Is the Powell Put in Play? Ep. 330

Is the Powell Put in Play? Ep. 330

St. Valentine's Day Rout
I wouldn't really call what happened in the bond market and the U.S. dollar market as a St. Valentine's Day massacre, maybe it was a slaughter; even slaughter was too harsh a word. It was a rout. But this is nothing compared to what is going to come. The daughter is going to get slaughtered a lot more and the bond market is going to get slaughtered a lot more in the days ahead. Maybe not exactly tomorrow, but there will be days ahead that will be much worse than today. This is the tip of a huge iceberg.
Doing the Impossible
Before I get into the tail of the tape today, and all the horrific economic numbers that came out today, I want to take a step back and talk about President Trump's budget, which was released on Monday. Basically, the Republicans succeeded in doing something that you would have thought was impossible. They are making the Democrats look like the fiscally responsible party.
A Farce
First of all, there are some cuts in this budget that are never going to happen. There are a lot of assumptions that are saving money, like they assume a total repeal and replace of ObamaCare, which isn't going to happen. In fact, if it didn't happen when Republicans controlled Congress, how is it going to happen when the Democrats control Congress in 2019? So this is all farcical.
Assumptions...
But one of the biggest farces of the entire budget is the underlying economic assumptions. They're assuming that the very low unemployment rate gets even lower. But, the most farcical of all, is that they assume that the economy grows uninterrupted at an average of 3% for the next 10 years! This so-called expansion is already 9 years old. That makes it the second or third longest expansion in history, and if it continues this year, I think it will be the largest expansion in history. If it continued for another 10 years it would be almost twice as long as the next largest economic expansion in history. What are the odds that that is going to happen? But even if that happens, even if we get 10 years of 3% economic growth (we probably won't even get 1) but let's assume we get 10, even with that, the budget does not balance.
Not Even Pretending the Budget will Balance
This is the first time the Republicans are presenting a budget that, even in 10 years, does not balance. Now, think about this: When they were presenting budgets that had a pretense of balancing in 10 years, and they were way off the mark, can you imagine how much further off they will be now when they are not even pretending the budget is going to balance?
Trillion Dollar Deficits and no QE
In the first couple of years they are forecasting trillion dollar deficits. As I said on the podcast before, the last time we had trillion dollar deficits, the Fed was doing a trillion dollars a year in QE. Right now, the Fed is still posturing that it is not going to do any QE. In fact, it is posturing that it is going to do QT - it is going to shrink its balance sheet.
Big Political Problem for the Republicans
But here is going to be the big political problem: Since the Democrats are now the fiscally responsible party, they will be able to hang these deficits around the necks of the Republican candidates like an Albatross. I know a lot of people are thinking, "Wait a minute, Peter! Obama doubled the deficit & the national debt - there are all kinds of deficits under Obama, so how can the Democrats say that the Republicans are the big spenders and they are the fiscal Conservatives?
Inevitable Keynesian Logic
It is very easy. It is basic Keynes. They are going to say is when Obama ran deficits, they were necessary to get us out of the recession that Bush caused by cutting taxes on the rich, and the corporations. So they were a necessary economic stimulus to get out of the ditch that Bush drove us into. After all, Clinton, a Democrat, Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Avsnitt(1084)

The Sell America Trade Gathers Momentum - Ep 1028

The Sell America Trade Gathers Momentum - Ep 1028

Peter Schiff discusses recent financial market turmoil, significant growth in precious metals, and critiques Trump's policies and actions.This episode is sponsored by Square. Get up to $200 off Square hardware when you sign up at https://square.com/go/peterIn the latest episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff provides an in-depth analysis of the recent turbulence in financial markets. Schiff discusses the significant rise in gold prices, which closed at its highest weekly price ever, while other precious metals like silver and platinum also saw a notable increase. He highlights the decline of the US dollar and reveals the consequences of tariff policies, emphasizing the need for listeners to consider precious metals and foreign equities as a hedge against impending economic challenges. Schiff also examines the Fitch downgrade of US government credit, linking it to unsustainable fiscal policies under both Trump and Biden administrations. Additionally, he scrutinizes the political and economic conflicts surrounding tariffs, privatization of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and personal financial gains made by Trump during his presidency. Listeners are encouraged to stay in tune for more insights and remain proactive in safeguarding their financial portfolios.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks02:48 Market Recap and Gold's Performance05:57 US Dollar and Treasury Market Analysis11:29 Impact of US Credit Downgrade18:44 US Treasuries and Inflation23:46 Trump's Economic Policies and Tariffs40:10 Currency Dynamics and the Weak Dollar42:34 Trump's Economic Policies and Wall Street Influence45:25 Impact of Tariffs on the US Economy46:29 Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Privatization52:18 Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Insights54:26 Upcoming Conferences and Events57:22 Trump's Use of Presidency for Personal Gain01:12:03 Final Thoughts#gold #silver #bitcoinOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

