SI353: You Don’t Buy It for Returns. You Buy It Because It Works! ft. Yoav Git

In today’s episode, Peter Atwater, author and adjunct professor of Economics at William & Mary, joins us to discuss socionomics and why media is a great mirror of mood, how confidence in Central Banks relates to the level of interest rates, “stacked vulnerability” and how it runs the potential of creating exhaustion, inequality and the battle between the top and the bottom of society. We also discuss how the current inflation creates false expectations and why we might see a violent move in market prices, how deglobalization is a consequence of a change in social mood, ways to implement a more confidence driven decision making investment strategy and much more.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Cem on Twitter.Follow Peter on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 00:00 - Intro03:05 - Peter’s background05:36 - Why socionomics is important to understand and follow14:27 - How to determine the Confidence in Central Banks17:26 - Accumulated exhaustion, what this means25:35 - Crypto - a betrayal?37:55 - Expected and Un-Expected Inflation - a sign of Scarcity46:01 - A potential massive market Cycle Top?51:33 - Heading towards deglobalization01:02:54 - Global Fragmentation01:12:24 - Confident decision making01:16:21 - Thanks for listeningCopyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights...

15 Jun 20221h 17min

Today, Rob Carver joins us to discuss recent events in the world of Trend Following and takes questions from listeners regarding what it takes to do Trend Following full-time and how much capital is needed to do so. We also discuss potential benefits of adding a mean reversion system on a short term time frame and exploring trend following in spreads, what Rob thinks of trading alternative markets, how to mitigate the pain from false breakouts and how to select a universe of stocks to apply your existing rules. Finally, we break down the latest research paper from AHL dealing with the outlook of Trend Following, how Trend Following perform in crisis periods, in periods of rising interest rates and much more.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Rob on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 00:00 - Intro03:14 - Market recap05:51 - What has caught Rob’s attention recently?13:35 - Q1, Ben: Going Full-Time a a Trend Follow - How much capital do I need?22:16 - Q2, Gambit: Should I add a Mean Reversion & Spread Trading model?31:47 - Q3, Younggotti: Alternative assets and markets - do they help?36:44 - Q4, FluffyDunny: How to best avoid False Breakouts39:36 - Q5, Mendel: How to select your universe of stocks to trade44:37 - AHL Paper: Gaining Momentum - Where Next for Trend Following?01:07:22 - Bloomberg article01:10:00 - Industry performance updateResources discussed in this...

12 Jun 20221h 13min

In today’s episode, the dynamic duo Alfonso Peccatiello, aka MacroAlf and Andreas Steno Larsen, join us to discuss all things Macro...from Central Banks and the reasons for the rising inflation, populism and how monetary policy has created inequality. We also get around demographics and how the shrinking labour force poses a threat to the economy, ESG and the impact it has on inflation, how a generational shift in politics can cause a taxation of the boomers, the 4th Turning and key mistakes to avoid as an investor and much more.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Cem on Twitter.Follow Andreas on Twitter.Follow Alfonso on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 00:00 - Intro03:15 - Setting the stage for our conversation07:26 - Current Macro outlook...and how its evolved in recent months13:47 - Populism & potential for Deflation28:51 - Demographics & Labour force53:05 - Central Bank policies01:03:58 - Key mistakes to avoid01:10:09 - Wrapping upCopyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved----PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about In my eBooks, I put together some key...

8 Jun 20221h 11min

Richard Brennan joins us in today’s episode, to discuss all things Trend Following and we take lots of questions from listeners regarding methods for calculating initial stops and trailing stops, how to define and classify Trend Following, programming languages and how CTAs follow their system rules during drawdowns. We also talk about how big the Trend Following industry really is, back testing, risk management and allocating funds to a professional manager and how the TTU Trend Following Index compares to other indices plus much more.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Rich on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps:00:00 - Intro02:24 - Weekly highlights09:24 - Q1, John: Risk Management & Calculating stops13:31 - Q2, Abe: Outliers, esoteric products - do we need them?20:53 - Q3, Zach: How to keep following your rules in difficult times?31:41 - Q4, Troy: How big is the Funds Management industry?35:54 - Q5, Adam: Allocating to external TF funds, using Filters & much more01:05:47 - The Unique side of the TTU Trend Following Index01:19:03 - Industry Performance updateCopyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved----PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in...

