Craft Politics9 Juli 2025

What Really Happened in the 2025 Election?

With Hunter Knifton We revisit the 2025 Canadian federal election—not with hot takes, but with hard data. Our guest is Hunter Knifton, the analyst behind the Charting Canada Substack, who’s challenging two of the most commonly accepted narratives about the election. In this episode: 🗳 The myth of the “NDP-to-Conservative switcher”: why it’s not supported by the numbers 📉 Why the collapse of the PPC—not a working-class revolt—may explain Conservative gains in key ridings 👥 Who actually switched votes—and where? A closer look at new voters, older swing voters, and Carney Conservatives 🔄 Why the left didn’t just coalesce around the Liberals—and why the right’s coalition might be more stable than it looks Plus: 🧭 Hunter breaks down his five-part typology of Carney’s voter base—from downtown professionals to rural commuters 🧱 What the suburban and rural wins say about the Liberals’ long-term potential 🔍 Are the Conservatives targeting the wrong voters with their union strategy? And don’t miss: 🔮 Could Carney’s voter coalition outlast the crisis that built it? 🧠 What Pierre Poilievre’s team might need to rethink before the next election 📊 A sneak peek at Hunter’s next analysis: are we entering a permanent two-party system—or was 2025 a one-off? 🔊 Listen now if you want a clearer picture of what actually happened in the last election—and why most of us probably got it wrong.

Det här avsnittet är hämtat från ett öppet RSS-flöde och publiceras inte av Podme. Det kan innehålla reklam.

Avsnitt(77)

Sam Coates: Reform's £72 million pay day

Two crypto billionaires gave Reform UK £72 million in 36 hours, more than every British party combined raised in all of 2025. All of it legal, for now. This week on Craft Politics: Sam Coates, Deputy...

16 Sep 43min

Darren Grimes: On Reform UK and What's Next

Reform UK is having the best year of its life. Official opposition in Wales. Seventeen seats in Scotland. Over 1,400 councillors. And yet Middle England still hasn't climbed aboard. This week on Craft...

8 Sep 45min

Ginny Roth: Trade War Reality Test

Ten days ago Ginny Roth posted a thread arguing that Canadians need to stop being shocked by Donald Trump and start making hard choices from a weak hand. Jason Kenney replied, accusing her of "craven ...

1 Sep 56min

How Vote Leave Actually Won — Nick Varley on the Brexit Ground War

Ten years ago, everyone who was supposed to know — the British government, the Bank of England, the IMF, half the world's economists, even President Obama — said Leave couldn't win. Then a campaign wi...

1 Juli 53min

UK By-Elections Quick Take: What Just Happened?

We're trying a new episode format, so let us know what you think of it. We didn't have time to record a full show, we have as a short and snappy take on this week's by-election results in the UK and w...

19 Juni 9min

One Country, Two Fires

A week ago, the Henry Nowak case was the story dominating the news agenda. Then Belfast caught fire — literally — and two separate stories became one. Percy and Joseph work through how a murder in Sou...

11 Juni 38min

The Purity Test

Over the weekend the BC Conservatives picked the candidate the smart money had written off — and half the commentariat instantly called it a gift to the NDP. We're not convinced. A party that went fro...

2 Juni 34min

37 Words: How Alberta's Ballot Question Tilts the Field

Last week, we recorded with Evan Menzies about the brewing Alberta referendum — and within hours of us hitting publish, Premier Smith unveiled the actual ballot question. So we're back at it. It's als...

27 Maj 42min