26 Maj 1h 12min

Trade Truce Puts Budget Deficits In Focus - Ep 1027

Trade Truce Puts Budget Deficits In Focus - Ep 1027

Peter Schiff analyzes the stock market relief rally, criticizes Trump's trade policies and tariffs, and argues that the new tax bill and economic issues are not being properly addressed.This episode is sponsored by Square. Get up to $200 off Square hardware when you sign up at https://square.com/go/peter😹 New Song From Laughing Cats: https://youtu.be/242UNuSyAz4🇺🇸 Sign up for Freedom Fest in Palm Springs, CA June 11-14: https://freedomfest.comPeter Schiff discusses the recent relief rally in stock markets following a temporary truce in the trade war, highlighting the role of President Trump's policies in both creating and defusing market tensions. He criticizes the Trump administration’s handling of tariffs and trade deficits, predicting that the U.S. economy is weaker than expected and will face significant challenges due to de-dollarization and rising interest rates. Schiff also scrutinizes the latest tax bill, arguing it fails to address core issues like the inefficiencies of the FDA and misaligned incentives in healthcare. He warns that temporary market gains are misleading and that fundamental economic vulnerabilities remain unaddressed.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Market Relief Rally Amid Trade War Truce02:27 Impact of Tariffs on the Economy05:05 De-dollarization and Global Trade Dynamics07:15 Bond Market Vulnerabilities11:24 Bitcoin and Risk Assets Analysis16:17 Gold and Silver Market Insights21:41 Upcoming Events and Personal Announcements29:44 Critique of FDA Regulations33:38 The Skin Cancer Epidemic in America34:40 The FDA and Sunscreen Regulations36:01 The Problem with Employer-Based Health Insurance38:20 The True Cost of Health Insurance45:11 Trump's Big Beautiful Bill46:34 The Carried Interest Loophole50:48 The Car Loan Tax Deduction Debate01:01:15 The Future of the US Economy01:02:00 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#tradewar #tariffs #trumpOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

16 Maj 1h 1min

Another Fake Trump Trade Win - Ep 1026

Another Fake Trump Trade Win - Ep 1026

Peter Schiff rebukes Wall Street's false triumph over a China trade deal, dissects Trump's failed tariffs, and criticizes misguided drug pricing policies and questionable gifts from foreign nations.Sign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter Schiff critiques the perceived celebration on Wall Street over a supposed trade deal with China, which he calls 'fake news.' He argues that rather than achieving a deal, President Trump merely rolled back the heavy tariffs he had initially imposed, with no substantial progress or concessions from China. Schiff contends that Trump's moves were a strategic surrender rather than a negotiation victory and attributes market reactions, such as stock rallies and gold price drops, to a relief from avoided economic damages. Schiff also criticizes Trump's populist actions such as advocating for drug price controls and accepting a questionable $400 million jet from Qatar. Schiff concludes by discussing the implications for markets and reiterates his advice on investing in gold and foreign currencies to protect against economic instability.⭐️ Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟨 Gold News: http://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction: Wall Street Celebrates Fake Trade Deal02:50 Trump's Tariff War: The Real Story03:35 The Geneva Meeting: A Surrender in Disguise05:34 The Illusion of Victory: Trump's PR Spin17:44 Market Reactions: Stocks, Gold, and the Dollar25:38 The Bigger Picture: Economic Implications34:58 Moving Away from US Dollars35:39 Trump's Price Controls on Prescription Drugs40:10 The FDA and Drug Development Costs55:29 Trump's $400 Million Jet from Qatar01:05:07 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#Trump #Tariffs #ChinaOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

