New National Hurricane Center Products 2025

New National Hurricane Center Products 2025

National Hurricane Center Product and Service Updates for 2025

Meteorology Matters summarizes the key updates to products and services that the National Hurricane Center (NHC) will implement for the 2025 hurricane season, as outlined in the provided document. These updates aim to improve public communication of hurricane risks, enhance forecast accuracy, and provide more detailed information on potential impacts.

Main Themes:

  • Enhanced Communication of Inland Wind and Rip Current Risks: The NHC is focusing on improving the communication of hurricane-related risks beyond the immediate coastline, specifically addressing inland wind threats and dangerous rip currents.
  • Earlier Issuance of Advisories for Potential Tropical Cyclones: Recognizing the need for timely warnings, the NHC will now issue advisory products for potential tropical cyclones earlier in their development.
  • Increased Detail and Lead Time in Wind and Wave Forecasts: Forecast information regarding hurricane-force winds will be extended, and the representation of sea state in forecasts will be updated to better align with user preferences.
  • Introduction of Probabilistic Storm Surge Guidance for Hawaii: For the first time, the Hawaiian Islands will receive probabilistic storm surge forecasts, providing a more nuanced understanding of potential inundation.
  • Continued Improvement in Track Forecast Accuracy: The NHC's track forecast error cone will be reduced in size for both the Atlantic and eastern North Pacific basins, reflecting ongoing improvements in forecasting.
  • Leveraging Social Media for Real-time Updates and Outreach: The NHC continues to utilize various social media platforms to provide timely information, engage with the public, and enhance outreach efforts.

Most Important Ideas and Facts:

1. Experimental Cone Graphic with Inland Watches and Warnings:

  • Change: The NHC will continue to issue an experimental version of the hurricane cone graphic that includes a depiction of inland tropical storm and hurricane watches and warnings for the continental United States.
  • Rationale: This is based on feedback from the 2024 season and social science research suggesting it will "help communicate wind risk during tropical cyclone events while not overcomplicating the current version of the graphic."
  • New Feature: The experimental cone legend will now include symbology for areas under simultaneous hurricane watch and tropical storm warning (diagonal pink and blue lines).
  • Availability: It will be available on hurricanes.gov for full and intermediate advisories, generally within 30 minutes of the advisory release, though potential technical issues could affect timeliness.
  • Operational Graphic: The current operational cone graphic, which only depicts coastal watches/warnings, will remain available without changes.
  • Feedback: There will be an opportunity to provide comments on the experimental graphic.

Episoder(210)

January Cold Snap: Accuracy, Limits, and Looming Winter Weather

January Cold Snap: Accuracy, Limits, and Looming Winter Weather

January Cold Snap: Accuracy, Limits, and the Looming Winter WeatherMeteorology Matters analyzes recent weather reporting regarding forecast accuracy, the intrinsic limits of predictability, and the potential for a severe cold snap in early to mid January 2025.

29 Des 202414min

US Military Christmas Tradition History: NORAD Tracks Santa and Operation Christmas Drop

US Military Christmas Tradition History: NORAD Tracks Santa and Operation Christmas Drop

Briefing Document: Holiday Traditions with a Military TwistThis document reviews two unique holiday traditions involving the US military: NORAD Tracks Santa and Operation Christmas Drop.NORAD Tracks SantaOrigin: The tradition began in 1955 when a Sears advertisement mistakenly printed the Continental Air Defense Command (CONAD) hotline number as Santa's phone number. Colonel Harry Shoup, the commander on duty, received calls from children and, rather than dismissing them, decided to provide updates on Santa's location.Operation Christmas DropOrigin: Operation Christmas Drop started in 1952 when a WB-29 aircrew, seeing islanders waving from Kapingamarangi, decided to drop a bundle of supplies attached to a parachute.

