Joe Trippi: The Democrats and the 2022 Midterms

Joe Trippi: The Democrats and the 2022 Midterms

In the spring of 2019, when most analysts thought Joe Biden had little chance of winning the party’s nomination, Democratic strategist Joe Trippi predicted that Biden would be the nominee. Now, as analysts predict a Republican wave election in the midterms, Trippi again challenges the conventional wisdom by arguing that the Democrats will do better than expected in 2022. As he puts it in this provocative Conversation, the data at this juncture do not point to a red wave tsunami but rather what could turn out to be like a red mirage. Trippi highlights the fact that poll numbers in Congressional races have been decoupling from the president’s approval ratings—both in the generic ballot, and in high-profile Senate races like Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Georgia. Along with other factors like partisan engagement, Trippi argues that the 2022 midterms may turn out to be less a referendum on the president’s performance and more of a choice election between particular Republican and Democratic candidates in each race. And, in that environment, Democrats could outperform expectations. Trippi and Kristol also consider tensions within the Democratic Party and how these might play out between now and the midterms, and as we look ahead to 2024.

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A.B. Stoddard on Trump’s Psyche—and The Implications for 2028

A.B. Stoddard on Trump’s Psyche—and The Implications for 2028

“This branding binge [Trump] has been on: with everything he’s trying to have put his name on. To build the White House ballroom, the arch in front of Arlington Cemetery. And the war and military adve...

23 Apr 1h 4min

Mark Blitz on the Enduring Importance of Aristotle

Mark Blitz on the Enduring Importance of Aristotle

“What is human happiness? What is political excellence? What is speech, and rhetoric? It’s always important to remind ourselves of that. But especially when you have artificial intelligence, and all o...

9 Apr 56min

Aaron Friedberg on the Iran War and the View from Beijing

Aaron Friedberg on the Iran War and the View from Beijing

“It’s hard for me to see how [the war] ends in a way that enhances our position in the world generally—and, in particular, enhances our position with relation to the country that I still think is our ...

19 Mars 1h 20min

Doug Sosnik on What to Expect in 2026—and Why 2028 Will Be Different

Doug Sosnik on What to Expect in 2026—and Why 2028 Will Be Different

“Whatever happens in 2026, I think no one should take any interpretation of that as a precursor to what’s going to happen in 2028.” So argues Doug Sosnik, former political director for Bill Clinton a...

27 Feb 1h 12min

Aaron Reichlin-Melnick: Trump’s Mass Deportation Regime

Aaron Reichlin-Melnick: Trump’s Mass Deportation Regime

“The US government wants to arrest, detain, and deport one in every 24 people in the country—4% of the US population. That cannot be done without fundamentally transforming who we are as a people and ...

12 Feb 1h 20min

Francis Fukuyama on Trump’s Bullying and Europe’s Response

Francis Fukuyama on Trump’s Bullying and Europe’s Response

“The Europeans have been in this alliance [NATO] to protect themselves, largely from Russia and other aggressors. And now it has an aggressor within the gates, so to speak. And that’s quite an extraor...

22 Jan 1h 1min

Ron Brownstein on What’s Ahead in 2026—and in 2028

Ron Brownstein on What’s Ahead in 2026—and in 2028

Where do things stand in American politics as we head into a midterm election year?  To discuss these questions we are joined again by Ron Brownstein, a Bloomberg Opinion columnist and senior CNN poli...

30 Dec 20251h 22min

Robert Kagan on Trump’s Foreign Policy and the New World Disorder

Robert Kagan on Trump’s Foreign Policy and the New World Disorder

“We take for granted the degree of peace that we’ve enjoyed over the past eight plus decades. And we think that’s the norm. The norm is actually a lot more like what the world looked like before 1945....

4 Dec 20251h 13min

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