Data-Driven Reality Check on AI in Business (Interview with Tom Davenport, Babson College)

A Data-Driven Reality Check on AI in Business (Interview with Tom Davenport, Babson College)

Tom Davenport — the man who called data science "the sexiest job of the 21st century" — is back with a reality check on AI. As one of the most seasoned observers of how businesses actually adopt trans...

31 Aug 40min

Understanding AI Text Watermarking

Understanding AI Text Watermarking

Anthropic just announced they're baking invisible watermarks directly into Claude's generated text — and while everyone else was busy having opinions about it, we were busy asking the more interesting...

24 Aug 29min

Better Know a Benchmark: Humanity's Last Exam

Better Know a Benchmark: Humanity's Last Exam

Humanity's Last Exam was designed with a bold premise: questions that human experts can answer, but AI models can't. Originally dubbed "Humanity's Last Stand," this benchmark is a massive academic col...

17 Aug 23min

A Scientific Deep Dive into Overconfident LLMs: Interview with Kaitlyn Zhou (Cornell)

A Scientific Deep Dive into Overconfident LLMs: Interview with Kaitlyn Zhou (Cornell)

When a language model tells you it's absolutely certain, is it actually more likely to be right? Kaitlyn Zhou's research says: not necessarily — sometimes confident phrasing correlates with *worse* ac...

10 Aug 33min

Reasoning Models: When LLMs Went Beyond Fancy Autocomplete

Reasoning Models: When LLMs Went Beyond Fancy Autocomplete

Reasoning models don't just answer your question — they *think out loud* first. In this episode we dig into the class of AI models that generate intermediate chains of thought before arriving at a fin...

3 Aug 25min

Distillation, or, How to Steal a Model

Distillation, or, How to Steal a Model

This week we’re covering model distillation: the technique of using a large "teacher" model's outputs to train a smaller, cheaper "student" model that mimics it. They cover the two big reasons labs do...

27 Jul 23min

Invisible LLM Failures and AI Fluency with Chris Potts (Stanford)

Invisible LLM Failures and AI Fluency with Chris Potts (Stanford)

What happens when a Stanford linguistics professor turns his attention to AI chatbots — and the surprisingly invisible ways humans misunderstand them? Chris Potts joins the show to unpack the hidden f...

20 Jul 41min

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