5 Jun 20221h 22min

Today, Grant Williams, creator of The Grant Williams Podcast, joins us to discuss the direction that the world is heading from a global macro perspective, the role of the Federal Reserve and how it has corrupted the price of money. We also touch on how the loss of faith in institutions is a key feature of the Fourth Turning, how inflation impacts inequality and how confidence in the Federal Reserve correlates with the level of interest rates, crypto currencies and the underlying problems of the technology, Central Banking 2.0 and what happens if a Central Bank buys all the bonds in a market, real estate and the potential dangers of the housing sector, the commodity super cycle and how it causes rising interest rates, and the fate and fortune of Elon Musk plus much more.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Cem on Twitter.Follow Grant on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 00:00 - Intro04:19 - Grant’s background05:54 - The big global macro picture16:08 - The role of the Federal Reserve today25:16 - Inflation...the great equalizer or not36:09 - Crypto and not so stable coins44:06 - Central Banking 2.058:43 - The danger signs in Real Estate01:06:58 - The commodity super cycle01:13:41 - Elon Musk...from Showman to Charlatan01:19:04 - Thanks for listeningResources discussed in this Episode:<a...

1 Jun 20221h 20min

Today, Alan Dunne joins us to discuss manager selection and how to overcome behavioural biases, based on his paper, “Solving the Manager Selection Puzzle”, narratives and dealing with randomness in Trend Following, the end of the 60/40 portfolio and moving from public to private equity, trend following performance and quantitative investment strategies, trend following in an ever changing world and the expectation of going back to “normal”, the challenges of globalization and demographics and much more.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Alan on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps:00:00 - Intro02:14 - Summary of the week11:47 - The Challenges of Manager selection18:22 - The Influeence of Randomness25:57 - Alan's own Vulnerability28:16 - The 5 Step Solution30:03 - When the honest answer is what investors want to hear46:42 - The evolution of the 60/40 portfolio - Barrons article55:51 - Trend following in the Press01:02:53 - Will we ever go back to "normal"01:06:11 - The Great Demographic Twist01:09:00 - Performance UpdateResources discussed in this Episode:LINK: Solving the Manager Selection PuzzleCopyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved----PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment...

29 Mai 20221h 12min

Joseph Wang, former senior FED trader & known as the “Fed Guy”, joins us to discuss the credibility of the FOMC and what drives the neutral rate, Central Bank policies and the consequences of increased divergence, monetary policies and reducing liquidity to address the problems of inflation, de-globalization and how labour is no longer connected to corporate wellness, how the FED and other Central Banks have focused on the wrong things for the last few decades, exorbitant privilege and whether the FED is starting to lose control, safe assets and ways to preserve capital, cryptocurrencies, strength of the Dollar and much more.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Cem on Twitter.Follow Joseph on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 00:00 - Intro03:13 - Joseph’s background06:34 - Shocking FED Announcement10:52 - Central Bank policies14:11 - Monetary policies and liquidity30:40 - Fed paper suggesting they don't know where Inflation comes from40:03 - The wider consequences45:45 - FED losing control?53:55 - Safe assets and crypto01:05:01 - What keeps Joseph up at night?01:09:52 - Thanks for listeningCopyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved----PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:1. eBooks that...

25 Mai 20221h 11min

Trend Following legend Jerry Parker joins me today, where we answer questions regarding the effectiveness and risks of Richard Dennis’ “Pyramiding” methodology, how single stocks have performed differently than the indices recently, how to most optimally apply breakout systems, how to react to a drastic fall in a market like we saw in LUNA and the difference between performance of short and long trades in non-volatility targeted systems, how to avoid harmful research pursuits and popular ideas that just don’t work, different ways that ownership of a CTA passes on to a new owner, designing systems that gives you a high degree of consistency and much more.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Jerry on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps:00:00 - Intro06:32 - What has caught Jerry’s attention?13:34 - Q1, Sascha: The Richard Dennis “Pyramiding” methodology18:35 - Q2, Jeff: Jerry’s current positioning in single stocks23:10 - Q3, Louis: Parameter selection for different breakout systems32:16 - Q4, Adam & Scott: How to deal with a drastic fall in a market like LUNA41:49 - Q5, Carl: What doesn’t work in Trend Following?48:34 - Q6, Brian: How to pass on ownership of a CTA Business53:34 - Designing consistent Trend Following systems01:09:17 - Trend, trends and no diversification01:22:36 - Performance updateCopyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved----PLUS: Whenever you're...

22 Mai 20221h 25min