13 Maj 1h 4min

Trump's Tariffs Will Make China Great Again - Ep 1025

Trump's Tariffs Will Make China Great Again - Ep 1025

Peter Schiff analyzes the Federal Reserve's unchanged rates, critiques Trump's economic claims, and predicts the fallout from current trade policies.Sponsored by NetSuite. Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff critically analyzes the Federal Reserve's recent decision to maintain interest rates between 4.25% and 4.5%, highlighting Powell's inconsistent views on inflation expectations and economic conditions. Schiff also discusses President Trump’s silence on Powell's statements and questions the efficacy of trade talks with China, predicting a looming economic disappointment. He continues by scrutinizing Trump's contradictory claims regarding improving trade deficits and the misguided reliance on tariffs. Schiff emphasizes the inevitable economic consequences of current policies and suggests strategic financial adjustments, such as investing in foreign currencies and gold, to brace for impending stagflation and market instability. As always, Schiff echoes his critical stance on governmental and economic mismanagement while providing expert financial advice to his listeners.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction01:19 Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Decision02:07 Market Reactions and Investor Sentiment02:52 President Trump's Silence on Powell03:39 Powell's Press Conference Highlights04:01 Inflation Expectations and Economic Outlook07:06 Stagflation Risks and Fed's Dilemma11:38 Powell's Q&A Session Insights15:46 Gold and Dollar Market Movements23:20 China Trade Talks and Economic Implications25:46 China's Economic Strategy and US Relations32:28 Potential US Treasury Default and Economic Risks36:38 Who Pays Tariffs?37:53 The Secretary of the Treasury's Dilemma40:36 Trump's Economic Claims43:00 Deficit Spending and Government Cuts47:56 Tariff Impact on Small Businesses53:54 Trump's Tariff on Movies57:49 Warren Buffett's Strategic Moves01:00:35 Investing in Foreign Markets01:02:31 Gold and Silver Investment Opportunities01:02:57 Gold Mining Stocks Analysis01:04:26 Silver's Potential Upside01:05:15 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#Tariffs #Trump #ChinaOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

8 Maj 1h 4min

Stocks Soar on Trade War De-Escalation Hopes - Ep 1024

Stocks Soar on Trade War De-Escalation Hopes - Ep 1024

Peter Schiff critiques the April stock market rally, U.S.-China trade war optimism, misleading economic indicators, and the ethical implications of the 'Executive Branch' social club.Sponsored by Stash. Go to https://get.stash.com/gold to see how you can receive $25 towards your first stock purchase and to view important disclosures.Peter Schiff scrutinizes the apparent rebound in the stock market during April, questioning the sustainability of the rally amidst underlying economic weaknesses. Peter dives deep into the illusory optimism fueled by hopes of trade war de-escalation, explaining why he believes the recent market surge is built on unfounded optimism. He further discusses intricacies of the U.S.-China tariff battle, debunking the administration’s claims about the benefits of a strong dollar and pointing out the inconsistencies in trade policies. Additionally, Peter sheds light on the controversial implications of the Trump administration's strategies, including the ethical questions surrounding the newly established 'Executive Branch' social club. Stay tuned as Peter Schiff provides an unfiltered take on our economic reality and calls out misleading governmental narratives.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Market Overview01:00 Stock Market Rebound Analysis02:28 Trade War and Tariff Impacts04:04 China's Tariff Reductions and U.S. Response09:25 Dollar Policy and Trade Deficits11:35 Economic Data and Market Reactions28:29 Job Market Insights and Government Reports36:30 Construction Spending and Economic Outlook36:52 Manufacturing and GDP Analysis38:11 Trump's Economic Claims and Popularity41:06 Impact of Tariffs on Prices and Economy44:22 Trade Deficit and Consumer Confidence53:55 Canadian Elections and Tariff Effects57:12 Trump's Executive Branch Club Controversy01:06:13 Podcast Conclusion and Personal Anecdotes#tariffs #Trump #GDPOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

