Trump Effect on NOAA Forces Restrictions and Concerns

Trump Effect on NOAA Forces Restrictions and Concerns

NOAA Restrictions and Concerns

Subject: Recent Restrictions Imposed on NOAA Scientists and Resulting Concerns

meteorology Matters details new restrictions imposed on scientists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) under the Trump administration, sparking considerable concern within the agency and among international partners. These restrictions include increased oversight of communications with foreign nationals, additional administrative burdens, and anticipated budget and staffing cuts. These measures are perceived as part of a broader effort to deprioritize climate crisis efforts and potentially privatize parts of NOAA. The changes raise alarms about the potential impact on weather forecasting accuracy, international scientific collaboration, and the availability of crucial climate data.

Key Themes and Ideas:

  1. Increased Restrictions on International Communication and Collaboration:
  • NOAA is implementing new oversight of scientists' email and "virtual meetings" with foreign nationals.
  • All "international engagements" require documentation and approval by a Trump political appointee.
  • One NOAA Research email stated staff now need to submit any "international engagement" for approval, including travel, face-to-face meetings or gatherings of international organizations. As for whether that includes emails with colleagues of different nationalities, the guidance said: “Not at this time.”
  • The National Marine Fisheries Service has told staff to stop all contact with foreign nationals.
  • These restrictions are seen as creating an "onerous" administrative burden, especially for the National Weather Service (NWS).
  1. Concerns About a "Crackdown on Climate" and Politicization of Science:
  • A senior NOAA scientist stated, "My expectation is that it’s going to be a crackdown on climate. People are just somewhere between disturbed and terrified."
  • Fears stem from previous incidents of scientists being sidelined or muted during Trump's first term.
  • Elon Musk’s “department of government efficiency” (Doge), placed the head of Noaa’s human resources team on administrative leave and initiated an agency-wide purge of activities related to diversity, equity and inclusion.
  1. Budget and Staffing Cuts Looming:
  • Employees have reportedly been told to expect a 50% reduction in staff and budget cuts of 30%.
  • Project 2025 architect Russell Vought proposed a 38% budget cut for Noaa to “to curb excessive mission creep in key agencies, halt steadily increasing climate extremism within the department, and eliminate the prioritization of woke agendas”.
  • "Hundreds" of NOAA staff have reportedly accepted federal buyouts.
  • There are reported sweeping efforts to shrink the federal workforce with repeated requests for volunteers who want to resign.
  1. Potential Impact on Weather Forecasting and Climate Science:
  • The restrictions and cuts could "hamper the ability of the US to maintain a functioning public weather service."
  • Reduced international collaboration could undermine the ability to "understand and combat" the climate crisis, according to a climate scientist at the EU's Copernicus agency. "The climate crisis knows no boundaries, and halting international scientific collaboration can only undermine our ability to understand and combat it.”

Episoder(208)

Armed Militia Threatens Hurricane Helene Relief Workers in North Carolina Hampering Efforts

Armed Militia Threatens Hurricane Helene Relief Workers in North Carolina Hampering Efforts

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Florida’s Insurance Crisis Deepens in the Wake of Hurricanes Helene & Milton

Florida’s Insurance Crisis Deepens in the Wake of Hurricanes Helene & Milton

Hurricane Milton is poised to severely impact Florida's already struggling property insurance market. This comes after the state faced record-breaking insurance costs and several insurance company failures, leading to the rise of Citizens Property Insurance Corporation, a non-profit that provides coverage to homeowners unable to find it in the private market. The state has been trying to stabilize the market through legal reforms and by encouraging private insurers to return, but Milton's potential devastation could push prices higher and further strain the system. Although Florida's real estate market remains resilient, a significant storm could lead to more insurers withdrawing from the state, leaving Citizens to cover a larger portion of the losses, potentially putting the state in a difficult financial position.

