100 Days till Hurricane Season 2025

100 Days till Hurricane Season 2025

2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook and Preparedness

Purpose: To provide a summary of early predictions for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season and offer recommendations for preparedness based on current information.

Key Themes:

  • Hurricane Season Timing: The Atlantic hurricane season officially runs from June 1st to November 30th. However, storms can and have developed outside of these dates. The eastern Pacific hurricane season runs from May 15 to November 30, while the central Pacific season (including Hawaii) runs June 1 through November 30.
  • Early Predictions for 2025: Initial outlooks suggest an average to slightly above-average hurricane season in the Atlantic. However, experts caution that early predictions are subject to change.
  • "Looking ahead to the 2025 season, early outlooks from various weather organizations suggest an average to slightly above-average season. However, experts caution that early predictions are prone to errors." - Fox Weather
  • ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) Influence: ENSO is a critical factor influencing hurricane activity.
  • Currently in a waning La Niña phase (late 2024), expected to transition to a neutral state in 2025.
  • Neutral ENSO years have historically produced a wide range of hurricane activity.
  • "Historically, neutral ENSO years have produced a range of hurricane activity, from a below-average number of cyclones to well above-average seasons, depending on variables such as sea surface temperatures, wind patterns and other atmospheric factors." - Fox Weather
  • According to research from Florida State University, the Florida Peninsula and the Gulf Coast are especially affected during neutral ENSO years.
  • Sea Surface Temperatures: Warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures, particularly in the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean, could contribute to increased tropical development.
  • "The Caribbean is already warm enough to sustain tropical activity... The Gulf is several degrees warmer than average for this time of the year, and if sustained for several months, that could lead to more development." - Weather.com
  • Importance of Early Preparation: The documents stress that preparing now is crucial, not waiting until a storm is imminent.

Key Facts and Ideas:

  • 2024 Season Recap: The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season had 18 named storms, including 11 hurricanes and 5 major hurricanes. This is considered an active year, but below expectations of early forecasts.
  • An average season produces 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes with an ACE value of around 122.
  • Pre-Season Storms: Storms can and do form before the official June 1st start date. Examples cited: Tropical Storm Arlene (2023), Tropical Storm Bonnie (2016), Hurricane Alex (2016), Tropical Storm Beryl (2012).
  • "Many recent years have had storms develop before June 1, the official start of hurricane season." - Weather.com
  • Hurricane Names: The naming list for the 2025 season is provided, with Andrea being the first name. Dexter replaces Dorian on the list.
  • "The first named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season will be Andrea, followed by Barry, Chantal and Dexter. The name Dexter replaces Dorian, which was retired after the 2019 season." - Fox Weather

Episoder(208)

Valencia Deadly Flash Flood: Latest in a String of Floods that Seem to be Getting More Frequent & More Severe

Valencia Deadly Flash Flood: Latest in a String of Floods that Seem to be Getting More Frequent & More Severe

Meteorology Matters explores the devastating consequences of flooding across the globe, highlighting the increasingly frequent and intense events driven by climate change. We examine how different countries are responding to this challenge, focusing on strategies such as building barriers, adapting to flooding, and relocating communities. We look at the World Weather Attribution report that analyzes the recent flooding in Sudan, concluding that human-induced climate change has significantly increased the likelihood of such extreme rainfall events. There’s been a record-breaking number of flash flood emergencies in the US, emphasizing the role of climate change in intensifying heavy rainfall events. The damage inflicted by Tropical Storm Helene on the Great Smoky Mountains National Park, showcases the destructive power of flooding on natural landscapes and infrastructure. Recently severe flooding in Italy and Spain, show the significant human and economic toll these events have taken. We address the unfolding tragedy in Valencia, Spain, highlighting the devastating impact on the country and the ongoing efforts to provide aid and rescue stranded individuals.

30 Okt 202421min

Weeks After Hurricane Milton, Floods Still Ongoing Along Withlacoochie River in Florida

Weeks After Hurricane Milton, Floods Still Ongoing Along Withlacoochie River in Florida

Meteorology Matters discusses the flooding of the Withlacoochee River in Central Florida, which has been at its highest levels since 1960 due to excess rainfall during the rainy season and Hurricane Milton. We explain the river's course, how the flooding has impacted local communities, and the efforts by authorities to help residents. We also address concerns from the public about the causes of the flooding and whether water management structures could be used to alleviate it.

