Reality, Probability, and Perception | Frankly #29

Reality, Probability, and Perception | Frankly #29

Recorded April 10, 2023

Description

In this Frankly, Nate explains how he views the future from a probability perspective - a tool frequently used in industries such as finance, retirement planning, and by e.g. gamblers. While there will be only one eventual outcome, the possible paths to that future fall in a distribution, with some results much more likely than others. We can shift these results with our actions in the present. However, no one person can know this distribution perfectly, only the distribution shaped by their own bias, knowledge, and perspective. How might we use a probabilistic approach to better understand what's possible - and even to better relate to others? By thinking of the future as a spectrum, can we avoid falling into traps of certainty and complacency that inevitably lead to inaction? While there are some outcomes that are impossible, there are still many within our power to steer towards during a Simplification.

To watch on Youtube: https://youtu.be/uWn2svl6aBU

For Show Notes and More: https://www.thegreatsimplification.com/frankly-original/29-reality-probability-and-perception

Episoder(374)

Inflation, Deflation, & Simplification: The 8 Things That Influence Prices | Frankly 115

Inflation, Deflation, & Simplification: The 8 Things That Influence Prices | Frankly 115

In this week's Frankly, Nate explores how the prices we encounter in our daily lives are influenced by not only how much money is in the system, but also by resource depletion, technology, affordabili...

5 Des 202526min

If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies: How Artificial Superintelligence Might Wipe Out Our Entire Species with Nate Soares

If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies: How Artificial Superintelligence Might Wipe Out Our Entire Species with Nate Soares

Technological development has always been a double-edged sword for humanity: the printing press increased the spread of misinformation, cars disrupted the fabric of our cities, and social media has ma...

3 Des 20251h 40min

Reimagining Ourselves at the End of Our World: Kinship, Interconnection, and Spirituality in the Metacrisis with Samantha Sweetwater

Reimagining Ourselves at the End of Our World: Kinship, Interconnection, and Spirituality in the Metacrisis with Samantha Sweetwater

Over the past decade, the world has become increasingly chaotic and uncertain – and so, too, has our cultural vision for the future. While the events we face now may feel unprecedented, they are roote...

24 Nov 20251h 33min

Directional Advice for the (More Than) Human Predicament | Frankly 114

Directional Advice for the (More Than) Human Predicament | Frankly 114

Over the past decade, the world has become increasingly chaotic and uncertain – and so, too, has our cultural vision for the future. While the events we face now may feel unprecedented, they are roote...

22 Nov 202540min

Two Ways of Knowing: How Merging Science & Indigenous Wisdom Fuels New Discoveries with Rosa Vásquez Espinoza

Two Ways of Knowing: How Merging Science & Indigenous Wisdom Fuels New Discoveries with Rosa Vásquez Espinoza

For centuries, modern science has relied on the scientific method to better understand the world around us. While helpful in many contexts, the scientific method is also objective, controlled, and red...

19 Nov 20251h 22min

11 Discoveries That Changed My Worldview | Frankly 113

11 Discoveries That Changed My Worldview | Frankly 113

In this episode, Nate weaves personal reflections into an exploration of the human predicament, unpacking a series of chronological insights that have reshaped his worldview. What began years ago as a...

14 Nov 202537min

Will We Artificially Cool the Planet? The Science and Politics of Geoengineering with Ted Parson

Will We Artificially Cool the Planet? The Science and Politics of Geoengineering with Ted Parson

Global heating continues, despite the increased use of renewable energy sources and international policies attempting otherwise. Even as emissions reduction efforts continue, our world faces more extr...

12 Nov 20251h 21min

Hacking Human Attachment: The Loneliness Crisis, Cognitive Atrophy and other Personal Dangers of AI | RR 20

Hacking Human Attachment: The Loneliness Crisis, Cognitive Atrophy and other Personal Dangers of AI | RR 20

Mainstream conversations about artificial intelligence tend to center around the technology's economic and large-scale impacts. Yet it's at the individual level where we're seeing AI's most potent eff...

5 Nov 20251h 53min

Populært innen Vitenskap

fastlegen
rekommandert
tingenes-tilstand
jss
sinnsyn
rss-rekommandert
liberal-halvtime
forskningno
tomprat-med-gunnar-tjomlid
fjellsportpodden
rss-nysgjerrige-norge
villmarksliv
kvinnehelsepodden
nordnorsk-historie
rss-paradigmepodden
smart-forklart
vett-og-vitenskap-med-gaute-einevoll
nevropodden
hva-er-greia-med
aldring-og-helse-podden