100 Days till Hurricane Season 2025

100 Days till Hurricane Season 2025

2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook and Preparedness

Purpose: To provide a summary of early predictions for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season and offer recommendations for preparedness based on current information.

Key Themes:

  • Hurricane Season Timing: The Atlantic hurricane season officially runs from June 1st to November 30th. However, storms can and have developed outside of these dates. The eastern Pacific hurricane season runs from May 15 to November 30, while the central Pacific season (including Hawaii) runs June 1 through November 30.
  • Early Predictions for 2025: Initial outlooks suggest an average to slightly above-average hurricane season in the Atlantic. However, experts caution that early predictions are subject to change.
  • "Looking ahead to the 2025 season, early outlooks from various weather organizations suggest an average to slightly above-average season. However, experts caution that early predictions are prone to errors." - Fox Weather
  • ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) Influence: ENSO is a critical factor influencing hurricane activity.
  • Currently in a waning La Niña phase (late 2024), expected to transition to a neutral state in 2025.
  • Neutral ENSO years have historically produced a wide range of hurricane activity.
  • "Historically, neutral ENSO years have produced a range of hurricane activity, from a below-average number of cyclones to well above-average seasons, depending on variables such as sea surface temperatures, wind patterns and other atmospheric factors." - Fox Weather
  • According to research from Florida State University, the Florida Peninsula and the Gulf Coast are especially affected during neutral ENSO years.
  • Sea Surface Temperatures: Warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures, particularly in the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean, could contribute to increased tropical development.
  • "The Caribbean is already warm enough to sustain tropical activity... The Gulf is several degrees warmer than average for this time of the year, and if sustained for several months, that could lead to more development." - Weather.com
  • Importance of Early Preparation: The documents stress that preparing now is crucial, not waiting until a storm is imminent.

Key Facts and Ideas:

  • 2024 Season Recap: The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season had 18 named storms, including 11 hurricanes and 5 major hurricanes. This is considered an active year, but below expectations of early forecasts.
  • An average season produces 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes with an ACE value of around 122.
  • Pre-Season Storms: Storms can and do form before the official June 1st start date. Examples cited: Tropical Storm Arlene (2023), Tropical Storm Bonnie (2016), Hurricane Alex (2016), Tropical Storm Beryl (2012).
  • "Many recent years have had storms develop before June 1, the official start of hurricane season." - Weather.com
  • Hurricane Names: The naming list for the 2025 season is provided, with Andrea being the first name. Dexter replaces Dorian on the list.
  • "The first named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season will be Andrea, followed by Barry, Chantal and Dexter. The name Dexter replaces Dorian, which was retired after the 2019 season." - Fox Weather

Episoder(208)

The Long Road to Recovery: How Hurricanes Helene and Milton Continue to Impact Tampa Bay Residents in December 2024

The Long Road to Recovery: How Hurricanes Helene and Milton Continue to Impact Tampa Bay Residents in December 2024

The Long Road to Recovery: How Hurricanes Helene and Milton Continue to Impact Tampa Bay ResidentsMeteorology Matters examines the ongoing challenges faced by residents in the Tampa Bay area in the wake of Hurricanes Helene and Milton. Even in December 2024 area residents are dealing with hurdles months after the hurricanes, we are focusing on the struggles residents are encountering with FEMA, housing instability, and supply shortages.Key Themes:FEMA's 50% Rule and Damage Assessment InconsistenciesHousing Instability for RentersSupply Shortages and Extended DelaysFinancial and Emotional Strain

24 Des 202416min

Christmas 2024 Travel Briefing: Weather Impacts and White Christmas Predictions

Christmas 2024 Travel Briefing: Weather Impacts and White Christmas Predictions

Christmas 2024 Travel Briefing: Weather Impacts and White Christmas PredictionsThis briefing summarizes key weather information for the Christmas 2024 holiday period, drawing from several weather forecasts and news articles.Main Themes:Unsettled weather leading up to Christmas: Many regions will experience rain, snow, and potentially disruptive weather in the days preceding Christmas.Warmer temperatures for many on Christmas Day: A warming trend is expected across much of the US, bringing above-average temperatures and reducing the likelihood of snow in many areas.Limited White Christmas potential: While higher elevations in the West and areas near the Canadian border have the best chances, widespread snow cover on Christmas morning is unlikely across the contiguous US.Travel disruptions possible: Travelers should anticipate potential delays due to weather, especially in the days leading up to Christmas.