3 Maj 1h 6min

America’s Trade Problems Are Made in the U.S.A. - Ep 2023

America’s Trade Problems Are Made in the U.S.A. - Ep 2023

Peter Schiff critiques Trump's market manipulations, discusses gold and Bitcoin's movements, and highlights economic weaknesses, suggesting gold mining stocks as a superior investment strategy.This episode is sponsored by Kalshi. Get $10 when you sign up and makes a $100 trade by 4/28/25 at https://kalshi.com/goldNew song by Laughing Cats: https://open.spotify.com/album/5u5RJ6to4r0onnugvZt3mZ?si=jQO0r0jDQx2yPc2D73Of3APeter Schiff discusses the market's recent rally as a bear market rally and critiques former President Donald Trump's offhand comments about Jerome Powell's rate policies. Schiff argues that Trump's administration manipulated markets with strategic statements, but didn't address the fundamental economic issues, like the hollowing out of America's manufacturing base. Schiff also discusses gold's surge to a near all-time high, contrasting it with Bitcoin's performance. He criticizes the U.S. focus on becoming a crypto superpower at the expense of industrialization. Schiff concludes with commentary on rejected mortgage refinancing applications and existing home sales reflecting economic weakness, promoting gold and gold mining stocks as the best investment strategy.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:56 Market Turnaround Analysis01:53 Trump's Influence on the Market02:54 Gold and Dollar Movements06:00 Fed's Political Influence20:13 Gold Mining Stocks Performance27:37 Bitcoin and Crypto Market29:40 Trump's Approval Ratings and Economic Promises31:41 Economic Trends Under Trump31:59 Media's Role in Economic Perception32:26 Impact of Tariffs on the Economy33:39 Public Reaction to Economic Policies34:42 Trade Deficits and Blame Game36:41 Misconceptions About Tariffs38:48 Global Trade and Economic Realities42:58 Trump's Economic Strategies and Their Flaws45:07 Recession and Economic Indicators54:48 Conclusion and Personal NotesOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

28 Apr 58min

Gold’s Rise Warns of Dollar’s Demise - Ep 1022

Gold’s Rise Warns of Dollar’s Demise - Ep 1022

Peter Schiff discusses record gold highs, critiques media's focus on Bitcoin, and warns of impending economic crisis exacerbated by tariffs and undervaluation of gold stocks.This episode is sponsored by Shopify. Sign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter discusses the significant rise in gold prices, reaching new record highs and experiencing unprecedented one-day increases. He criticizes mainstream financial media, particularly CNBC, for ignoring the surge in gold prices and instead focusing on Bitcoin. Peter correlates the current economic scenario with the 2008 housing bubble, where ignorance of underlying issues led to a financial crisis. He argues that Trump’s policies, such as tariffs, have contributed to economic instability. Peter also highlights the undervaluation of gold mining stocks compared to the rising prices of gold. He emphasizes the broader implications of a weakening US dollar, including higher consumer prices and ineffective future Fed policies. Schiff cautions about a forthcoming financial crisis exacerbated by current economic missteps and the media's dismissal of gold's significance.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Gold's Record-Breaking Week02:20 Gold's Historical Context and Market Reactions05:28 Media's Ignorance and Bitcoin Comparison13:01 The Dollar's Decline and Economic Implications20:11 Investment Strategies and Gold Mining Stocks31:27 Foreign Investments and Market Dynamics35:23 Understanding De-dollarization35:53 Foreign Debt Dynamics36:50 Impact of De-dollarization on the Dollar37:18 Misconceptions About Trade and the US Economy38:24 China's Economic Position39:06 The Reality of American Consumers39:52 China's Trade Strategy43:38 Global Trade Without the US44:49 Critique of US Trade Policies46:07 The Imbalance in Economies47:40 Regulation and Competitiveness49:39 Political Narratives and Trade Deficits54:11 Bitcoin and Economic Predictions57:50 The Role of Central Banks01:01:48 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#gold #bitcoin #inflationOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

18 Apr 1h 2min

The US Already Lost the Trade War - Ep 1021

The US Already Lost the Trade War - Ep 1021

Peter Schiff dives into the wild financial markets, tariff drama, trade deficits, and golden opportunities.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldPeter Schiff discusses the recent turmoil in the financial markets, attributing it to the imposition of tariffs by the Trump administration. Schiff criticizes the tariffs, asserting that they hurt the U.S. economy, caused the dollar and bond markets to crash, and ultimately led to significant market volatility. He contends that Trump's tariffs were a misguided attempt to reduce trade deficits and that they contradicted basic economic principles. Schiff outlines how foreign investors fleeing U.S. assets and central banks favoring gold over dollars indicate a shift away from U.S. economic dominance. He emphasizes the importance of investing in gold mining stocks, anticipating substantial growth as the economic crisis unfolds.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks02:38 Market Recap: A Wild Week05:43 Tariffs and Trade Wars08:51 Trump's Negotiation Tactics14:58 Impact on the US Economy18:42 Global Reactions and Consequences26:53 Currency and Market Movements35:41 Economic Consequences of Tariffs36:38 Impact on American Companies38:11 Global Financial Crisis Predictions42:40 Gold and Bitcoin Market Analysis45:30 Investment Strategies in Gold Stocks51:34 The Future of the US Dollar and Global Economy01:03:04 Final Thoughts and Investment Advice#finance #investing #goldOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

12 Apr 1h 5min

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