14 Okt 20248min

EC-AIFS AI Euro Model Blows Away the Competition with Hurricane Milton Forecast

EC-AIFS AI Euro Model Blows Away the Competition with Hurricane Milton Forecast

Advancements in hurricane forecasting with the introduction of the ECMWF EC-AIFS, a new artificial intelligence model does incredible job with Milton prediction. It boasts significantly higher accuracy compared to other models, predicting the landfall of Hurricane Milton with an error margin of only 13 miles. We emphasize the model's potential to save lives, resources, and time by pinpointing the most accurate landfall location. Additionally, the importance of continuously improving forecasting skills by analyzing past predictions and current atmospheric conditions to make the most informed decisions is an important part of hurricane forecasting today that need a human touch.

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Climate Change Impacts on Hurricane Milton: Wetter, Windier & More Destructive

Climate Change Impacts on Hurricane Milton: Wetter, Windier & More Destructive

World Weather Attribution examines the effects of climate change on Hurricane Milton, which recently made landfall in Florida. The report from WA analyzes the hurricane's intensity, rainfall, and wind speeds, concluding that climate change significantly increased the likelihood and intensity of the storm. The report also discusses the impact of Hurricane Milton on Florida's infrastructure and preparedness, highlighting the vulnerability of low-income and minority communities. It then provides an overview of the effects of climate change on hurricanes globally, emphasizing the growing trend of more intense storms and the need for better preparedness and adaptation measures.

12 Okt 20248min

Was Mar-a-lago Open to Trump Supporters to Evacuate for Hurricane Milton?

Was Mar-a-lago Open to Trump Supporters to Evacuate for Hurricane Milton?

Claims are circulating on social media that former President Donald Trump is offering free lodging at his properties, including Mar-a-Lago, to Trump supporters displaced by Hurricane Milton. There are various posts from social media users, some claiming that Trump is offering shelter and others stating that the claims are false. It also includes a statement from a representative of Trump National Doral, saying that the hotel is fully booked. Do you think the claims about free lodging for Trump supporters at Mar-a-Lago are true?

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Hurricane Milton Conspiracy Theories: Putting Lives at Risk

Hurricane Milton Conspiracy Theories: Putting Lives at Risk

We explore the spread of misinformation surrounding hurricanes, particularly the recent Hurricanes Helene and Milton.A Broward County School Board member has been spreading false claims about FEMA's response to Hurricane Helene, including that the agency was withholding aid and diverting funds. There are harmful effects of misinformation, specifically focusing on meteorologists who are facing threats and harassment from individuals who believe the government controls weather events. This misinformation is amplified during times of political polarization and heightened anxiety, particularly during election years. Brian McNoldy, a University of Miami meteorologist and reaseach scientist debunks conspiracy theories surrounding Hurricane Milton, including the claim that the government is manipulating weather patterns to steer the storm towards specific locations. These issues demonstrate the dangers of spreading misinformation during natural disasters, which can negatively impact relief efforts and potentially endanger lives. Cover photo from Miami New Times

11 Okt 20248min

Hurricane Milton - The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly

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The aftermath of Hurricane Milton, which hit Florida yesterday, and its impacts on different parts of the state will be memorable for years to comeThe storm's three phases, with intense tornadoes in the first phase, storm surge in the second, and strong winds and heavy rain in the third highlight that Hurricanes are not always one dimensional. The accuracy of the National Hurricane Center's forecasts, particularly for the storm's track were phenomenal, but challenges in predicting rapid intensification still exist. Florida hurricanes can come rapid fire, and while that’s not new, sea level rise and warming sea surface temperatures are bringing us new challenges. Increased preparedness and better construction standards should be the focus in order to weather these recurring hurricane threats.

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Hurricane Milton - Florida Hazards Include Storm Surge, Flash Flood, High Wind, & Tornados 🌪️

Hurricane Milton - Florida Hazards Include Storm Surge, Flash Flood, High Wind, & Tornados 🌪️

Hurricane Milton is expected to make landfall on the West Coast of Florida, bringing with it the threat of dangerous storm surge, strong winds, and heavy rainfall. The National Hurricane Center has issued warnings for the entire Florida peninsula, urging residents to prepare for the storm by evacuating low-lying areas, securing their homes, and stocking up on essential supplies. The storm's impact is expected to be particularly severe in the Tampa Bay Area and Southwest Florida where the surge could reach up to 13 feet. With saturated soil from the preceding rain, the storm is expected to cause extensive tree damage and power outages.

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