25 Des 202416min

The Long Road to Recovery: How Hurricanes Helene and Milton Continue to Impact Tampa Bay Residents in December 2024

The Long Road to Recovery: How Hurricanes Helene and Milton Continue to Impact Tampa Bay Residents in December 2024

The Long Road to Recovery: How Hurricanes Helene and Milton Continue to Impact Tampa Bay ResidentsMeteorology Matters examines the ongoing challenges faced by residents in the Tampa Bay area in the wake of Hurricanes Helene and Milton. Even in December 2024 area residents are dealing with hurdles months after the hurricanes, we are focusing on the struggles residents are encountering with FEMA, housing instability, and supply shortages.Key Themes:FEMA's 50% Rule and Damage Assessment InconsistenciesHousing Instability for RentersSupply Shortages and Extended DelaysFinancial and Emotional Strain

24 Des 202416min

Christmas 2024 Travel Briefing: Weather Impacts and White Christmas Predictions

Christmas 2024 Travel Briefing: Weather Impacts and White Christmas Predictions

Christmas 2024 Travel Briefing: Weather Impacts and White Christmas PredictionsThis briefing summarizes key weather information for the Christmas 2024 holiday period, drawing from several weather forecasts and news articles.Main Themes:Unsettled weather leading up to Christmas: Many regions will experience rain, snow, and potentially disruptive weather in the days preceding Christmas.Warmer temperatures for many on Christmas Day: A warming trend is expected across much of the US, bringing above-average temperatures and reducing the likelihood of snow in many areas.Limited White Christmas potential: While higher elevations in the West and areas near the Canadian border have the best chances, widespread snow cover on Christmas morning is unlikely across the contiguous US.Travel disruptions possible: Travelers should anticipate potential delays due to weather, especially in the days leading up to Christmas.

23 Des 202411min

Miami and Tampa: High Risk to Climate Change, Rising Sea Level

Miami and Tampa: High Risk to Climate Change, Rising Sea Level

Meteorology Matters examines Miami and Tampa's vulnerability to hurricanes and climate change. Miami, despite its booming population and development, faces significant climate risks, including rising sea levels and increased flooding, yet many residents remain, prioritizing lifestyle over potential dangers. Tampa, similarly situated in a low-lying area, presents a high-risk scenario due to its rapid growth and the potential for catastrophic storm surge, with the upcoming Hurricane Milton posing an imminent threat. Both cities highlight the complex interplay between economic growth, environmental risks, and individual choices in the face of climate change. Experts express serious concern about the preparedness of both cities for extreme weather events.

17 Des 202422min

Walkable Cities Good for Earth While Americans Prefer Suburbia

Walkable Cities Good for Earth While Americans Prefer Suburbia

Meteorology Matters examines the environmental impact of suburban sprawl, contrasting it with denser, more walkable urban neighborhoods. We explore the trade-offs between walkability, affordability, and living space, highlighting public preference for sprawling suburbs despite their higher carbon footprint. We look at the effects of suburban development on natural habitats, noting both habitat loss and surprising animal adaptations. Finally we examine strategies to reduce the climate footprint of suburban areas, suggesting policy changes, technological upgrades in homes and transportation, and individual actions to mitigate emissions.

16 Des 202424min

Hurricane Helene: Impact Erwin Tennessee

Hurricane Helene: Impact Erwin Tennessee

Meteorology Matters looks at a Washington Post investigation into the deaths of six Impact Plastics employees during Hurricane Helene's flooding in Erwin, Tennessee. The investigation highlights the role of both the severe weather and allegedly inadequate employer responses in the fatalities, contrasting this with the successful rescue of hospital staff and patients. We also examine the deaths of workers at an Amazon warehouse and a Kentucky candle factory during a tornado. The lack of union representation contributed to the workers' inability to leave their workplaces before the disaster and emphasizes the importance of unions in ensuring worker safety and fair treatment. This boils down to the tragic consequences of prioritizing profit over worker safety in the face of extreme weather events.

3 Des 202411min

Lake Effect: 6 Feet of Snow Forecast for Watertown, NY

Lake Effect: 6 Feet of Snow Forecast for Watertown, NY

Meteorology Matters reports on a major Thanksgiving Weekend lake-effect snowstorm impacting upstate New York and parts of the Great Lakes region. Significant snowfall accumulations of up to five or six feet are predicted, especially near Watertown, NY, and along the shores of Lakes Erie and Ontario. Hazardous travel conditions and widespread disruptions are anticipated, prompting warnings and travel restrictions. State and local authorities are mobilizing resources, including the National Guard and transportation crews, to respond to the storm's impact. The storm is expected to last through early Monday.

29 Nov 202411min

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