29 Okt 202411min

More Billion Dollar Disasters Like Hurricanes Aided by Population Shift

More Billion Dollar Disasters Like Hurricanes Aided by Population Shift

Meteorology Matters explorers the rising trend of billion-dollar weather disasters in the United States. NOAA provides a comprehensive overview of the events in 2023, highlighting the record number of disasters and the significant financial and human costs. The Washington Post examines the debate surrounding the role of climate change in this trend. While acknowledging the potential influence of global warming, the article emphasizes the significant impact of population growth and development in hazard-prone areas. a complex set of natural factors and human activity is exacerbating the risks associated with extreme weather events

28 Okt 202420min

Multiple Hurricane Strikes in Florida is Normal, Not Climate Change

Multiple Hurricane Strikes in Florida is Normal, Not Climate Change

Urology matters uncovers the history of hurricanes in Florida, particularly focusing on the significant impact of the 1848 Tampa Bay hurricane. There have been many years with multiple major hurricane landfalls in Florida, highlighting the state's vulnerability to these natural disasters. We also look the 2024 and recent hurricane seasons, analyzing the frequency and intensity of storms in relation to climate change, while also acknowledging that hurricanes are a natural part of Florida's coastal environment. The 1848 Tampa Bay hurricane had devastating effects on the region and its lasting impact on the local geography but the population in the area was very small at the time. Additionally, discuss how Florida has always been a hurricane hot spot, but only in the last half century has the population blossomed along the coast to really affect massive numbers of people and damage the more developed infrastructure.

24 Okt 202416min

“Operation Popeye” and HAARP are Not to Blame for Hurricanes Milton & Helene

“Operation Popeye” and HAARP are Not to Blame for Hurricanes Milton & Helene

Meteorology Matters looks into how HAARP and Cloud Seeding did not create or drive Hurricanes Helene and Milton by providing a review of 43 studies published between 2012 and 2021 that examine conspiracy theories related to weather modification and climate change. The review provides insights into the prevalence, characteristics, and potential consequences of weather and climate change conspiracy theories, as well as exploring the science that debunks those theories. We identify knowledge gaps in existing research, emphasizing the need for greater geographic representation, improved conceptualization of the topic, and a more integrative approach that considers multiple factors and processes involved in the interplay between conspiracy theories and weather/climate change.

24 Okt 202418min

DeSantis Backed Florida Law Benefits Insurance Companies to Deny Claims After Hurricanes Helene & Milton

DeSantis Backed Florida Law Benefits Insurance Companies to Deny Claims After Hurricanes Helene & Milton

Meteorology Matters explores the growing problem of insurance companies failing to adequately cover homeowners after hurricanes in Florida, specifically focusing on issues since a Governor DeSantis supported law change. We highlight the challenges facing homeowners, insurance companies, and policymakers in the wake of increasingly severe weather events. We examine the implications of Florida’s insurance law changes, which are intended to reduce litigation but are further disadvantaging homeowners. Additionally, we talk about the importance of flood insurance and how the lack of adequate coverage is leaving many homeowners financially vulnerable.

24 Okt 202410min

Hurricane Catastrophe: Lower Income People Affected Disproportionately with Little Help

Hurricane Catastrophe: Lower Income People Affected Disproportionately with Little Help

Meteorology Matters examines the increasing vulnerability of low-income communities and communities of color to weather impacts, specifically hurricanes. They highlight how these groups are disproportionately affected by storm surges, flooding, and power outages due to their location in high-risk areas and lack of resources for preparedness and recovery. We discuss the need for better federal disaster relief and recovery policies that prioritize these vulnerable communities, including increased funding, streamlined application processes, and more comprehensive climate resilience measures. We also showcase examples of innovative solutions, like the Hunters Point community in Florida, which is designed to withstand hurricanes with features like solar panels, battery systems, and elevated construction but affordability keeps homes like these out of reach for almost everybody.

23 Okt 20246min

FEMA - National Flood Insurance Program’s 50% Rule

FEMA - National Flood Insurance Program’s 50% Rule

Meteorology Matters breaks down the Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) "50% rule," a regulation that impacts homeowners in flood-prone areas. This rule states that if a home (structure itself excluding the land) sustains damage exceeding 50% of its market value, it must be brought into compliance with current floodplain management standards, usually by elevating the structure. The rule is designed to discourage rebuilding vulnerable properties in flood zones and prevent the government from bearing the cost of repeated damage. The sources explain the details of the rule, how it is applied, and the debate surrounding its implementation, particularly in Florida, where communities face an ongoing threat of hurricanes and rising sea levels. Homeowners and local officials often find themselves in a difficult position, balancing the need for rebuilding with the financial burden of complying with the rule, which can make it challenging to afford housing in flood-prone areas.

22 Okt 20247min

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