164: Expectancy vs. Win Rate: What Really Matters

164: Expectancy vs. Win Rate: What Really Matters

In this episode of the Stock Market Options Trading Podcast, Eric dives into the concept of expectancy—a key metric that blends win rate, average win size, and average loss size into one number that helps traders understand whether a strategy has a real edge over the long run.

We break down why a high win rate alone doesn’t guarantee profits (think 98% win rate ads…), and how expectancy provides better context by showing how much you can expect to make or lose per trade on average. Eric also shares updates inside Alpha Crunching: the Trade Ideas tab now includes expectancy alongside win rate, giving subscribers deeper insight when sorting potential setups for the week.

You’ll also hear about future enhancements—like adding average win and loss values—so traders can better gauge risk-reward and decide which setups fit their personal style.

👉 Try Alpha Crunching for yourself and get 50% off your first month here: https://alphacrunching.com

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Episoder(187)

107: The Trick To Buy Sell Indicators

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106: First Trading Mistake of 2024

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105: 300% Gain, 50% Win Rate

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104: Low VIX Options Trading Adjustments

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103: Finding an Edge in Options Trading

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102: Best Options Strategy For Small Accounts and Beginners

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Best Options Strategy For Small Accounts and BeginnersIn this episode, we'll revisit what I think is the best options strategy for small accounts and beginners. We're going replay Episode 2 of the pod...

16 Nov 202319min

101: Conservative Options Strategy For Consistent Income

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Check out Alpha Traders Club for live conservative option alerts each and every week. Here's the link: https://www.stockmarketoptionstrading.net/spaces/12282222Creating consistent income trading optio...

3 Nov 202312min

100: The Compound Code Book with Scott Kyle and Patrick Fischer

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The Compound Code Book was written by financial advisors Scott Kyle and Patrick Fischer. To connect with the authors, go to their website here: https://www.coastwisegroup.com/The book is a great read ...

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