23 Des 202411min

Miami and Tampa: High Risk to Climate Change, Rising Sea Level

Miami and Tampa: High Risk to Climate Change, Rising Sea Level

Meteorology Matters examines Miami and Tampa's vulnerability to hurricanes and climate change. Miami, despite its booming population and development, faces significant climate risks, including rising sea levels and increased flooding, yet many residents remain, prioritizing lifestyle over potential dangers. Tampa, similarly situated in a low-lying area, presents a high-risk scenario due to its rapid growth and the potential for catastrophic storm surge, with the upcoming Hurricane Milton posing an imminent threat. Both cities highlight the complex interplay between economic growth, environmental risks, and individual choices in the face of climate change. Experts express serious concern about the preparedness of both cities for extreme weather events.

17 Des 202422min

Walkable Cities Good for Earth While Americans Prefer Suburbia

Walkable Cities Good for Earth While Americans Prefer Suburbia

Meteorology Matters examines the environmental impact of suburban sprawl, contrasting it with denser, more walkable urban neighborhoods. We explore the trade-offs between walkability, affordability, and living space, highlighting public preference for sprawling suburbs despite their higher carbon footprint. We look at the effects of suburban development on natural habitats, noting both habitat loss and surprising animal adaptations. Finally we examine strategies to reduce the climate footprint of suburban areas, suggesting policy changes, technological upgrades in homes and transportation, and individual actions to mitigate emissions.

16 Des 202424min

Hurricane Helene: Impact Erwin Tennessee

Hurricane Helene: Impact Erwin Tennessee

Meteorology Matters looks at a Washington Post investigation into the deaths of six Impact Plastics employees during Hurricane Helene's flooding in Erwin, Tennessee. The investigation highlights the role of both the severe weather and allegedly inadequate employer responses in the fatalities, contrasting this with the successful rescue of hospital staff and patients. We also examine the deaths of workers at an Amazon warehouse and a Kentucky candle factory during a tornado. The lack of union representation contributed to the workers' inability to leave their workplaces before the disaster and emphasizes the importance of unions in ensuring worker safety and fair treatment. This boils down to the tragic consequences of prioritizing profit over worker safety in the face of extreme weather events.

3 Des 202411min

Lake Effect: 6 Feet of Snow Forecast for Watertown, NY

Lake Effect: 6 Feet of Snow Forecast for Watertown, NY

Meteorology Matters reports on a major Thanksgiving Weekend lake-effect snowstorm impacting upstate New York and parts of the Great Lakes region. Significant snowfall accumulations of up to five or six feet are predicted, especially near Watertown, NY, and along the shores of Lakes Erie and Ontario. Hazardous travel conditions and widespread disruptions are anticipated, prompting warnings and travel restrictions. State and local authorities are mobilizing resources, including the National Guard and transportation crews, to respond to the storm's impact. The storm is expected to last through early Monday.

29 Nov 202411min

Gust vs Sustained Wind: Application to Building Standards

Gust vs Sustained Wind: Application to Building Standards

Meteorology Matters presents an analytical framework for standardizing tropical cyclone wind characteristics (mean wind speed, turbulence intensity, integral scale, gust factor, and peak factor) from various measurement conditions to a common reference. This framework uses equilibrium boundary-layer theory and is applied to data from seven tropical cyclones (four typhoons, three hurricanes), comparing results to existing standards (ASCE 7-10 and AIJ-RLB-2004). We continue to. examine gust factor variations based on coastal tower measurements during three landfalling typhoons. We explore the relationships between gust factor and turbulence intensity, height, wind speed, and direction, finding that gust factors are smaller than those in national codes and influenced significantly by shoreline confinement on sea wave development.

29 Nov 202410min

Thanksgiving Week Weather

Thanksgiving Week Weather

Meteorology Matters discusses Thanksgiving week weather forecasts across the U.S., predicting potential travel disruptions. CBS News reports on severe storms impacting the Pacific Northwest and California, with ensuing power outages and fatalities, while also forecasting rain and snow in the East impacting Thanksgiving travel. Weather.com provides a more detailed, day-by-day forecast, highlighting potential travel issues due to snow in mountainous regions and lake-effect snow in the Great Lakes area, along with rain and thunderstorms in other parts of the country. The overall message is one of caution and preparedness for holiday travel.

28 Nov 202413min

Populært innen Vitenskap

fastlegen
tingenes-tilstand
jss
rekommandert
dekodet-2
rss-nysgjerrige-norge
rss-rekommandert
villmarksliv
forskningno
sinnsyn
rss-paradigmepodden
tomprat-med-gunnar-tjomlid
fremtid-pa-frys
fjellsportpodden
pod-britannia
doktor-fives-podcast
vett-og-vitenskap-med-gaute-einevoll
tidlose-historier
abid-nadia-skyld-og-skam
diagnose