Nobody Knows (Yet Again)

Nobody Knows (Yet Again)

In his latest memo, Howard discusses how the recent events surrounding tariffs can have a seismic but unpredictable impact on the global economy. Seismic in that they reflect a fundamental undoing of longstanding norms, and unpredictable in that tariffs would bring untold second- and third-order consequences. He emphasizes that there is no foreknowledge here, with forecasts even less likely to be accurate than usual. Howard considers the response of the financial markets, highlighting the key question regards the appropriateness of the market reaction thus far: has it been just right, excessive, or inadequate?

You can read the memo here (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/nobody-knows-yet-again).

Episoder(75)

The Illusion of Knowledge

The Illusion of Knowledge

Howard Marks has long questioned the value of macro forecasts, but in his latest memo, he explains why creating profitable forecasts is so difficult. He discusses the incredible complexity involved in...

8 Sep 202253min

Behind the Memo: I Beg To Differ

Behind the Memo: I Beg To Differ

In the latest episode of Behind the Memo, Howard discusses his recent memo, I Beg to Differ. He explains why investors seeking to outperform need to think differently, be exceptional, and be prepared...

4 Aug 202224min

I Beg To Differ

I Beg To Differ

Howard Marks’s latest memo argues that investors seeking superior performance must have the courage to depart from the pack, even though doing so means accepting the risk of being wrong. Thinking diff...

26 Jul 202247min

The Rewind: Something of Value

The Rewind: Something of Value

Howard reflects on this memo, originally published on January 11, 2021, with his son Andrew Marks. They discuss why open-mindedness – at all ages – is key when investing in a rapidly changing world. A...

16 Jun 20221h 25min

Behind the Memo: Bull Market Rhymes

Behind the Memo: Bull Market Rhymes

In the latest episode of Behind the Memo, Howard discusses his recent memo, Bull Market Rhymes. Howard explains why investing keeps getting harder and why looking to the past can potentially help inve...

2 Jun 202216min

Bull Market Rhymes

Bull Market Rhymes

Howard Marks’s latest memo explores recurring investment themes to contextualize the current market correction and the bull market that preceded it. He discusses the role played by financial innovatio...

26 Mai 202244min

The Rewind: Lines in the Sand

The Rewind: Lines in the Sand

Howard reflects on this memo (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/docs/default-source/memos/lines-in-the-sand.pdf) originally published on April 18, 2017. Following up on his classic memo You Can’t Eat IRR...

28 Apr 202244min

Behind the Memo: The Pendulum in International Affairs

Behind the Memo: The Pendulum in International Affairs

In the latest episode of Behind the Memo, Howard discusses the origins and important themes of his recent memo, The Pendulum in International Affairs. Howard explains why one of his favorite metaphors...

31 Mar 202221min

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